玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.21182.81900.5221.05294.8416.9N/A係因本期有建案結案所致。
2024/102.2-74.14282.5814.84215.0211.19N/A係因本年度有結案收入所致
2024/98.491587.171609.5412.64205.659.457.34係因本期有結案所致
2024/80.512.44-2.74.1513.991.4846.73-
2024/70.45-15.79-9.853.6516.761.4846.86-
2024/60.536.4813.453.221.791.5247.67-
2024/50.52.0427.422.6723.61.6145.13-
2024/40.49-20.7316.572.1722.751.6145.14-
2024/30.6223.724.741.6824.691.6840.86-
2024/20.5-11.0122.311.0624.651.8237.64-
2024/10.56-26.2626.810.5626.811.9435.28-
2023/120.7622.5243.686.0934.721.9631.74-
2023/110.628.1476.795.3333.531.6936.68係因疫情趨緩,餐飲及旅館部門收入增加,故本月較去年同期增加76.8%
2023/100.5715.5185.524.7129.361.5939.07係因疫情趨緩,餐飲及旅館部門收入增加,故本月較去年同期增加85.52%
2023/90.5-3.9730.04.1424.141.5135.66-
2023/80.524.1732.833.6423.391.4836.34-
2023/70.55.9943.513.1221.951.3639.7-
2023/60.4719.59-15.442.6318.581.2839.83-
2023/50.39-6.6426.992.1629.941.3139.03-
2023/40.42-15.1734.621.7630.621.3238.55-
2023/30.4921.2980.81.3529.411.3535.47係因COVID-19疫情趨緩,餐飲及旅館部門收入增加,故本月較去年同期增加80.80%。
2023/20.41-7.7437.620.8511.051.3834.58-
2023/10.44-16.45-5.730.44-5.731.3236.07-
2022/120.5350.7611.234.52-38.581.1938.93-
2022/110.3513.48-13.273.99-42.021.0444.42-
2022/100.31-19.04-10.013.64-43.821.0842.84-
2022/90.38-1.89-7.783.33-45.711.1237.27-
2022/80.3912.55-4.152.95-48.461.2932.3-
2022/70.35-37.55-90.012.56-51.841.2134.46本月及本年累計較去年同期減少,係去年110/07月營建部門認列收入所致。
2022/60.5579.61509.352.2119.61.1732.21因111年6月認列地主找補款營建收入,及因COVID-19疫情趨緩,餐飲及旅館部門收入增加,故本月較去年同期增加509.36%。
2022/50.31-1.0321.721.66-5.70.8942.32-
2022/40.3113.91-12.641.35-10.320.8842.9-
2022/30.27-7.67-20.281.04-9.61.0434.49-
2022/20.3-36.81-19.010.77-5.051.2428.87-
2022/10.47-1.46.560.476.561.3526.56-
2021/120.4817.548.557.3698.61.2227.91本年累計較去年同期增加,係7月營建部門認列收入。
2021/110.417.745.246.89110.681.1629.38本年累計較去年同期增加,係7月營建部門認列收入。
2021/100.34-17.044.976.48124.751.1629.34本年累計較去年同期增加,係7月營建部門認列收入。
2021/90.411.9623.836.14140.094.297.17本年累計較去年同期增加,係7月營建部門認列收入。
2021/80.41-88.2729.415.72157.63.967.75本年累計較去年同期增加,係7月營建部門認列收入。
2021/73.473710.351228.645.32178.713.818.06本月及本年累計較去年同期增加,係本月營建部門認列收入。
2021/60.09-64.12-61.391.8512.40.741.29因110年6月新冠肺炎疫情影響較大,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少,故本月較去年同期減少61.39%。
2021/50.25-28.9827.651.7624.720.9530.36-
2021/40.363.95333.681.5124.251.0727.16因109年4月新冠肺炎疫情影響較大,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少,故本月較去年同期增加333.69%。
2021/30.34-6.268.311.151.711.1523.38因109年3月新冠肺炎疫情影響較大,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少,故本月較去年同期增加68.32%。
2021/20.37-16.8525.230.81-12.941.2421.59-
2021/10.440.43-30.550.44-30.551.2621.28-
2020/120.4413.95-45.283.71-51.561.1513.89本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/110.3817.44-44.353.27-52.291.0515.26本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/100.33-2.14-48.732.88-53.180.9816.37本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/90.336.56-37.52.56-53.70.9110.94本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/80.3120.4-55.222.22-55.440.8112.28本月及本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/70.2610.72-56.181.91-55.480.714.32本月及本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/60.2418.63-59.561.65-55.360.5216.2本月及本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/50.2141.28-69.971.41-54.580.4817.26本月及本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/40.08-59.65-86.091.21-50.410.5814.46本月及本年累計較去年同期減少,係因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/30.2-30.21-69.171.13-39.021.136.6109年第一季因新冠肺炎疫情影響,餐飲及旅館部門收入減少。
2020/20.29-53.89-47.550.93-22.281.734.32-
2020/10.63-20.86-0.090.63-0.090.0N/A-
2019/120.815.9-0.817.65-48.150.0N/A係107年第一季營建部門認列收入。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.562023/10.442022/10.472021/10.442020/10.63
2024/20.52023/20.412022/20.32021/20.372020/20.29
2024/30.622023/30.492022/30.272021/30.342020/30.2
2024/40.492023/40.422022/40.312021/40.362020/40.08
2024/50.52023/50.392022/50.312021/50.252020/50.2
2024/60.532023/60.472022/60.552021/60.092020/60.24
2024/70.452023/70.52022/70.352021/73.472020/70.26
2024/80.52023/80.522022/80.392021/80.412020/80.31
2024/98.492023/90.52022/90.382021/90.412020/90.33
2024/102.22023/100.572022/100.312021/100.342020/100.33
2024/116.212023/110.622022/110.352021/110.42020/110.38
N/AN/A2023/120.762022/120.532021/120.482020/120.44
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 47.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)10.74-6.5347.93
24Q2 (19)11.4927.6766.52
24Q1 (18)9.021.6240.62
23Q4 (17)7.41.9321.51
23Q3 (16)7.265.2225.39
23Q2 (15)6.97.8127.31
23Q1 (14)6.45.0921.44
22Q4 (13)6.095.1826.88
22Q3 (12)5.796.8359.5
22Q2 (11)5.422.8552.68
22Q1 (10)5.279.7971.66
21Q4 (9)4.832.2366.09
21Q3 (8)3.632.2599.45
21Q2 (7)3.5515.64238.1
21Q1 (6)3.076.23181.65
20Q4 (5)2.8958.79175.24
20Q3 (4)1.8273.330.0
20Q2 (3)1.05-3.670.0
20Q1 (2)1.093.810.0
19Q4 (1)1.050.00.0

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