. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2012/13.14-16.54-44.983.14-44.9811.09N/A
2011/123.77-9.72-30.5156.56-14.6812.01N/A
2011/114.172.67-20.3952.79-13.2712.7N/A
2011/104.07-8.9-13.7548.61-12.612.74N/A
2011/94.466.07-16.3144.55-12.4913.67N/A
2011/84.21-15.88-16.8140.09-12.0514.02N/A
2011/75.03.9-13.9635.88-11.4515.28N/A
2011/64.81-11.86-10.6930.87-11.0315.79N/A
2011/55.46-0.95-9.0826.06-11.0916.34N/A
2011/45.512.8-13.7120.6-11.6114.88N/A
2011/35.3634.03-11.5615.08-10.8215.08N/A
2011/24.0-29.98-15.219.72-10.4115.14N/A
2011/15.725.4-6.75.72-6.716.38N/A
2010/125.423.420.4366.299.5415.38N/A
2010/115.2411.235.7360.8710.4315.29N/A
2010/104.7111.610.2855.6212.2515.11N/A
2010/95.335.44-10.2650.9113.516.21N/A
2010/85.06-13.0-21.3945.5817.1316.26N/A
2010/75.817.852.8640.5224.7717.21N/A
2010/65.39-10.2714.6734.729.3817.79N/A
2010/56.01-5.9940.6829.3132.510.0N/A
2010/46.395.3631.0123.3130.550.0N/A
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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