玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1119.781.41-3.19220.14-2.0459.58N/A-
2024/1019.51-3.82-6.48200.36-1.9261.0N/A-
2024/920.29-4.33-6.22180.85-1.461.880.04-
2024/821.23.97-4.14160.57-0.7661.430.04-
2024/720.392.84-2.52139.36-0.2261.060.04-
2024/619.83-4.86-0.27118.970.1760.30.03-
2024/520.846.150.6899.140.2760.880.03-
2024/419.63-3.790.6978.30.1657.780.03-
2024/320.4115.03-2.1258.67-0.0158.670.05-
2024/217.74-13.53-2.7438.261.1458.880.05-
2024/120.52-0.54.7720.524.7761.580.05-
2023/1220.620.89-1.74245.351.5361.920.04-
2023/1120.44-2.031.56224.731.8462.930.04-
2023/1020.86-3.543.88204.291.8764.620.04-
2023/921.63-2.228.17183.431.6564.670.03-
2023/822.125.741.78161.80.8362.930.03-
2023/720.925.21-1.92139.680.6861.50.04-
2023/619.88-3.942.05118.761.1660.080.05-
2023/520.76.1713.5798.870.9861.050.05-
2023/419.5-6.49-1.9378.17-1.8958.590.05-
2023/320.8514.3-5.8558.68-1.8858.680.05-
2023/218.24-6.854.6937.820.4558.810.05-
2023/119.58-6.69-3.1919.58-3.1960.690.05-
2022/1220.994.292.55241.6513.9861.20.06-
2022/1120.120.190.05220.6615.2160.20.06-
2022/1020.080.44-1.33200.5316.9861.810.06-
2022/920.0-7.995.21180.4519.4563.060.05-
2022/821.731.8820.91160.4621.562.550.05-
2022/721.339.4830.97138.7221.659.040.06-
2022/619.486.8841.18117.3920.0457.590.06-
2022/518.23-8.3214.6897.9116.5660.260.06-
2022/419.88-10.2312.3379.6817.059.450.06-
2022/322.1527.1221.7859.818.6459.80.04-
2022/217.42-13.8714.8737.6516.8758.120.05-
2022/120.23-1.1518.6520.2318.6560.810.04-
2021/1220.471.7522.45211.9915.4760.930.05-
2021/1120.11-1.1933.43191.5314.7859.470.05-
2021/1020.357.131.14171.4112.9257.330.05-
2021/919.05.7319.05151.0610.8553.270.05-
2021/817.9710.3611.59132.059.7648.060.05-
2021/716.2918.03-0.44114.089.4845.980.06-
2021/613.8-13.17-4.2197.7911.3347.390.07-
2021/515.89-10.226.4783.9914.3751.780.07-
2021/417.7-2.6859.4468.111.8851.050.07平均油價大幅上升
2021/318.1919.924.5950.41.2750.40.06-
2021/215.17-11.04-4.9932.22-8.448.930.06-
2021/117.052.01-11.2317.05-11.2348.840.06-
2020/1216.7110.88-14.81183.58-19.9447.310.06-
2020/1115.07-2.88-17.9166.86-20.4246.560.06-
2020/1015.52-2.77-19.97151.79-20.6747.590.06-
2020/915.96-0.88-14.97136.27-20.7548.430.04-
2020/816.11-1.54-16.57120.31-21.4546.870.04-
2020/716.3613.55-19.28104.2-22.1643.330.04-
2020/614.4114.64-26.7987.84-22.6738.070.07-
2020/512.5713.2-39.0573.43-21.8138.260.07-
2020/411.1-23.95-43.0460.87-16.9641.660.06-
2020/314.6-8.57-22.4649.77-7.5149.770.03-
2020/215.96-16.88-1.4935.170.5254.790.03-
2020/119.21-2.12.2619.212.260.0N/A-
2019/1219.626.855.8229.320.760.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/120.522023/119.582022/120.232021/117.052020/119.21
2024/217.742023/218.242022/217.422021/215.172020/215.96
2024/320.412023/320.852022/322.152021/318.192020/314.6
2024/419.632023/419.52022/419.882021/417.72020/411.1
2024/520.842023/520.72022/518.232021/515.892020/512.57
2024/619.832023/619.882022/619.482021/613.82020/614.41
2024/720.392023/720.922022/721.332021/716.292020/716.36
2024/821.22023/822.122022/821.732021/817.972020/816.11
2024/920.292023/921.632022/920.02021/919.02020/915.96
2024/1019.512023/1020.862022/1020.082021/1020.352020/1015.52
2024/1119.782023/1120.442022/1120.122021/1120.112020/1115.07
N/AN/A2023/1220.622022/1220.992021/1220.472020/1216.71
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.95%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.229.913.39
24Q2 (19)1.11-5.93-9.02
24Q1 (18)1.18-3.28-3.28
23Q4 (17)1.223.394.27
23Q3 (16)1.18-3.280.85
23Q2 (15)1.220.05.17
23Q1 (14)1.224.274.27
22Q4 (13)1.170.04.46
22Q3 (12)1.170.860.0
22Q2 (11)1.16-0.857.41
22Q1 (10)1.174.467.34
21Q4 (9)1.12-4.27-2.61
21Q3 (8)1.178.33-6.4
21Q2 (7)1.08-0.92-6.9
21Q1 (6)1.09-5.22-9.17
20Q4 (5)1.15-8.02.68
20Q3 (4)1.257.760.0
20Q2 (3)1.16-3.330.0
20Q1 (2)1.27.140.0
19Q4 (1)1.120.00.0

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