玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)3165.335.330.04100.0-63.64-0.02-300.0-166.670.1066.67-62.962.54-3.05-11.8112.55-17.6-27.2-1.37-184.05-124.254.46127.55-63.2-0.03-175.0-118.750.13116.67-61.765.65112.41-59.034.46127.55-63.21.0825.00-150.00
24Q2 (19)3000.00.00.02-50.0-75.00.010.0-75.00.0650.0-60.02.625.22-8.7115.23-5.17-2.561.63-39.41-71.71.96-62.81-75.980.04-42.86-76.470.06-53.85-73.912.66-60.3-72.351.96-62.81-75.98-4.0125.00-37.50
24Q1 (18)3000.3326.580.04100.0-55.560.01-75.0-66.670.04-86.21-55.562.49-13.24-10.4316.061.65-0.252.69-35.18-47.365.27101.15-35.340.07-41.67-50.00.1385.71-40.916.70159.69-27.725.27101.15-35.34-6.799.09-20.84
23Q4 (17)299-0.3336.530.02-81.82-80.00.0433.33-50.00.297.41-32.562.87-0.351.4115.80-8.35-29.44.15-26.55-55.942.62-78.38-68.130.12-25.0-55.560.07-79.41-68.182.58-81.29-67.472.62-78.38-68.130.00-22.164.16
23Q3 (16)3000.014.070.1137.5-35.290.03-25.0150.00.2780.0-15.622.880.358.2717.2410.345.735.65-1.91232.3212.1248.53-17.210.16-5.88245.450.3447.83-22.7313.7943.35-27.6912.1248.53-17.211.8013.204.16
23Q2 (15)30026.5839.530.08-11.110.00.0433.33300.00.1566.6715.382.873.24-7.1215.63-2.92-16.685.7612.72547.198.160.1235.770.1721.43466.670.234.5527.789.623.7858.228.160.1235.770.74-10.55-14.59
23Q1 (14)2378.2232.40.09-10.050.00.03-62.5400.00.09-79.0750.02.78-1.77-1.7716.10-28.06-8.375.11-45.751029.098.15-0.85107.910.14-48.15800.00.220.0100.09.2716.9132.338.15-0.85107.912.31-25.5985.42
22Q4 (13)219-16.7333.540.10-41.18-72.220.08233.33172.730.4334.3765.382.836.390.022.3889.18121.589.42320.61203.298.22-43.85-58.320.27345.45203.850.22-50.0-62.717.93-58.42-66.48.22-43.85-58.32-3.7735.66-233.33
22Q3 (12)26322.3361.350.17112.5750.0-0.06-700.0-400.00.32146.15420.02.66-13.92-5.6711.83-36.94-23.13-4.27-579.78-6000.014.64143.59704.4-0.11-466.6700.44144.442100.019.07213.651397.2814.64143.59704.4-2.3772.91-250.00
22Q2 (11)21520.1131.90.0833.33214.290.01200.0-50.00.13116.67208.333.099.1927.1618.766.77-2.750.89261.82-62.456.0153.32232.090.03250.0-50.00.1863.64263.646.0852.38237.566.0153.32232.094.59-25.00145.45
22Q1 (10)1799.159.820.06-83.33220.0-0.0190.9150.00.06-76.92220.02.830.010.5517.5773.9627.97-0.5593.9786.553.92-80.121325.0-0.0292.3180.00.11-81.36237.53.99-83.09173.483.92-80.121325.00.17808.34-279.55
21Q4 (9)1640.619.330.361700.0224.14-0.11-650.015.380.26360.0111.872.830.3533.4910.10-34.3754.67-9.12-12928.5752.5719.72983.52193.02-0.26036.590.592850.0234.0923.601705.44211.2719.72983.52193.028.20914.28-325.00
21Q3 (8)1630.00.00.02128.57104.650.020.0109.52-0.1016.6794.92.8216.0541.015.39-20.22201.17-0.07-102.9599.741.82140.0106.270-100.0100.00.02118.18102.86-1.4766.7494.931.82140.0106.275.4944.28100.00
21Q2 (7)1630.07.95-0.07-40.092.130.02200.0140.0-0.12-140.092.362.43-5.0825.2619.2940.5772.132.37157.95108.03-4.55-1321.8794.980.06160.0110.53-0.11-37.591.85-4.4218.695.1-4.55-1321.8794.987.8321.38142.31
21Q1 (6)1638.6732.52-0.0582.7692.42-0.0284.6287.5-0.0597.7292.422.5620.752.413.73110.2634225.0-4.0978.7382.9-0.3298.4999.13-0.175.6183.33-0.0881.8290.12-5.4374.484.83-0.3298.4999.1313.3857.6661.36
20Q4 (5)150-7.9821.95-0.2932.5674.78-0.1338.138.1-2.19-11.7313.12.126.0-13.476.5327.79198.34-19.2329.5352.73-21.2026.9569.08-0.4125.4559.0-0.4437.1469.01-21.2126.8170.49-21.2026.9569.08--0.00
20Q3 (4)1637.950.0-0.4351.690.0-0.21-320.00.0-1.96-24.840.02.03.090.05.11278.050.0-27.297.550.0-29.0267.970.0-0.553.510.0-0.748.150.0-28.9867.850.0-29.0267.970.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)15122.760.0-0.89-34.850.0-0.0568.750.0-1.57-137.880.01.94-22.40.0-2.87-7275.00.0-29.52-23.410.0-90.59-147.380.0-0.575.00.0-1.35-66.670.0-90.13-151.830.0-90.59-147.380.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1230.00.0-0.6642.610.0-0.1623.810.0-0.6673.810.02.52.040.00.04100.60.0-23.9241.20.0-36.6246.590.0-0.640.00.0-0.8142.960.0-35.7950.20.0-36.6246.590.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1230.00.0-1.150.00.0-0.210.00.0-2.520.00.02.450.00.0-6.640.00.0-40.680.00.0-68.570.00.0-1.00.00.0-1.420.00.0-71.870.00.0-68.570.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.84-7.91-10.898.5-10.292.61N/A-
2024/90.916.89-2.577.66-10.222.541.42-
2024/80.859.73-15.656.75-11.172.521.43-
2024/70.78-12.15-16.835.89-10.482.521.43-
2024/60.893.57-14.065.12-9.422.621.42-
2024/50.86-3.12-6.964.23-8.392.581.45-
2024/40.885.42-4.173.37-8.742.481.5-
2024/30.8410.39-14.862.49-10.262.491.49-
2024/20.76-15.33-12.381.65-7.742.571.44-
2024/10.9-2.49-3.410.9-3.412.831.31-
2023/120.92-9.242.4511.41-0.072.871.22-
2023/111.017.326.2410.49-0.292.891.22-
2023/100.940.68-3.859.48-0.942.891.22-
2023/90.94-7.469.998.53-0.612.881.32-
2023/81.018.2110.17.6-1.782.981.28-
2023/70.94-9.243.776.58-3.382.891.32-
2023/61.0312.13-2.855.65-4.472.871.4-
2023/50.92-0.22-7.234.62-4.832.821.42-
2023/40.92-6.33-10.273.7-4.212.771.45-
2023/30.9813.61.032.78-2.022.781.53-
2023/20.87-6.662.171.79-3.622.691.58-
2023/10.933.43-8.470.93-8.472.781.53-
2022/120.9-5.88-10.3311.427.482.831.52-
2022/110.95-2.876.5810.529.332.791.54-
2022/100.9815.195.129.579.622.751.56-
2022/90.85-7.36-17.228.5910.152.671.56-
2022/80.921.9912.027.7314.322.881.45-
2022/70.9-15.03-1.296.8114.642.951.42-
2022/61.067.077.445.9117.533.081.39-
2022/50.99-3.4922.264.8519.992.991.43-
2022/41.035.4751.613.8619.432.851.5正道集團因國外新冠肺炎疫情趨緩,客戶端訂單回升,導致本月(2022/4)營收較去年同期(2021/4)增加超過50%
2022/30.9714.87-4.292.8310.92.831.56-
2022/20.85-16.3826.51.8620.942.861.54-
2022/11.011.3316.661.0116.662.911.52-
2021/121.011.8747.6510.6224.412.831.47-
2021/110.89-4.1911.119.6222.412.861.46-
2021/100.93-9.342.138.7323.72.781.49-
2021/91.0325.3739.567.7921.812.761.58-
2021/80.82-10.1233.146.7619.492.721.61-
2021/70.91-7.5251.425.9417.832.711.61正道集團因國外新冠肺炎疫情趨緩,客戶端訂單回升,導致本月(2021/7)營收較去年同期(2020/07)增加超過50%
2021/60.9921.8432.875.0313.272.481.72-
2021/50.8119.675.144.049.332.51.7-
2021/40.68-33.4148.663.2310.432.361.8-
2021/31.0251.8410.692.563.382.561.56-
2021/20.67-22.89-5.881.54-0.932.221.8-
2021/10.8728.253.250.873.252.351.69-
2020/120.68-15.812.728.54-27.142.141.92-
2020/110.822.54-8.367.86-28.922.21.87-
2020/100.66-10.94-25.997.05-30.72.012.04-
2020/90.7419.6-32.046.4-31.151.962.25-
2020/80.622.2-37.055.66-31.031.962.24-
2020/70.6-18.85-40.235.04-30.212.122.08-
2020/60.74-3.58-29.244.44-28.591.972.28-
2020/50.7769.21-32.193.7-28.462.152.1-
2020/40.46-50.42-57.682.93-27.42.092.16正道集團受新冠肺炎影響:正道馬來廠停工(已於2020/4/29全面復工) 及客戶端出貨減緩,導致本月營收較去年同期衰退超過50%。
2020/30.9229.09-24.052.47-16.372.471.91-
2020/20.71-15.4-12.261.55-11.062.212.13-
2020/10.8427.59-10.010.84-10.012.381.98-
2019/120.66-24.9-24.3811.72-2.40.0N/A-
2019/110.88-1.02-4.0411.06-0.680.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)29936.530.29-32.560.14366.6711.41-0.0916.19-8.795.17259.037.76-3.60.59268.751.01-1.940.87-8.42
2022 (9)21933.540.4365.380.03011.427.3317.7522.671.4408.0574.620.1601.03171.050.95120.93
2021 (8)1649.330.260-0.08010.6424.314.47566.82-2.8804.610-0.3100.3800.430
2020 (7)15021.95-2.190-0.5508.56-27.272.17-65.0-24.820-43.270-2.120-3.670-3.30
2019 (6)1230.82-2.520-0.68011.77-2.166.2014.39-23.420-31.200-2.760-3.680-3.090
2018 (5)1220.0-0.950-0.54012.03-11.745.42-66.42-17.230-11.210-2.070-1.530-1.170
2017 (4)1220.0-0.1200.08-27.2713.63-13.316.14-15.28-1.670-0.880-0.230-0.630-0.150
2016 (3)1220.00.17-41.380.11-8.3315.721.4219.057.382.9075.761.42-32.380.4676.920.325.00.2-42.86
2015 (2)1220.00.29163.640.129.0915.5-1.0217.7414.161.65-16.242.10337.50.26-16.130.24166.670.35169.23
2014 (1)1220.00.1100.11015.669.2115.5401.9700.4800.3100.0900.130

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