玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1020.37-0.0820.94196.0711.3661.3N/A-
2024/920.39-0.6914.73175.710.3561.570.7-
2024/820.53-0.5512.65155.39.861.960.7-
2024/720.65-0.621.26134.779.3862.140.69-
2024/620.780.3112.02114.1210.9961.840.63-
2024/520.711.7513.9793.3510.7661.610.63-
2024/420.35-0.9217.9872.639.8754.510.71-
2024/320.5450.920.1852.287.0152.280.77-
2024/213.61-24.9-15.2731.7411.9550.410.8-
2024/118.13-2.9447.5818.1347.5854.390.74-
2023/1218.676.1713.18212.32-13.3553.110.7-
2023/1117.594.41-6.75193.65-15.2652.210.71-
2023/1016.85-5.21-13.1176.06-16.0352.840.7-
2023/917.77-2.49-13.44159.21-16.3356.390.7-
2023/818.23-10.61-10.66141.44-16.6857.160.69-
2023/720.399.94-0.72123.21-17.557.110.69-
2023/618.552.06-21.84102.82-20.1853.970.73-
2023/518.175.33-10.7584.28-19.855.930.71-
2023/417.25-15.86-20.6166.1-21.9753.820.73-
2023/320.527.62-15.3848.85-22.4448.850.82-
2023/216.0730.8-11.7328.35-26.8644.850.89-
2023/112.28-25.56-40.2512.28-40.2547.640.84-
2022/1216.5-12.52-27.87245.04-6.8854.750.79-
2022/1118.86-2.7-23.15228.54-4.8858.780.74-
2022/1019.39-5.58-17.7209.68-2.860.320.72-
2022/920.530.63-10.73190.29-0.9861.470.8-
2022/820.4-0.66-14.71169.760.3464.670.76-
2022/720.54-13.45-9.56149.362.8264.630.76-
2022/623.7316.542.23128.825.1165.830.75-
2022/520.36-6.3-9.74105.095.7966.330.75-
2022/421.73-10.32-1.4284.7310.3564.170.77-
2022/324.2333.1417.3162.9915.0962.990.81-
2022/218.2-11.4621.7338.7613.7561.640.83-
2022/120.56-10.137.5120.567.5167.980.75-
2021/1222.88-6.7922.5263.1636.6570.980.8-
2021/1124.554.1927.87240.2838.1771.10.8-
2021/1023.562.4134.75215.7439.4470.480.81-
2021/923.0-3.8535.62192.1840.0469.630.82-
2021/823.925.3341.79169.1840.6669.850.82-
2021/722.71-2.1636.57145.2640.4868.480.84-
2021/623.212.8955.54122.5541.2367.820.7本月受鋼價上漲及市場需求增加,銷售價格及數量均增加,故本月營收較去年同月增加。
2021/522.562.3352.9899.3438.2665.260.73增加原因係本月受鋼價上漲及市場需求增加,銷售價格及數量均增加,故本月營收較去年同月增加。
2021/422.056.7143.5476.7834.4557.650.83-
2021/320.6638.1631.5154.7331.1154.730.75-
2021/214.95-21.814.8634.0730.8752.750.78-
2021/119.122.3946.8719.1246.8756.990.72-
2020/1218.67-2.712.8192.5814.1755.350.62-
2020/1119.199.815.37173.914.3153.630.64-
2020/1017.483.0715.66154.7114.1851.310.67-
2020/916.960.5216.33137.2314.050.460.7-
2020/816.871.4535.5120.2713.6848.420.73-
2020/716.6311.4217.15103.410.7646.30.76-
2020/614.921.26.1686.779.6245.030.75-
2020/514.75-3.9711.3571.8510.3745.810.74-
2020/415.36-2.2216.7157.110.1144.080.77-
2020/315.7120.6713.0641.747.8741.740.83-
2020/213.02-0.0122.326.034.9642.590.81-
2020/113.02-21.35-8.0613.02-8.0646.210.75-
2019/1216.55-0.4912.15168.68-9.210.0N/A-
2019/1116.6410.08-4.06152.12-11.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/118.132023/112.282022/120.562021/119.122020/113.02
2024/213.612023/216.072022/218.22021/214.952020/213.02
2024/320.542023/320.52022/324.232021/320.662020/315.71
2024/420.352023/417.252022/421.732021/422.052020/415.36
2024/520.712023/518.172022/520.362021/522.562020/514.75
2024/620.782023/618.552022/623.732021/623.212020/614.92
2024/720.652023/720.392022/720.542021/722.712020/716.63
2024/820.532023/818.232022/820.42021/823.922020/816.87
2024/920.392023/917.772022/920.532021/923.02020/916.96
2024/1020.372023/1016.852022/1019.392021/1023.562020/1017.48
N/AN/A2023/1117.592022/1118.862021/1124.552020/1119.19
N/AN/A2023/1218.672022/1216.52021/1222.882020/1218.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 20.71%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)13.4121.36187.15
24Q2 (19)11.05-3.32114.56
24Q1 (18)11.4356.58136.65
23Q4 (17)7.356.3283.88
23Q3 (16)4.67-9.3238.58
23Q2 (15)5.156.6318.12
23Q1 (14)4.8321.66-16.44
22Q4 (13)3.9717.8-34.92
22Q3 (12)3.37-22.71-57.93
22Q2 (11)4.36-24.57-33.64
22Q1 (10)5.78-5.25-20.71
21Q4 (9)6.1-23.85153.11
21Q3 (8)8.0121.9292.09
21Q2 (7)6.57-9.8845.68
21Q1 (6)7.29202.49131.43
20Q4 (5)2.41-42.21-18.03
20Q3 (4)4.17-7.540.0
20Q2 (3)4.5143.170.0
20Q1 (2)3.157.140.0
19Q4 (1)2.940.00.0

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