玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.24-3.947.6924.519.8110.2N/A-
2024/93.37-6.38-3.7521.2616.479.980.56-
2024/83.619.2931.8117.8921.279.350.6-
2024/73.0210.2623.7914.2918.878.040.7-
2024/62.7419.35-5.7611.2817.627.010.78-
2024/52.2915.6618.468.5427.785.910.93-
2024/41.9821.0918.356.2531.584.771.15-
2024/31.6442.4272.844.2738.784.271.12本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2024/21.15-22.5653.092.6323.634.840.99本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2024/11.48-32.867.61.487.65.660.85-
2023/122.2112.42-1.2524.62-20.26.370.6-
2023/111.97-10.32-17.4522.41-21.687.660.5-
2023/102.19-37.37-5.8120.44-22.068.420.45-
2023/93.528.212.4218.25-23.648.670.56-
2023/82.7312.02-19.3614.75-27.998.070.6-
2023/72.44-16.05-28.2512.02-29.77.270.67-
2023/62.950.04-10.469.59-30.066.510.84-
2023/51.9315.55-30.576.68-36.134.561.2-
2023/41.6776.84-40.14.75-38.153.371.62-
2023/30.9526.15-42.673.08-37.033.081.94-
2023/20.75-45.57-41.212.13-34.154.371.37-
2023/11.38-38.39-29.541.38-29.546.01.0-
2022/122.24-6.01-17.7130.8524.126.950.71-
2022/112.382.319.6828.6129.258.120.61-
2022/102.33-31.890.7626.2331.389.130.54-
2022/93.420.9341.4623.9135.3910.20.68-
2022/83.39-0.3266.9320.4934.4310.020.69本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2022/73.44.75111.2317.129.449.420.73本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2022/63.2416.3440.1513.7118.118.820.86-
2022/52.79-0.329.1110.4712.627.231.05-
2022/42.869.2634.347.687.635.721.33-
2022/31.6529.352.434.88-3.354.881.75-
2022/21.28-34.75-25.613.23-6.065.951.43-
2022/11.96-28.0513.371.9613.376.851.25-
2021/122.7225.2715.5424.8628.277.20.95-
2021/112.17-6.0-18.1722.1430.036.91.0-
2021/102.31-4.3721.7419.9738.936.751.02-
2021/92.4219.13.8817.6641.556.051.11-
2021/82.0326.12-12.6615.2450.185.951.13本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/71.61-30.49-6.513.2168.826.081.11本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/62.317.1828.5311.6190.036.550.83本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/52.163.7358.359.29115.725.850.93本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/42.0829.06108.537.13142.275.411.01本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/31.61-6.06248.015.05159.565.050.95本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/21.72-0.56228.983.44131.955.80.82本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2021/11.73-26.6779.351.7379.356.730.71本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2020/122.35-11.2932.3119.38-23.646.90.56-
2020/112.6539.8552.5417.02-27.866.880.57本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因訂單量增加所致。
2020/101.9-18.4-10.1514.37-34.256.540.6-
2020/92.320.13-18.7212.47-36.836.370.58-
2020/82.3235.02-11.4210.15-39.95.840.63-
2020/71.72-4.44-34.447.83-45.134.880.76-
2020/61.832.04-12.476.11-47.544.160.72-
2020/51.3636.6-34.934.31-55.062.821.06中國大陸廠區受到新型冠狀肺炎疫情,供應商延遲復工影響,致營收較去年同期減少。
2020/41.0115.38-55.732.94-60.691.981.51中國大陸廠區受到新型冠狀肺炎疫情,供應商延遲復工影響,致營收較去年同期減少。
2020/30.46-11.2-75.351.95-62.831.951.38中國大陸廠區受到新型冠狀肺炎疫情延遲復工影響,致營收較去年同期減少。
2020/20.52-45.78-58.981.48-55.823.260.82中國大陸廠區受到新型冠狀肺炎疫情延遲復工影響,致營收較去年同期減少。
2020/10.96-45.9-53.890.96-53.894.480.6本月營收較去年同期減少主要係因訂單量減少所致。
2019/121.782.27-39.1925.38-3.590.0N/A-
2019/111.74-17.62-30.3123.60.850.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.482023/11.382022/11.962021/11.732020/10.96
2024/21.152023/20.752022/21.282021/21.722020/20.52
2024/31.642023/30.952022/31.652021/31.612020/30.46
2024/41.982023/41.672022/42.82021/42.082020/41.0
2024/52.292023/51.932022/52.792021/52.162020/51.36
2024/62.742023/62.92022/63.242021/62.312020/61.8
2024/73.022023/72.442022/73.42021/71.612020/71.72
2024/83.62023/82.732022/83.392021/82.032020/82.32
2024/93.372023/93.52022/93.422021/92.422020/92.32
2024/103.242023/102.192022/102.332021/102.312020/101.9
N/AN/A2023/111.972022/112.382021/112.172020/112.65
N/AN/A2023/122.212022/122.242021/122.722020/122.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.38%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.7527.12127.27
24Q2 (19)0.59-25.3231.11
24Q1 (18)0.7954.946.3
23Q4 (17)0.5154.5524.39
23Q3 (16)0.33-26.67-17.5
23Q2 (15)0.45-16.677.14
23Q1 (14)0.5431.71145.45
22Q4 (13)0.412.520.59
22Q3 (12)0.4-4.7637.93
22Q2 (11)0.4290.9140.0
22Q1 (10)0.22-35.29-31.25
21Q4 (9)0.3417.24100.0
21Q3 (8)0.29-3.33123.08
21Q2 (7)0.3-6.25130.77
21Q1 (6)0.3288.2477.78
20Q4 (5)0.1730.77-22.73
20Q3 (4)0.130.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.13-27.780.0
20Q1 (2)0.18-18.180.0
19Q4 (1)0.220.00.0

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