玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.33-5.51-51.663.72-43.511.05N/A本月營業收入減少係因客戶需求減少所致。
2024/90.35-6.47-46.863.39-42.571.160.36-
2024/80.37-16.0-48.423.04-42.51.240.34-
2024/70.442.89-40.122.67-41.571.310.32-
2024/60.43-1.99-40.592.23-41.841.180.37-
2024/50.4438.34-44.841.8-42.131.120.39-
2024/40.32-13.02-61.221.36-41.210.920.48主要係處分大陸子公司昆山錦承電子有限公司,致營收減少。
2024/30.3654.69-40.751.05-30.351.050.46-
2024/20.24-47.57-55.410.68-23.171.210.42月份遇農曆春節,工作日數減少所致。
2024/10.45-14.2623.740.4523.741.60.3-
2023/120.52-16.73-16.137.73-20.551.830.27-
2023/110.63-7.3-16.017.21-20.851.960.26-
2023/100.683.8713.566.58-21.292.050.24-
2023/90.65-9.23-4.035.9-23.972.110.28-
2023/80.72-2.49-13.935.29-25.292.180.28-
2023/70.742.09-7.294.57-26.812.250.27-
2023/60.72-9.01-16.053.84-29.662.330.32-
2023/50.79-2.73-10.923.11-32.212.220.34-
2023/40.8232.88-0.292.32-37.331.960.38-
2023/30.6116.42-36.71.5-47.841.50.57-
2023/20.5345.5-36.020.89-53.491.510.57客戶需求減少所致
2023/10.36-41.89-66.710.36-66.711.730.5受農曆春節工作天數減少與客戶需求減少所致
2022/120.62-16.61-38.499.73-30.691.970.45-
2022/110.7525.34-31.499.11-30.082.030.43-
2022/100.6-12.22-44.568.36-29.952.110.42-
2022/90.68-18.59-41.157.77-28.52.310.37-
2022/80.845.02-33.627.09-26.992.490.34-
2022/70.8-7.55-34.456.25-26.012.550.33-
2022/60.86-3.45-16.455.45-24.592.570.39-
2022/50.898.87-37.934.59-25.942.680.37-
2022/40.82-15.64-41.273.7-22.332.610.38-
2022/30.9717.67-27.582.88-14.512.880.38-
2022/20.82-24.286.091.91-5.92.930.38-
2022/11.097.37-13.321.09-13.323.20.34-
2021/121.01-7.13-10.614.0513.93.180.35-
2021/111.091.42-2.9913.0316.383.320.34-
2021/101.08-6.82-9.5711.9418.553.490.32-
2021/91.16-8.17-0.5210.8622.273.630.31-
2021/81.263.717.929.7125.73.50.32-
2021/71.2117.838.238.4528.943.680.3-
2021/61.03-28.27-1.667.2333.223.860.27-
2021/51.443.028.36.241.564.170.25-
2021/41.394.0122.724.7746.113.510.3-
2021/31.3472.449.773.3758.63.370.27109年因受到疫情影響,產線停工,故營收下降。本年度疫情雖然嚴峻,但已有相對應之措施,故對於今年度的影響相對降低。
2021/20.78-38.14119.172.0365.013.170.29109年因受到疫情影響,產線停工,故營收下降。本年度疫情雖然嚴峻,但已有相對應之措施,故對於今年度的影響相對降低。
2021/11.2610.7443.131.2643.133.520.26-
2020/121.130.779.1612.3323.293.450.27-
2020/111.13-5.4514.5111.224.933.480.27-
2020/101.192.527.6610.0726.223.520.26-
2020/91.16-0.3710.58.8826.083.450.25-
2020/81.174.0119.367.7228.823.330.25-
2020/71.127.0614.996.5530.583.290.26-
2020/61.05-6.4127.595.4334.343.30.24-
2020/51.12-1.4647.684.3836.063.150.25-
2020/41.1426.9495.543.2632.482.390.33因新冠肺炎影響,居家商機增加,促使大陸子公司訂單增加
2020/30.89152.2832.632.1313.022.130.44-
2020/20.35-59.6-27.931.232.072.270.41-
2020/10.88-15.5322.710.8822.712.90.32-
2019/121.045.7170.5510.039.220.0N/A因大陸子公司產品轉型,開始量產,是以收入增加
2019/110.985.449.488.9636.310.0N/A因大陸子公司產品轉型,開始量產,是以收入增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.452023/10.362022/11.092021/11.262020/10.88
2024/20.242023/20.532022/20.822021/20.782020/20.35
2024/30.362023/30.612022/30.972021/31.342020/30.89
2024/40.322023/40.822022/40.822021/41.392020/41.14
2024/50.442023/50.792022/50.892021/51.442020/51.12
2024/60.432023/60.722022/60.862021/61.032020/61.05
2024/70.442023/70.742022/70.82021/71.212020/71.12
2024/80.372023/80.722022/80.842021/81.262020/81.17
2024/90.352023/90.652022/90.682021/91.162020/91.16
2024/100.332023/100.682022/100.62021/101.082020/101.19
N/AN/A2023/110.632022/110.752021/111.092020/111.13
N/AN/A2023/120.522022/120.622021/121.012020/121.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.28%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1157.141000.0
24Q2 (19)0.0716.670
24Q1 (18)0.060.00
23Q4 (17)0.06500.00
23Q3 (16)0.0100

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