玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1012.27-39.1810.22143.11-4.8255.91N/A-
2024/920.18-14.02-9.62130.84-6.0265.870.58-
2024/823.475.597.2110.67-5.3463.870.6-
2024/722.2222.266.2487.2-8.2253.830.71-
2024/618.1835.37-4.0864.98-12.3141.331.32-
2024/513.4338.07-16.046.8-15.1430.811.77-
2024/49.7227.03-22.8133.38-14.7924.722.21-
2024/37.654.25-15.4123.65-10.9823.651.96-
2024/27.34-15.16-6.4816.0-8.724.061.92-
2024/18.657.35-10.58.65-10.523.781.95-
2023/128.0614.09-48.19165.5-17.526.261.23-
2023/117.07-36.52-48.43157.43-14.9240.520.8-
2023/1011.13-50.13-26.84150.37-12.2455.350.58-
2023/922.331.98-18.85139.24-10.8265.130.47-
2023/821.894.65-14.44116.91-9.161.760.49-
2023/720.9210.38-15.4395.02-7.7755.850.54-
2023/618.9518.55-9.6274.1-5.3547.531.18-
2023/515.9826.877.9555.15-3.837.631.49-
2023/412.639.211.0539.17-7.8929.51.91-
2023/39.0515.26-4.3126.57-11.626.572.27-
2023/27.85-18.82-18.5217.52-14.9533.081.82-
2023/19.67-37.84-11.819.67-11.8138.931.55-
2022/1215.5613.544.61200.6254.2144.480.95客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/1113.7-9.942.82185.0660.6156.430.75客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/1015.22-44.6975.93171.3568.1768.320.62客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/927.517.54127.43156.1467.4577.840.59客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/825.593.4377.49128.6258.5171.290.65客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/724.7417.9743.43103.0454.4160.510.76客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/620.9741.648.0478.358.2448.241.45客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/514.8118.7610.757.3362.3336.731.9客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/412.4731.8199.4642.5393.8131.562.21客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/39.46-1.8480.8330.0691.5630.062.0客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/29.64-12.14116.020.696.9235.481.7訂單遞延及客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2022/110.97-26.2682.7310.9782.7339.171.54訂單遞延及客戶需求增加,帶動營收增長。
2021/1214.8711.6190.7130.096.7736.851.14越南廠恢復生產,帶動營收增加。
2021/1113.3354.09196.68115.21-1.2934.071.23越南廠恢復生產,帶動營收增加。
2021/108.65-28.510.4101.89-9.2135.161.19-
2021/912.1-16.07-34.0493.24-10.6843.761.06-
2021/814.41-16.41-20.581.14-5.7145.821.02-
2021/717.2521.77-2.6666.73-1.7644.781.04-
2021/614.165.89-9.6949.48-1.4433.791.81-
2021/513.37113.9918.235.322.324.852.46-
2021/46.2519.531.121.94-5.4415.943.83-
2021/35.2317.25-10.2315.69-14.8915.693.11-
2021/24.46-25.67-16.4310.46-17.0415.583.13-
2021/16.017.29-17.56.0-17.515.613.12-
2020/125.1213.89-38.03121.84-25.0517.441.72-
2020/114.49-42.65-47.72116.72-24.3630.670.98-
2020/107.83-57.29-45.18112.23-22.9844.310.68-
2020/918.341.15-24.74104.4-20.5754.190.52-
2020/818.132.34-19.6686.05-19.6251.530.54-
2020/717.7212.96-15.2767.92-19.644.720.63-
2020/615.6838.61-16.150.2-21.0331.771.79-
2020/511.31137.33-17.634.52-23.0821.912.59-
2020/44.77-18.17-36.2323.21-25.515.933.56-
2020/35.839.15-32.6618.44-22.1118.442.79-
2020/25.34-26.62-12.2912.61-16.0220.872.47-
2020/17.27-11.89-18.577.27-18.5724.132.13-
2019/128.26-3.9-4.79162.5822.440.0N/A-
2019/118.59-39.873.56154.3224.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.652023/19.672022/110.972021/16.02020/17.27
2024/27.342023/27.852022/29.642021/24.462020/25.34
2024/37.652023/39.052022/39.462021/35.232020/35.83
2024/49.722023/412.62022/412.472021/46.252020/44.77
2024/513.432023/515.982022/514.812021/513.372020/511.31
2024/618.182023/618.952022/620.972021/614.162020/615.68
2024/722.222023/720.922022/724.742021/717.252020/717.72
2024/823.472023/821.892022/825.592021/814.412020/818.13
2024/920.182023/922.332022/927.512021/912.12020/918.34
2024/1012.272023/1011.132022/1015.222021/108.652020/107.83
N/AN/A2023/117.072022/1113.72021/1113.332020/114.49
N/AN/A2023/128.062022/1215.562021/1214.872020/125.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.99%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.9382.35-42.94
24Q2 (19)0.516.25-42.05
24Q1 (18)0.48-21.31-50.52
23Q4 (17)0.61-62.58-29.07
23Q3 (16)1.6385.2371.58
23Q2 (15)0.88-9.287.32
23Q1 (14)0.9712.7916.87
22Q4 (13)0.86-9.47-50.0
22Q3 (12)0.9515.85-56.62
22Q2 (11)0.82-1.2-68.09
22Q1 (10)0.83-51.74-65.84
21Q4 (9)1.72-21.46-52.35
21Q3 (8)2.19-14.79-34.04
21Q2 (7)2.575.76-6.2
21Q1 (6)2.43-32.69683.87
20Q4 (5)3.618.73961.76
20Q3 (4)3.3221.170.0
20Q2 (3)2.74783.870.0
20Q1 (2)0.31-8.820.0
19Q4 (1)0.340.00.0

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