玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)760.00.00.48-17.24-21.310.5561.7671.881.7438.1-1.697.485.063.619.934.516.8612.7621.1824.08.53-9.45-13.660.9526.6728.380.36-18.18-21.7412.00-7.83-9.718.53-9.45-13.664.20-15.9725.61
24Q2 (19)760.00.00.58-14.7113.730.34-10.53-5.561.2685.298.627.123.346.4319.07-0.314.6110.53-3.221.359.42-10.5412.280.750.07.140.44-15.3815.7913.02-8.188.239.42-10.5412.28-3.65-3.39-24.62
24Q1 (18)760.00.00.687.944.620.38-38.71-33.330.68-71.674.626.89-10.64-1.2919.13-12.53-5.5810.88-18.26-12.8210.537.894.460.75-27.18-13.790.5210.646.1214.186.145.910.537.894.46-1.935.6127.52
23Q4 (17)760.00.00.633.2810.530.6293.7512.732.4035.59-14.897.716.79-3.9921.8717.2710.7313.3129.3524.869.76-1.2123.861.0339.1919.770.472.179.313.360.5323.139.76-1.2123.867.3611.4541.32
23Q3 (16)760.00.00.6119.61-14.080.32-11.11-30.431.7752.59-21.337.227.92-10.8618.652.35.2510.29-0.96-5.869.8817.761.750.745.71-15.910.4621.05-14.8113.2910.47-0.089.8817.761.751.88-0.96-23.98
23Q2 (15)760.00.00.51-21.54-33.770.36-36.84-43.751.1678.46-24.686.69-4.15-10.6818.23-10.02-12.3110.39-16.75-23.998.39-16.77-22.240.7-19.54-31.370.38-22.45-34.4812.03-10.16-19.378.39-16.77-22.24-8.62-3.75-16.60
23Q1 (14)760.00.00.6514.04-14.470.573.64-8.060.65-76.95-14.476.98-13.08-10.5120.262.584.9212.4817.07-2.8810.0827.92-6.230.871.16-13.00.4913.95-15.5213.3923.41-6.5610.0827.92-6.23-6.97-2.8411.61
22Q4 (13)760.00.00.57-19.7218.750.5519.5741.032.8225.3317.998.03-0.8614.7119.7511.4610.4610.66-2.4712.577.88-18.855.210.86-2.2730.30.43-20.3716.2210.85-18.424.037.88-18.855.213.64-13.75-4.28
22Q3 (12)760.00.00.71-7.7933.960.46-28.122.222.2546.117.88.18.1428.7817.72-14.771.3710.93-20.0411.089.71-10.0120.020.88-13.7341.940.54-6.935.013.30-10.8623.849.71-10.0120.022.08-3.23-12.45
22Q2 (11)760.00.00.771.3242.590.643.2310.341.54102.6310.797.49-3.979.3420.797.662.8713.676.388.4110.790.3723.61.022.018.60.580.041.4614.924.1222.710.790.3723.63.7329.8231.10
22Q1 (10)760.00.00.7658.33-9.520.6258.97-26.190.76-68.2-9.527.811.433.7219.318.0-12.912.8535.69-18.9310.7543.52-9.971.051.52-15.970.5856.76-9.3814.3337.39-9.9310.7543.52-9.9711.3624.4522.82
21Q4 (9)760.00.00.48-9.43-15.790.39-13.33-22.02.3925.1375.747.011.2911.8217.882.29-12.619.47-3.76-16.867.49-7.42-16.50.666.45-7.040.37-7.5-13.9510.43-2.89-14.017.49-7.42-16.51.55-5.64-17.87
21Q3 (8)760.00.00.53-1.8560.610.45-22.41104.551.9137.41138.756.29-8.185.1817.48-13.5120.059.84-21.9744.718.09-7.3331.760.62-27.9151.220.4-2.4460.010.74-11.6832.598.09-7.3331.76-8.54-18.78-26.68
21Q2 (7)760.0-1.30.54-35.71285.710.58-30.9593.331.3965.48202.176.85-8.9192.4220.21-8.84120.6312.61-20.44166.68.73-26.88131.560.86-27.73405.880.41-35.94272.7312.16-23.57744.448.73-26.88131.565.615.8318.52
21Q1 (6)760.00.00.8447.37162.50.8468.0300.00.84-38.24162.57.5220.1341.3522.178.3632.615.8539.1695.9211.9433.1171.551.1967.61176.740.6448.84166.6715.9131.1666.2511.9433.1171.5512.4060.0597.63
20Q4 (5)760.00.00.5772.735600.00.50127.271150.01.3670.086.36.264.683.1320.4640.5231.0711.3967.592.48.9746.09384.860.7173.1797.220.4372.04200.012.1349.75115.848.9746.09384.86--0.00
20Q3 (4)76-1.30.00.33135.710.00.22-26.670.00.8073.910.05.9867.980.014.5658.950.06.8043.760.06.1462.860.00.41141.180.00.25127.270.08.10462.50.06.1462.860.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)771.320.00.14-56.250.00.3042.860.00.4643.750.03.56-33.080.09.16-45.220.04.73-41.530.03.77-45.830.00.17-60.470.00.11-54.170.01.44-84.950.03.77-45.830.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)760.00.00.323100.00.00.21425.00.00.32-56.160.05.32-12.360.016.727.110.08.0936.660.06.96276.220.00.4319.440.00.242300.00.09.5770.280.06.96276.220.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)760.00.00.010.00.00.040.00.00.730.00.06.070.00.015.610.00.05.920.00.01.850.00.00.360.00.00.010.00.05.620.00.01.850.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.423.19-9.0623.921.517.36N/A-
2024/92.35-9.04-1.9621.492.867.480.39-
2024/82.581.332.0819.143.497.40.39-
2024/72.5512.0710.9616.563.717.350.4-
2024/62.27-10.11-1.1414.012.57.120.43-
2024/52.539.0711.5211.743.237.230.43-
2024/42.32-2.779.089.211.176.470.48-
2024/32.3935.11-9.086.89-1.236.890.49-
2024/21.77-35.54-25.064.53.486.670.5-
2024/12.7426.4637.172.7437.177.780.43-
2023/122.17-24.68-16.1928.6-9.087.710.51-
2023/112.887.873.8126.43-8.447.940.49-
2023/102.6711.25-1.9423.56-9.747.590.51-
2023/92.4-5.28-16.120.89-10.657.220.56-
2023/82.5310.14-11.218.5-9.897.130.57-
2023/72.3-0.15-3.9315.97-9.686.870.59-
2023/62.31.42.613.67-10.586.690.6-
2023/52.276.69-16.711.37-12.847.020.57-
2023/42.13-18.96-15.859.1-11.827.110.56-
2023/32.6211.374.346.98-10.526.980.63-
2023/22.3617.984.914.35-17.66.940.64-
2023/12.0-22.73-34.252.0-34.257.350.6-
2022/122.58-6.690.9731.4613.698.070.58-
2022/112.771.8818.1928.8714.998.340.56-
2022/102.72-4.829.3826.114.668.420.56-
2022/92.860.2461.0123.3813.168.10.55越南地區去年同期因COVID-19減少出貨, 今年除原訂單回復加上汽機車座椅及碟煞盤 訂單增加所致。
2022/82.8519.1637.4120.538.677.480.6-
2022/72.396.64-2.1717.685.137.360.61-
2022/62.24-17.68-6.9515.296.367.490.62-
2022/52.727.7820.8813.059.057.760.6-
2022/42.530.4815.3410.326.317.290.64-
2022/32.5111.97-8.647.83.677.80.55-
2022/22.25-26.0618.715.2810.797.840.55-
2022/13.0418.665.583.045.587.940.54-
2021/122.569.212.0927.6731.07.00.65-
2021/112.3411.5118.8325.1134.896.220.73-
2021/102.118.4717.9122.7736.795.950.77-
2021/91.77-14.45-19.6720.6639.066.290.64-
2021/82.07-15.164.4518.8949.316.930.58-
2021/72.441.4334.5716.8257.657.110.57去年因嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎(COVID-19)造成越南地區及外銷歐美客戶訂單減少出貨,致今年較去年同期營收成長。
2021/62.416.9478.4614.3762.396.850.52去年6月因嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎(COVID-19)造成越南地區及外銷歐美客戶訂單減少出貨,致本月較去年同期營收成長。
2021/52.252.8473.2411.9659.57.20.49去年5月因嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎(COVID-19)造成越南地區及歐美客戶外銷訂單減少出貨,致本月較去年同期營收成長。
2021/42.19-20.41148.499.7156.626.830.52去年4月因嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎(COVID-19)造成越南地區當地停工及歐美客戶外銷訂單延後出貨,致本月較去年同期營收成長。
2021/32.7545.544.347.5241.397.520.42-
2021/21.89-34.2410.354.7739.757.270.44-
2021/12.8814.7469.432.8869.437.360.43去年春節為1月減少約1週工作天致較去年同期出貨增加、GSKVN本期新增4輪座椅量產及至興本期新增重機加工生產線量產致營收增加。
2020/122.5127.1225.5521.12-9.886.260.5-
2020/111.9710.651.1718.61-13.185.960.52-
2020/101.78-19.29-16.816.64-14.625.970.52-
2020/92.2111.248.6514.86-14.356.010.47-
2020/81.989.29-0.3312.65-17.45.150.55-
2020/71.8234.51-14.7810.67-19.954.470.64-
2020/61.353.81-26.928.85-20.933.530.98-
2020/51.347.52-31.047.5-19.754.090.85-
2020/40.88-53.77-54.656.2-16.94.50.77因疫情影響,造成子公司當地及外銷訂單延後交貨,致營收大幅減少。與去年同期比較台灣-41.07%,越南-76.48%,大陸-35.46%。
2020/31.9111.24-6.095.32-3.65.320.64-
2020/21.710.9632.343.41-2.155.410.63-
2020/11.7-14.96-22.531.7-22.535.640.6-
2019/122.02.433.3223.44-18.810.0N/A-
2019/111.95-9.0-2.4621.44-20.40.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)760.02.40-14.891.87-16.8928.6-8.9519.812.2711.66-2.759.55-2.153.33-11.673.73-10.771.81-15.02
2022 (9)760.02.8217.992.250.031.4113.5619.37-0.8211.99-0.669.766.783.7712.874.1821.512.1317.68
2021 (8)760.02.3975.742.2581.4527.6630.9719.5322.5212.0748.469.1434.613.3494.193.4491.111.8175.73
2020 (7)760.01.3686.31.24313.3321.12-9.8215.943.18.1328.236.7932.621.7216.221.8-0.551.0387.27
2019 (6)760.00.73-42.970.30-67.7423.42-18.8815.46-6.026.341.775.12-3.581.48-17.781.81-11.710.55-43.3
2018 (5)760.01.28-57.050.93-70.3828.87-8.6416.45-15.216.23-44.775.31-37.681.8-49.442.05-40.230.97-57.08
2017 (4)760.02.98-9.153.14-0.6331.6-0.8819.40-0.2611.28-1.058.52-6.993.56-1.933.43-7.82.26-8.87
2016 (3)760.03.28-1.23.16-3.0731.88-4.9819.4515.6411.4015.749.1610.633.6310.03.7211.382.48-1.59
2015 (2)760.03.3211.783.2625.8733.55-2.7316.827.829.8518.968.2817.113.315.793.347.052.5212.5
2014 (1)760.02.972.062.5911.6434.490.6715.6008.2807.0702.8521.283.1211.432.241.36

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