玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.015.0834.519.9819.243.09N/A
2024/90.96-15.258.058.9717.743.230.88-
2024/81.13-1.5948.368.0219.023.550.8-
2024/71.15-10.1120.126.8915.343.560.8
2024/61.2812.1955.975.7514.433.50.74營收上升主要為客戶需求增加
2024/51.145.147.284.476.343.160.82-
2024/41.0815.4225.63.33-2.862.471.04-
2024/30.94106.69-8.162.25-12.412.251.03-
2024/20.45-47.16-21.811.31-15.222.181.06-
2024/10.86-0.92-11.260.86-11.262.560.91-
2023/120.873.42-15.0610.07-27.272.450.91-
2023/110.8412.11-17.579.21-28.252.470.9-
2023/100.75-15.58-31.898.37-29.162.390.93-
2023/90.8916.36-40.467.62-28.882.60.9-
2023/80.76-20.32-46.466.74-27.022.530.93-
2023/70.9516.7-30.555.98-23.482.550.92-
2023/60.825.94-39.815.02-21.972.451.08-
2023/50.77-10.36-40.524.2-17.192.651.0-
2023/40.86-15.61-20.543.43-9.172.461.08-
2023/31.0275.98-7.332.57-4.592.571.14-
2023/20.58-40.045.321.55-2.692.571.14-
2023/10.97-5.15-6.930.97-6.933.00.98-
2022/121.020.36-20.1513.8529.873.131.12-
2022/111.02-7.35-6.2212.8336.683.60.97-
2022/101.1-26.2128.8611.8242.284.010.87-
2022/91.494.6379.0210.7243.814.280.87因應通膨及交期較長故客戶提高庫存使營收增加
2022/81.423.3429.169.2339.44.160.9-
2022/71.381.1440.597.8141.434.030.93-
2022/61.364.6965.356.4341.623.741.12因應通膨及交期較長故客戶提高庫存使營收增加
2022/51.319.7445.925.0836.373.481.2-
2022/41.08-1.5738.33.7833.372.741.53-
2022/31.1100.0239.152.6931.492.691.52-
2022/20.55-47.0253.281.5926.662.871.42因缺料問題趨緩,故相較去年同期營收成長
2022/11.04-18.6315.981.0415.983.41.2-
2021/121.2817.8747.9410.6712.583.211.08-
2021/111.0827.328.419.399.032.771.25-
2021/100.852.51-2.928.36.932.781.24-
2021/90.83-24.5-9.147.458.182.911.01-
2021/81.112.4830.536.6210.842.91.01-
2021/70.9818.95-6.665.527.62.691.09-
2021/60.82-7.6-11.414.5411.262.51.08-
2021/50.8913.49-14.593.7217.942.471.09-
2021/40.78-0.97-9.842.8333.971.941.4-
2021/30.79120.3396.942.0564.622.051.02去年同期銷貨收入受疫情的影響而嚴重衰退。目前每月的銷貨收入已逐漸恢復至往年同期正常水平的80%~90%左右。
2021/20.36-59.9145.211.2649.182.120.98-
2021/10.93.7850.830.950.832.60.8去年同期銷貨收入受疫情的影響而嚴重衰退。目前每月的銷貨收入已逐漸恢復至往年同期正常水平的80%~90%左右。
2020/120.862.3-3.599.47-17.622.590.7-
2020/110.84-3.76-4.998.61-18.812.640.68-
2020/100.88-4.050.257.77-20.072.630.68-
2020/90.918.46-5.86.89-22.082.810.76-
2020/80.84-19.57-24.325.97-24.092.820.75-
2020/71.0512.91-13.655.13-24.053.020.7-
2020/60.93-10.92-4.034.08-26.332.840.76-
2020/51.0419.81-7.623.16-31.042.310.93-
2020/40.87116.31-8.262.11-38.71.521.42-
2020/30.462.46-56.881.24-50.241.241.54疫情影響
2020/20.25-58.36-52.940.84-46.31.741.1疫情影響
2020/10.59-33.66-42.940.59-42.942.380.8-
2019/120.90.82-14.5811.56.310.0N/A-
2019/110.891.54-13.0410.618.550.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.862023/10.972022/11.042021/10.92020/10.59
2024/20.452023/20.582022/20.552021/20.362020/20.25
2024/30.942023/31.022022/31.12021/30.792020/30.4
2024/41.082023/40.862022/41.082021/40.782020/40.87
2024/51.142023/50.772022/51.32021/50.892020/51.04
2024/61.282023/60.822022/61.362021/60.822020/60.93
2024/71.152023/70.952022/71.382021/70.982020/71.05
2024/81.132023/80.762022/81.422021/81.12020/80.84
2024/90.962023/90.892022/91.492021/90.832020/90.91
2024/101.012023/100.752022/101.12021/100.852020/100.88
N/AN/A2023/110.842022/111.022021/111.082020/110.84
N/AN/A2023/120.872022/121.022021/121.282020/120.86
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.77%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09-25.0-47.06
24Q2 (19)0.120.033.33
24Q1 (18)0.1271.43-7.69
23Q4 (17)0.07-58.82-63.16
23Q3 (16)0.1788.8930.77
23Q2 (15)0.09-30.7712.5
23Q1 (14)0.13-31.5862.5
22Q4 (13)0.1946.15-20.83
22Q3 (12)0.1362.544.44
22Q2 (11)0.080.0-11.11
22Q1 (10)0.08-66.67-38.46
21Q4 (9)0.24166.67166.67
21Q3 (8)0.090.028.57
21Q2 (7)0.09-30.7780.0
21Q1 (6)0.1344.4485.71
20Q4 (5)0.0928.5780.0
20Q3 (4)0.0740.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.05-28.570.0
20Q1 (2)0.0740.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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