玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.15-17.0512.4177.6821.2624.09N/A-
2024/98.633.7355.9870.5322.2324.960.4本月較去年同期增加係因鋼筋及鋼品出貨量雙增所致。
2024/88.313.7364.2861.918.6624.240.41本月較去年同期增加係因鋼筋及鋼品出貨量雙增所致。
2024/78.021.3135.6153.5913.7623.780.42-
2024/67.910.7620.6945.5710.6223.570.55-
2024/57.850.64.9737.668.7125.070.52-
2024/47.8-17.1144.5429.819.7522.140.59-
2024/39.4291.44-4.922.011.1122.010.44-
2024/24.92-35.89-39.712.596.1419.90.48-
2024/17.675.02107.117.67107.1121.870.44本月較去年同期增加係因鋼筋及鋼品出貨量雙增所致。
2023/127.316.0121.5178.2618.0220.560.37-
2023/116.898.2727.0670.9517.6718.780.4-
2023/106.3615.0925.4664.0616.7416.950.45-
2023/95.539.25-35.5557.715.8616.50.38-
2023/85.06-14.36-8.6152.1726.5617.530.35-
2023/75.91-9.8211.5947.1132.0219.940.31-
2023/66.55-12.3640.3941.235.5919.430.23-
2023/57.4838.5359.934.6434.7122.780.2本月較去年同期增加係因鋼筋及鋼品出貨量雙增所致。
2023/45.4-45.47-1.3427.1629.1123.460.19-
2023/39.921.3877.9921.7639.8321.760.15本月較去年同期增加係因鋼筋及鋼品出貨量雙增所致。
2023/28.16120.1951.8911.8618.617.870.19本月較去年同期增加係因鋼筋及鋼品出貨量雙增所致。
2023/13.7-38.38-20.03.7-20.015.140.22-
2022/126.0110.86-15.5266.349.4116.510.11-
2022/115.426.9112.1960.2961.8219.080.09本年度較去年同期增加係因新增鋼品品項出售。
2022/105.07-40.8817.8954.8769.2219.190.09本年度較去年同期增加係因新增鋼品品項出售。
2022/98.5854.93201.3549.877.0719.420.2較去年同期增加係因新增鋼品品項出售。
2022/85.544.5693.0241.2263.0715.50.25較去年同期增加係因新增鋼品品項出售。
2022/75.313.4468.7835.6859.2314.640.27本月及本年度較去年同期增加係因新增鋼品品項出售。
2022/64.67-0.1846.8330.3857.6814.820.21本年度較去年同期增加係因買氣增加及售價調漲。
2022/54.68-14.5337.625.7159.8215.710.2本年度較去年同期增加係因買氣增加及售價調漲。
2022/45.47-1.6137.1721.0465.7716.410.19本年度較去年同期增加係因買氣增加及售價調漲。
2022/35.563.5962.4815.5678.8915.560.18本月較去年同期增加係因買氣增加及售價調漲。
2022/25.3715.96166.2610.089.5417.120.16本月較去年同期增加係因客戶增加、買氣增加。
2022/14.63-34.9342.064.6342.0616.580.17-
2021/127.1247.24140.4544.3842.4416.250.15本月較去年同期增加係因售價提高及新增鋼品品項出售所致。
2021/114.8312.3465.637.2632.1511.980.21本月較去年同期增加係因客戶增加、買氣增加。
2021/104.351.0971.2632.4328.2910.020.25本月較去年同期增加係因客戶增加、買氣增加。
2021/92.85-0.7516.2728.1223.558.850.25-
2021/82.87-8.5625.525.2824.429.190.24-
2021/73.14-1.338.9522.4124.299.720.23-
2021/63.18-6.4619.4619.2722.1910.570.2-
2021/53.4-14.7928.4916.0922.7410.810.2-
2021/43.9916.5334.0412.6921.289.430.22-
2021/33.4269.7514.678.716.218.70.19-
2021/22.02-38.12-23.545.2817.248.240.2-
2021/13.2610.1275.023.2675.029.140.18本月較去年同期增加係因110年春節落於2月致1月份上班天數較多所致。
2020/122.961.414.9831.153.418.390.17-
2020/112.9216.171.4928.193.247.880.18-
2020/102.512.58-6.5425.273.457.250.19-
2020/92.457.127.8522.764.696.990.23-
2020/82.291.2317.6520.314.327.210.23-
2020/72.26-15.141.4818.032.847.570.22-
2020/62.660.619.6615.773.048.280.15-
2020/52.65-11.11-13.0213.110.218.610.14-
2020/42.98-0.32.2710.464.228.60.14-
2020/32.9913.1618.677.495.027.490.21-
2020/22.6441.6551.124.5-2.417.320.22本月較去年同期增加係因109年春節落於1月份致2月份上班天數較多所致。
2020/11.86-33.94-35.021.86-35.027.560.21-
2019/122.82-1.9516.7230.1223.820.0N/A-
2019/112.886.9713.6227.3124.610.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.672023/13.72022/14.632021/13.262020/11.86
2024/24.922023/28.162022/25.372021/22.022020/22.64
2024/39.422023/39.92022/35.562021/33.422020/32.99
2024/47.82023/45.42022/45.472021/43.992020/42.98
2024/57.852023/57.482022/54.682021/53.42020/52.65
2024/67.912023/66.552022/64.672021/63.182020/62.66
2024/78.022023/75.912022/75.32021/73.142020/72.26
2024/88.312023/85.062022/85.542021/82.872020/82.29
2024/98.632023/95.532022/98.582021/92.852020/92.45
2024/107.152023/106.362022/105.072021/104.32020/102.51
N/AN/A2023/116.892022/115.422021/114.832020/112.92
N/AN/A2023/127.312022/126.012021/127.122020/122.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 49.52%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.95-35.1244.74
24Q2 (19)7.6369.93478.03
24Q1 (18)4.4933.63189.68
23Q4 (17)3.36-1.7577.78
23Q3 (16)3.42159.09103.57
23Q2 (15)1.32-14.84-34.33
23Q1 (14)1.55-17.99-55.59
22Q4 (13)1.8912.5-33.68
22Q3 (12)1.68-16.42-24.32
22Q2 (11)2.01-42.416.35
22Q1 (10)3.4922.46149.29
21Q4 (9)2.8528.38171.43
21Q3 (8)2.2217.46103.67
21Q2 (7)1.8935.0110.0
21Q1 (6)1.433.3329.63
20Q4 (5)1.05-3.67-22.22
20Q3 (4)1.0921.110.0
20Q2 (3)0.9-16.670.0
20Q1 (2)1.08-20.00.0
19Q4 (1)1.350.00.0

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