玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)290.00.0-0.23-204.55-2200.0-0.17-342.860.0-0.26-766.6756.670.58-1.69-4.9249.33-7.383.22-8.03-302.278.12-11.36-206.07-2604.76-0.05-350.00.0-0.07-216.670-11.36-206.07-2604.76-11.36-206.07-2604.7641.34-8.28-114.70
24Q2 (19)290.00.00.22188.0414.290.07113.46125.0-0.0388.094.920.5984.3818.053.260.895.863.97108.07125.710.71146.4378.910.02112.5125.00.06185.71400.010.71146.4395.8610.71146.4378.9123.56114.93-1.61
24Q1 (18)290.00.0-0.2541.8652.83-0.52-116.670.0-0.2575.7352.830.32-37.25-5.8852.790.27-6.3-49.18-266.47-9.46-23.086.0648.55-0.16-128.57-6.67-0.0741.6753.33-23.084.4348.55-23.086.0648.55-26.82-2079.07-78.92
23Q4 (17)290.011.54-0.43-4200.033.85-0.24-41.1841.46-1.03-71.67-178.630.51-16.39-5.5652.6510.173.05-13.42-53.5539.5-24.57-5750.021.4-0.07-40.041.67-0.12029.41-24.15-5650.024.27-24.57-5750.021.42.80-2057.14-0.95
23Q3 (16)290.011.54-0.0185.71-101.61-0.1739.29-270.0-0.60-1.69-130.610.6122.0-29.0747.79-5.01-7.79-8.7443.43-247.88-0.4289.06-102.26-0.0537.5-200.00100.0-100.0-0.4288.4-101.99-0.4289.06-102.2634.5386.2542.72
23Q2 (15)290.011.54-0.0786.79-107.45-0.2846.15-153.85-0.59-11.32-144.030.547.06-50.550.31-10.7-7.42-15.4565.61-180.09-3.8491.44-116.07-0.0846.67-140.0-0.0286.67-108.33-3.6291.93-112.8-3.8491.44-116.075.0152.629.66
23Q1 (14)2911.5411.54-0.5318.46-232.5-0.52-26.83-620.0-0.53-140.46-232.50.34-37.04-54.0556.3410.284.7-44.93-102.57-977.54-44.86-43.51-426.02-0.15-25.0-475.0-0.1511.76-250.0-44.86-40.67-403.11-44.86-43.51-426.02-37.12-93.19-268.42
22Q4 (13)260.00.0-0.65-204.84-2066.67-0.41-510.001.31-33.161.550.54-37.21-16.9251.09-1.43-11.12-22.18-475.3-1440.28-31.26-268.06-2462.3-0.12-340.0-1100.0-0.17-206.25-1600.0-31.89-250.85-893.46-31.26-268.06-2462.3-26.03-119.44-295.38
22Q3 (12)260.00.00.62-34.0458.970.10-80.77-70.591.9646.2748.480.86-14.85-6.5251.83-4.62-4.55.91-69.36-53.3218.60-22.1472.860.05-75.0-58.330.16-33.3360.021.14-25.2564.3918.60-22.1472.8610.8250.48169.62
22Q2 (11)260.08.330.94135.049.210.52420.0-16.131.34235.035.351.0136.493.0654.340.98-4.3119.29276.76-10.923.8973.6253.530.2400.0-4.760.24140.060.028.2891.0852.3723.8973.6253.5325.17784.16210.00
22Q1 (10)260.08.330.401433.3311.110.100-67.740.40-68.9911.110.7413.85-8.6453.81-6.38-4.565.12455.56-59.1113.761227.8727.410.04500.0-60.00.11100.011.1114.80561.0618.413.761227.8727.41-7.75662.82-50.00
21Q4 (9)260.00-0.03-107.6900.00-100.001.29-2.2700.65-29.35057.485.910-1.44-111.370-1.22-111.340-0.01-108.330-0.01-110.00-3.21-124.960-1.22-111.340-17.73-72.89-72.58
21Q3 (8)268.3300.39-38.100.34-45.1601.3233.3300.92-6.12054.27-4.44012.66-41.52010.76-30.8500.12-42.8600.1-33.33012.86-30.71010.76-30.8507.4318.4527.42
21Q2 (7)240.000.6375.000.62100.000.99175.000.9820.99056.790.73021.6572.92015.5644.0700.21110.000.1566.67018.5648.48015.5644.07010.4937.5050.00
21Q1 (6)24000.36000.31000.36000.810056.380012.520010.80000.1000.090012.500010.80000.000.000.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.16-1.790.561.81-1.140.51N/A-
2024/100.16-9.2-26.261.65-1.310.54N/A-
2024/90.18-5.81-22.531.482.520.580.59-
2024/80.19-6.8-5.551.37.320.620.55-
2024/70.21-6.6618.111.119.910.620.55-
2024/60.2214.9641.040.918.20.590.56-
2024/50.197.833.550.690.670.50.66-
2024/40.1840.2915.190.49-0.40.390.85-
2024/30.1352.4-0.330.32-7.460.321.2-
2024/20.08-21.51-22.90.19-11.690.311.22-
2024/10.11-14.11-0.310.11-0.310.390.98-
2023/120.12-22.9412.061.95-37.790.510.79-
2023/110.16-27.99-23.31.83-39.610.620.65-
2023/100.22-4.62.41.67-40.810.660.61-
2023/90.2314.82-0.521.45-44.420.610.66-
2023/80.216.54-32.511.21-48.750.530.75-
2023/70.1711.44-45.631.01-51.120.520.78因北美監控安防市場及車用市場需求仍無明顯回升,且SaaS簽約客戶多在下半年建置,與去年同期業績差距大。
2023/60.16-15.59-55.20.84-52.120.50.91去年同期營收基期高,SaaS營收集中上半年;今年同期總經環境低迷及SaaS上半年於推廣階段,致上半年業績落差過大。
2023/50.1919.95-45.720.68-51.360.470.96市場需求開始緩步回溫, Q1因總經環境影響造成營收過低,與去年同期業績差距大。 現聚焦開發新案及推廣帶AI 功能新產品增加營收
2023/40.1521.37-51.990.5-53.170.391.16目前市場需求有逐漸回溫,但總經環境改善不大,客戶拉貨仍保守穩健,公司盡全力在推廣新產品
2023/30.1317.89-64.070.34-53.680.341.55受到總經環境影響,市場需求保守,客戶端持續消化庫存
2023/20.111.48-48.930.21-44.090.321.63-
2023/10.11-3.45-38.130.11-38.130.431.25-
2022/120.11-47.26-44.53.14-6.520.541.06-
2022/110.21-3.854.13.03-4.130.660.86-
2022/100.22-7.33-13.72.82-4.690.750.76-
2022/90.23-22.09-22.362.61-3.850.860.82-
2022/80.3-6.10.012.37-1.530.970.72-
2022/70.32-8.182.482.07-1.751.010.69-
2022/60.352.275.641.75-2.491.010.8-
2022/50.346.093.091.4-4.331.020.8-
2022/40.32-9.160.371.06-6.50.890.91-
2022/30.3567.5817.770.74-9.220.741.32-
2022/20.2122.93-15.840.38-25.090.581.67-
2022/10.17-13.38-34.010.17-34.010.571.7-
2021/120.2-1.07-53.583.3643.050.651.37本月營收較去年同期減少為因去年疫情需求遞延至下半年,及去年11月因封測產能不足出貨延到12月,使去年12月業績大幅成長。
2021/110.2-20.315.193.1664.560.751.18本年累積營收較去年大幅增加為新產品推廣順利及電商通路需求增加,加上去年因疫情造成需求遞延。
2021/100.25-16.63-28.512.9669.480.851.04累積營收增加主因為去年疫情遞延需求所致,今年第四季為傳統淡季需求,故本期營收略減,其產品及客戶都維持正常運作。
2021/90.30.35-1.012.7194.210.920.92去年上半年因疫情造成國內外商務活動停滯,今年消費帶動需求,而線上銷售已成常態,電商客戶更能發揮市場銷售優勢,使業績成長。
2021/80.3-3.786.822.41120.870.940.89去年上半年因疫情造成國內外商務活動停滯,今年消費帶動需求,而線上銷售已成常態,電商客戶更能發揮市場銷售優勢,使業績成長。
2021/70.31-5.3538.172.11160.60.970.86嬰兒監視器導入新客戶後開始大量出貨,同時車載應用也持續放量,帶動業績成長。
2021/60.33-0.18139.571.79208.20.980.64各產品線目前仍在消化客戶訂單,業績平均都較去年同期增長。
2021/50.333.28212.321.46229.510.950.66各產品線平均業績較去年同期增長,其中車載應用增幅較大,帶動整體業績成長。
2021/40.326.59219.211.13234.890.870.72因市場整體需求持續增溫,客戶下長單意願提高,加上車載市場能見度逐漸明朗,致整體業績增加。
2021/30.319.74194.340.81241.520.810.54因市場景氣逐漸恢復,新產品推廣順利,帶動業績成長;且去年因疫情期間的基期較低,凸顯本月較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/20.25-3.6317.880.51277.040.940.47因市場延續109年第4季強勁需求,加上新產品持續放量出貨,形成業績比去年同期大幅增加。
2021/10.26-39.08244.570.26244.570.860.51新產品與新客戶的增加,帶動業績成長。
2020/120.43145.54151.962.355.330.950.0因為封裝產能延誤,造成11月份欲出貨的訂單遞延至本月出貨,加上新產品業績貢獻,比去年同期大幅成長。
2020/110.17-50.54-13.021.92-6.740.830.0-
2020/100.3515.4254.581.75-6.060.940.0因終端市場需求強勁,加上新產品效應持續增加,業績比同期大幅增加。
2020/90.318.363.741.4-14.520.810.0因市場動能恢復力道強勁,客戶大量拉貨填補上半年因疫情延宕的需求,加上新產品效益顯現,致業績比去年同期大幅成長。
2020/80.2824.4440.51.09-24.610.650.0-
2020/70.2364.12.150.81-35.090.470.0-
2020/60.1430.12-31.460.58-43.150.340.0-
2020/50.115.56-49.760.44-46.00.310.0-
2020/40.1-1.71-50.050.34-44.710.260.0雖工廠陸續復工,仍因歐美疫情擴大,因而影響客戶下單觀望,故新品推廣計畫保守,造成業績與去年同期下滑。
2020/30.170.01-46.550.24-42.10.240.0-
2020/20.06-20.51-40.040.14-38.220.310.0-
2020/10.08-55.45-36.690.08-36.690.0N/A-
2019/120.17-15.24-35.482.238.250.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)2911.54-1.030-1.2401.95-37.951.18-3.4-17.980-15.310-0.350-0.30-0.30
2022 (9)260.01.300.780.31-75.783.14-6.5552.98-5.635.24-58.1510.668.220.16-61.90.417.890.330.0
2021 (8)268.331.29222.51.28116.953.3642.9856.14-3.0112.5255.539.85137.350.42121.050.38216.670.33230.0
2020 (7)240.00.40566.670.59490.02.355.3857.882.668.05191.674.15591.670.19216.670.12200.00.1900.0
2019 (6)249.090.06-90.00.1002.238.2556.38-0.342.7600.60-90.920.0600.04-75.00.01-92.86
2018 (5)2210.00.60-47.37-0.1002.06-26.9556.57-2.26-0.3106.61-21.12-0.0100.16-40.740.14-41.67
2017 (4)205.261.14-26.921.4535.512.8217.0157.88-0.8715.7422.688.38-33.60.4441.940.27-10.00.24-20.0
2016 (3)1926.671.5601.070.02.417.5958.393.6212.83-7.512.62-18.950.310.00.3-14.290.3-14.29
2015 (2)1500.0001.0702.24056.35013.87015.5700.3100.3500.350

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