玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1012.335.21-3.73118.06-13.735.68N/A-
2024/911.720.76-10.59105.73-14.7335.310.73-
2024/811.63-2.78-14.8694.01-15.2234.010.76-
2024/711.9614.8-14.7782.38-15.2734.530.75-
2024/610.42-14.19-21.6770.42-15.3534.710.8-
2024/512.14-0.01-15.860.0-14.1536.320.77-
2024/412.150.99-6.3547.86-13.7234.540.81-
2024/312.0316.04-25.8135.71-15.9635.710.7-
2024/210.36-22.2-19.923.68-9.8935.960.69-
2024/113.328.49-0.1913.32-0.1939.790.63-
2023/1212.28-13.51-17.89163.28-4.1139.280.72-
2023/1114.210.83-1.8151.0-2.7840.110.7-
2023/1012.81-2.27-11.29136.81-2.8839.580.71-
2023/913.11-4.05-11.8124.0-1.9840.810.61-
2023/813.66-2.671.02110.89-0.6841.00.6-
2023/714.045.56.2197.23-0.9141.760.59-
2023/613.3-7.75-1.1383.19-2.0240.70.61-
2023/514.4211.2-0.6269.89-2.1943.60.57-
2023/412.97-19.98-12.3355.47-2.5942.120.59-
2023/316.2125.29-1.8142.50.8242.50.54-
2023/212.94-3.0614.4226.282.5241.240.55-
2023/113.35-10.74-6.8713.35-6.8742.760.53-
2022/1214.953.428.08170.2915.2143.850.59-
2022/1114.460.132.99155.3315.9543.760.59-
2022/1014.44-2.8319.37140.8817.4642.820.6-
2022/914.869.8924.63126.5217.3241.60.71-
2022/813.522.3215.82111.6516.4140.20.74-
2022/713.22-1.84.5898.1316.4941.190.72-
2022/613.46-7.2731.3384.9218.642.770.66-
2022/514.51-1.923.3471.4616.4745.820.62-
2022/414.8-10.3819.2856.9514.8442.610.67-
2022/316.5146.0231.3142.1513.3642.150.45-
2022/211.31-21.1-0.3525.644.1839.470.48-
2022/114.333.598.0714.338.0742.20.45-
2021/1213.83-1.4416.7147.819.8639.970.47-
2021/1114.0416.0429.21133.9720.238.060.5-
2021/1012.11.4410.03119.9319.2335.690.53-
2021/911.922.129.75107.8320.3636.230.53-
2021/811.68-7.619.7195.9121.8234.560.55-
2021/712.6423.3228.984.2322.1234.650.55-
2021/610.25-12.913.7871.620.9934.420.78-
2021/511.77-5.1327.5761.3524.4436.740.73-
2021/412.4-1.3421.8549.5823.7236.320.74-
2021/312.5710.818.5137.1824.3637.180.43-
2021/211.35-14.4324.4324.6127.5736.460.44-
2021/113.2611.8630.3913.2630.3935.980.45-
2020/1211.859.123.57123.30.6633.710.45-
2020/1110.86-1.1811.28111.450.3632.720.46-
2020/1010.991.191.49100.58-0.6831.610.48-
2020/910.8611.389.2389.59-0.9430.420.55-
2020/89.75-0.51-2.4578.73-2.229.430.57-
2020/79.8-0.7-5.6368.98-2.1628.90.58-
2020/69.877.033.5859.17-1.5629.280.57-
2020/59.22-9.38-12.1249.3-2.5430.010.55-
2020/410.18-4.05-1.9840.08-0.0329.910.56-
2020/310.6116.330.5429.90.6529.90.5-
2020/29.12-10.3327.4619.290.7130.730.48-
2020/110.17-11.14-15.2410.17-15.2431.380.47-
2019/1211.4417.2316.63122.484.580.0N/A-
2019/119.76-9.86-2.03111.043.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/113.322023/113.352022/114.332021/113.262020/110.17
2024/210.362023/212.942022/211.312021/211.352020/29.12
2024/312.032023/316.212022/316.512021/312.572020/310.61
2024/412.152023/412.972022/414.82021/412.42020/410.18
2024/512.142023/514.422022/514.512021/511.772020/59.22
2024/610.422023/613.32022/613.462021/610.252020/69.87
2024/711.962023/714.042022/713.222021/712.642020/79.8
2024/811.632023/813.662022/813.522021/811.682020/89.75
2024/911.722023/913.112022/914.862021/911.922020/910.86
2024/1012.332023/1012.812022/1014.442021/1012.12020/1010.99
N/AN/A2023/1114.22022/1114.462021/1114.042020/1110.86
N/AN/A2023/1212.282022/1214.952021/1213.832020/1211.85
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-30.0-30.0
24Q2 (19)0.1-23.08-16.67
24Q1 (18)0.1362.530.0
23Q4 (17)0.08-20.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.1-16.670.0
23Q2 (15)0.1220.0-25.0
23Q1 (14)0.125.0-41.18
22Q4 (13)0.08-20.0-42.86
22Q3 (12)0.1-37.5-9.09
22Q2 (11)0.16-5.880.0
22Q1 (10)0.1721.4354.55
21Q4 (9)0.1427.2775.0
21Q3 (8)0.11-31.2537.5
21Q2 (7)0.1645.4533.33
21Q1 (6)0.1137.5-42.11
20Q4 (5)0.080.0-80.0
20Q3 (4)0.08-33.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.12-36.840.0
20Q1 (2)0.19-52.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.40.00.0

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