玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)519-1.7-1.7-0.34-3500.0-3500.0-0.31-138.46-1650.0-0.39-680.031.5830.33-11.6531.3-5.08-559.74-245.56-6.63-202.74-643.44-5.79-8371.43-3316.67-2.01-168.0-817.86-1.76-3620.0-5966.67-7.15-14200.0-961.45-5.79-8371.43-3316.6721.29-1691.66-69.23
24Q2 (19)5280.00.00.01116.67101.75-0.130.077.19-0.0516.6791.2334.3354.2248.17-0.7717.294.73-2.1937.6186.80.07104.61100.54-0.753.8580.470.05115.15101.67-0.0597.499.70.07104.61100.5419.9898.6630.30
24Q1 (18)5280.00.0-0.0680.650-0.1360.61-116.67-0.0693.18022.26-14.25-3.97-0.9385.02-381.82-3.5158.46-132.45-1.5275.52-4966.67-0.7864.38-122.86-0.3379.88-1550.0-1.9276.53-910.53-1.5275.52-4966.67-0.93-1559.67-844.70
23Q4 (17)5280.00.0-0.31-3200.0-10.71-0.33-1750.0-10.0-0.88-54.39-23.9425.9612.385.74-6.21-277.94-14.15-8.45-792.62-10.6-6.21-3550.0-6.7-2.19-882.14-16.49-1.64-5566.67-12.33-8.18-1085.54-13.77-6.21-3550.0-6.76.04-1549.12-823.25
23Q3 (16)5280.00.00.01101.75103.030.02103.51105.0-0.570.0-32.5623.1-0.3-24.043.49123.89153.941.22107.35114.810.18101.38103.120.28107.29111.20.03101.0101.70.83104.99111.510.18101.38103.12-0.1750.88-373.25
23Q2 (15)5280.00.0-0.570-103.57-0.57-850.0-137.5-0.570-470.023.17-0.04-39.38-14.61-4527.27-479.76-16.59-998.68-354.52-13.08-43500.0-234.53-3.84-997.14-176.26-2.99-14850.0-103.4-16.64-8657.89-292.45-13.08-43500.0-234.53-2.8150.00-385.00
23Q1 (14)5280.00.00.00100.0-100.0-0.0680.025.00.00100.0-100.023.18-5.58-34.450.33106.07-88.3-1.5180.24-232.46-0.0399.48-100.78-0.3581.38-187.5-0.0298.63-102.11-0.1997.36-103.75-0.0399.48-100.78-12.4357.5852.50
22Q4 (13)5280.00.0-0.2815.1537.78-0.3025.031.82-0.71-65.12-455.024.55-19.27-14.1-5.4415.9231.66-7.647.2820.91-5.82-0.8729.11-1.8824.831.88-1.4617.0538.4-7.190.2828.03-5.82-0.8729.11-19.85-1.35-20.84
22Q3 (12)5280.00.0-0.33-17.86-17.86-0.40-66.67-48.15-0.43-330.0-166.1530.41-20.43-7.51-6.47-156.75-62.97-8.24-125.75-55.77-5.77-47.57-26.81-2.5-79.86-43.68-1.76-19.73-18.92-7.21-70.05-29.91-5.77-47.57-26.81-6.17-136.71-133.34
22Q2 (11)5280.00.19-0.28-255.56-159.57-0.24-200.0-157.14-0.10-155.56-110.7538.228.0911.43-2.52-189.36-142.5-3.65-420.18-186.29-3.91-201.82-154.08-1.39-447.5-195.86-1.47-254.74-158.8-4.24-183.63-181.54-3.91-201.82-154.0815.90-57.78-59.09
22Q1 (10)5280.00.190.18140.0-60.0-0.0881.82-123.530.18-10.0-60.035.3623.7265.392.82135.43-79.021.14111.8-88.893.84146.77-65.990.4114.49-81.740.95140.08-60.255.07150.75-61.793.84146.77-65.995.3239.649.43
21Q4 (9)5280.00.19-0.45-60.71-153.57-0.44-62.96-170.970.20-69.23-63.6428.58-13.0811.9-7.96-100.5-142.96-9.66-82.61-160.72-8.21-80.44-147.16-2.76-58.62-167.98-2.37-60.14-153.5-9.99-80.0-148.54-8.21-80.44-147.16-8.61-110.14-113.62
21Q3 (8)5280.190.19-0.28-159.57-1500.0-0.27-164.29-575.00.65-30.11324.1432.88-4.1465.73-3.97-166.95-373.79-5.29-225.06-429.0-4.55-162.93-884.48-1.74-220.0-770.0-1.48-159.2-1445.45-5.55-206.73-1040.68-4.55-162.93-884.4828.14-77.56-70.38
21Q2 (7)5270.00.00.474.4467.860.4223.534300.00.93106.67390.6234.360.4382.935.93-55.887.234.23-58.7752.167.23-35.96-5.981.45-33.79178.852.54.672.415.20-60.81-51.277.23-35.96-5.9822.07-21.00-10.81
21Q1 (6)5270.0-0.190.45-46.43176.270.34-45.16160.710.45-18.18176.2721.38-16.2925.7613.44-27.47176.0210.26-35.51150.0711.29-35.15161.762.19-46.06162.932.39-46.05176.8513.27-35.52161.2711.29-35.15161.766.222026.79802.42
20Q4 (5)5270.0-0.190.844100.01300.00.621650.06300.00.55289.66-67.0725.5428.73-7.4318.531177.931036.8115.911691.052933.3317.412901.721126.064.062130.040500.04.433927.271202.9420.583388.141380.5817.412901.721126.06--0.00
20Q3 (4)5270.00.00.02-92.860.0-0.04-300.00.0-0.299.380.019.845.810.01.45-73.780.0-1.00-135.970.00.58-92.460.0-0.2-138.460.00.11-92.410.00.59-94.470.00.58-92.460.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)527-0.190.00.28147.460.0-0.0198.210.0-0.3245.760.018.7510.290.05.53131.280.02.78113.570.07.69142.070.00.52114.940.01.45146.620.010.67149.260.07.69142.070.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)5280.00.0-0.59-1083.330.0-0.56-5500.00.0-0.59-135.330.017.0-38.380.0-17.68-1184.660.0-20.49-68400.00.0-18.28-1387.320.0-3.48-34900.00.0-3.11-1014.710.0-21.66-1658.270.0-18.28-1387.320.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)5280.00.00.060.00.0-0.010.00.01.670.00.027.590.00.01.630.00.00.030.00.01.420.00.00.010.00.00.340.00.01.390.00.01.420.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.7-19.9-13.6294.6220.7427.69N/A-
2024/99.61-7.3619.2186.9225.1530.330.13-
2024/810.380.3927.4677.3125.9332.890.12-
2024/710.34-15.0650.066.9325.6934.420.12與去年同期相比,本月SM價格增加18.66%、銷量增加22%及匯率平均上升4.5%,以致7月營收較去年同期增加。
2024/612.172.1389.7756.5922.0834.360.2與去年同期相比,本月SM價格增加27.26%、銷量增加48.4%及匯 率平均上升5.13%,以致6月營收較去年同期增加。
2024/511.9215.9767.3744.4211.2128.540.24與去年同期相比,本月SM價格增加44%、銷量增加19%及匯率平均上升5.2%,以致5月營收較去年同期增加67.37%。
2024/410.2761.846.632.51-0.9623.620.29-
2024/36.35-9.33-45.2422.23-4.122.230.19-
2024/27.0-21.1523.015.8837.0324.250.18-
2024/18.886.1750.588.8850.5825.90.16去年同期因安排生產線歲修而產銷量減半,且遇農曆春節連假致需求不佳;本期則維持生產線運營,以致較去年同期營收增加逾50%。
2023/128.36-3.36-13.1195.39-25.7825.940.28-
2023/118.66-2.919.1887.02-26.8125.640.29-
2023/108.9110.5416.4678.37-29.825.120.29-
2023/98.06-0.95-7.7969.45-33.2123.10.27-
2023/88.1418.15-4.461.39-35.5421.450.29-
2023/76.897.45-47.5753.25-38.620.420.3
2023/66.41-9.91-43.5346.35-36.9923.170.26-
2023/57.12-26.13-48.7739.94-35.828.350.21-
2023/49.64-16.87-25.6632.82-32.0726.920.23-
2023/311.59103.67-10.5423.18-34.4223.180.2-
2023/25.69-3.47-49.2311.59-48.2421.220.22-
2023/15.9-38.73-47.265.9-47.2622.790.21-
2022/129.6332.554.69128.539.7124.540.23-
2022/117.26-5.12-32.11118.910.1423.660.24-
2022/107.65-12.48-11.94111.6414.7924.920.23-
2022/98.752.69-15.07103.9917.4130.410.13-
2022/88.52-35.2-24.6895.2421.6933.020.12-
2022/713.1515.7416.5886.7229.5238.40.1-
2022/611.36-18.284.4473.5832.1438.220.28-
2022/513.97.1914.2762.2238.8639.830.27-
2022/412.970.0315.0848.3248.0237.140.29-
2022/312.9615.5991.4235.3665.3935.360.11主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長。
2022/211.210.2753.4722.453.3231.590.12主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長。
2022/111.1821.653.1711.1853.1731.080.12主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長。
2021/129.2-14.045.58117.1544.428.590.29-
2021/1110.723.069.71107.9549.0729.690.28-
2021/108.69-15.5922.5697.2655.230.30.27主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長。
2021/910.3-8.9260.488.5659.3632.880.12主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長。
2021/811.310.2972.978.2659.2333.460.12主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長。
2021/711.283.6965.266.9657.1334.310.117月份SM合約售價較去年同期上升約84.64%,造成同期營業額增加65.21%。
2021/610.87-10.5958.7555.6855.5934.30.14去年因疫情衝擊價格基期較低,今年6月SM價格逐漸走穩較去年同期上升約83.4%,造成同期營業額增加58.76%。
2021/512.167.94101.2444.8154.8430.20.165月份營收較去年同期增加101.24%,SM合約售價格較去年同期上升約107%,銷量也較去年同期呈增長。
2021/411.2766.3990.6332.6442.5925.340.19去年因疫情衝擊價格及銷售量銳減,造成基期較低,今年4月的SM價格逐漸走穩較去年同期上升約95.8%強,造成同期營業額增加90.64%。
2021/36.77-7.3261.3921.3825.8721.380.3去年因疫情衝擊價格及銷售量銳減,造成基期較低,今年3月的SM價格逐漸走穩較去年同期上升約76%強,造成同期營業額增加61.39%。
2021/27.310.0743.1614.6114.2223.320.28-
2021/17.3-16.17-4.997.3-4.9925.760.25-
2020/128.71-10.68-4.981.12-33.6125.550.17-
2020/119.7537.4816.572.42-35.9323.260.19-
2020/107.0910.45-29.662.66-40.1320.050.21-
2020/96.42-1.82-35.5955.57-41.2519.790.14-
2020/86.54-4.16-39.1849.15-41.9120.220.14-
2020/76.82-0.35-40.0142.61-42.3119.720.14-
2020/66.8513.33-37.7735.79-42.7318.80.22-
2020/56.042.25-47.5728.94-43.7916.150.26-
2020/45.9140.87-44.1622.89-42.715.210.27-
2020/34.2-17.78-56.7816.98-42.1816.980.182月疫情爆發,造成原油及石化產品的需求與價格銳減,3月的SM價格較去年同期下跌36%,銷售量下跌25.4%,造成同期營業額減少56.78%.
2020/25.1-33.59-39.8512.79-34.9721.950.14-
2020/17.68-16.09-31.267.68-31.2625.210.12-
2019/129.169.42-15.28122.2-20.550.0N/A-
2019/118.37-16.93-24.92113.04-20.950.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)5280.0-0.880-0.94095.41-25.77-4.310-6.400-4.830-6.110-5.830-4.620
2022 (9)5280.0-0.710-1.030128.549.73-2.540-4.180-2.580-5.370-3.790-3.740
2021 (8)5280.190.20-62.960.05150.0117.1444.391.13-69.95-0.7300.90-74.79-0.860-0.0601.05-63.54
2020 (7)527-0.190.54-67.660.02-98.8781.13-33.63.76-66.991.11-87.333.57-50.550.9-91.63.69-64.352.88-67.35
2019 (6)5280.01.67-27.391.77-23.71122.19-20.5711.39-11.368.76-12.227.22-6.4810.71-30.2310.35-33.148.82-27.47
2018 (5)5280.02.3015.582.329.95153.834.2812.8512.239.9814.717.7215.7415.3519.6415.4824.2412.1615.15
2017 (4)5280.01.99-25.472.11-29.19147.514.8211.45-27.268.70-31.986.67-29.3412.83-28.7212.46-25.2110.56-25.16
2016 (3)5280.02.67103.822.9874.27140.737.2515.7458.8312.7977.899.44116.0218.090.6816.66123.0314.11103.31
2015 (2)5280.01.3101.710131.22-22.949.9107.1904.3709.4407.4706.940
2014 (1)5284.97-0.070-0.230170.28-16.33-0.860-2.870-0.300-4.880-4.050-0.380

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