玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.41-7.93-2.8742.614.7213.63N/A-
2024/94.797.827.4538.25.6813.610.83-
2024/84.441.31-3.9633.425.4312.410.91-
2024/74.3821.961.1128.987.0312.10.94-
2024/63.59-12.9-12.9724.68.1612.170.88-
2024/54.12-7.380.321.0112.8512.780.84-
2024/44.456.0630.2616.8816.4112.440.86-
2024/34.210.822.0612.4312.1412.430.83-
2024/23.79-14.7510.828.2318.0912.390.83-
2024/14.446.825.094.4425.0912.530.83-
2023/124.165.9221.3848.7812.0412.620.8-
2023/113.93-13.427.9944.6211.2512.920.78-
2023/104.541.8527.7240.6911.5713.610.74-
2023/94.45-3.630.6436.159.8313.410.7-
2023/84.626.6811.8131.711.2513.080.72-
2023/74.334.966.7427.0711.1612.570.75-
2023/64.130.3822.9522.7412.0411.660.8-
2023/54.1120.2829.2218.619.8811.640.8-
2023/43.42-16.8911.5514.55.4110.950.85-
2023/34.1120.33-0.5811.083.6511.080.92-
2023/23.42-3.7719.576.976.3310.40.98-
2023/13.553.63-3.93.55-3.910.620.96-
2022/123.43-5.753.1343.5318.2210.621.0-
2022/113.642.3821.5640.119.7211.610.91-
2022/103.55-19.7426.2836.4719.5312.110.87-
2022/94.437.0660.5632.9118.8512.620.68主係去年受疫情影響致營收較低。
2022/84.131.8429.628.4914.2411.550.74-
2022/74.0620.9132.0824.3611.9910.60.81-
2022/63.365.512.5620.38.689.60.94-
2022/53.183.8313.7516.947.9410.380.87-
2022/43.06-25.941.013.766.6810.060.89-
2022/34.1444.748.910.698.4310.690.75-
2022/22.86-22.6711.486.568.139.880.81-
2022/13.711.225.683.75.6810.010.8-
2021/123.3211.09-9.4736.826.729.130.9-
2021/112.996.36-20.6133.58.658.560.96-
2021/102.812.03-26.7530.5112.738.760.94-
2021/92.76-13.57-22.327.6919.269.020.95-
2021/83.193.7819.2324.9426.759.240.92-
2021/73.073.0431.221.7527.948.850.96-
2021/62.986.6284.7918.6727.428.810.88主係去年同期疫情影響營收,本期逐步恢復
2021/52.8-7.870.3815.6920.329.630.8主係去年同期疫情影響營收,本期逐步恢復。
2021/43.03-20.1556.4412.8913.119.40.82主係去年同期疫情影響營收,本期逐步恢復
2021/33.848.175.239.864.239.860.69-
2021/22.56-26.693.236.063.619.730.69-
2021/13.5-4.733.883.53.8810.940.62-
2020/123.67-2.56-7.3434.5-25.0211.280.54-
2020/113.77-1.863.2730.83-26.6911.160.54-
2020/103.848.234.2727.06-29.5410.060.6-
2020/93.5532.63-13.7923.22-33.128.570.7-
2020/82.6714.19-29.8319.67-35.726.630.9-
2020/72.3445.14-46.8417.0-36.565.61.07-
2020/61.61-1.69-53.4914.66-34.545.191.3因疫情影響,客戶端整體復甦速度較慢所致
2020/51.64-15.34-59.9213.04-31.067.190.94因疫情影響歐美地區客戶營業活動復甦較慢所致
2020/41.94-46.28-50.5811.4-23.088.030.84因新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情影響,部分客戶暫時暫停運作,致使本月營收金額下降
2020/33.6145.35-4.359.46-13.189.460.73-
2020/22.48-26.22-23.225.85-17.869.810.7-
2020/13.37-15.03-13.413.37-13.4110.980.63-
2019/123.968.5914.4746.028.750.0N/A-
2019/113.65-0.916.5842.058.240.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.442023/13.552022/13.72021/13.52020/13.37
2024/23.792023/23.422022/22.862021/22.562020/22.48
2024/34.22023/34.112022/34.142021/33.82020/33.61
2024/44.452023/43.422022/43.062021/43.032020/41.94
2024/54.122023/54.112022/53.182021/52.82020/51.64
2024/63.592023/64.132022/63.362021/62.982020/61.61
2024/74.382023/74.332022/74.062021/73.072020/72.34
2024/84.442023/84.622022/84.132021/83.192020/82.67
2024/94.792023/94.452022/94.432021/92.762020/93.55
2024/104.412023/104.542022/103.552021/102.812020/103.84
N/AN/A2023/113.932022/113.642021/112.992020/113.77
N/AN/A2023/124.162022/123.432021/123.322020/123.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.13%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.0-50.0
24Q2 (19)0.01-50.0-66.67
24Q1 (18)0.020.0-33.33
23Q4 (17)0.020.0100.0
23Q3 (16)0.02-33.33-33.33
23Q2 (15)0.030.0-25.0
23Q1 (14)0.03200.0200.0
22Q4 (13)0.01-66.67-90.91
22Q3 (12)0.03-25.00
22Q2 (11)0.04300.0-69.23
22Q1 (10)0.01-90.91-91.67
21Q4 (9)0.110120.0

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