玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.37-0.253.9162.815.8818.33N/A-
2024/96.3814.47-15.4556.446.1117.960.49-
2024/85.58-6.99-3.8950.059.6818.090.48-
2024/76.0-7.92-3.1944.4811.6619.590.45-
2024/66.51-8.038.5238.4814.419.980.4-
2024/57.0810.9412.2231.9715.6719.850.41-
2024/46.380.0212.2524.8816.718.020.45-
2024/36.3821.4316.1818.518.3218.50.4-
2024/25.26-23.42-3.5612.1219.4718.570.4-
2024/16.866.3346.246.8646.2419.550.38-
2023/126.453.577.5872.0-6.9918.810.37-
2023/116.231.68-10.1965.54-8.2119.910.35-
2023/106.13-18.85-9.559.31-8.019.480.36-
2023/97.5530.127.8653.18-7.8219.550.32-
2023/85.8-6.3-16.7645.63-9.9918.00.35-
2023/76.193.21-7.6739.83-8.9118.510.34-
2023/66.0-4.9-9.9333.63-9.1318.00.33-
2023/56.3110.970.227.63-8.9617.490.34-
2023/45.693.52-18.5521.32-11.3616.630.35-
2023/35.490.78-9.5515.64-8.4215.640.29-
2023/25.4516.130.0510.14-7.816.140.28-
2023/14.69-21.77-15.524.69-15.5217.630.25-
2022/126.0-13.5413.6977.4127.3719.710.19-
2022/116.942.4613.2471.4128.6720.710.18-
2022/106.77-3.2721.2664.4730.5920.750.18-
2022/97.00.4125.6857.731.7820.680.19-
2022/86.973.9129.4750.732.6720.350.19-
2022/76.710.6930.3343.7333.1919.670.2-
2022/66.665.8128.2137.0233.7219.940.22-
2022/56.3-9.7927.8930.3535.019.350.22-
2022/46.9814.9645.4624.0636.9918.50.23-
2022/36.0711.4943.5617.0733.817.070.24-
2022/25.45-1.9435.1811.028.9716.280.25-
2022/15.565.2823.45.5623.416.960.24-
2021/125.28-13.8823.0860.7730.2216.990.24-
2021/116.139.7233.0155.530.9417.280.23-
2021/105.580.2332.549.3730.6916.540.24-
2021/95.573.4441.6543.7930.4716.10.24-
2021/85.394.5949.4838.2228.9815.730.24-
2021/75.15-0.9429.3632.8326.1415.270.25-
2021/65.25.5434.0827.6825.5614.920.16-
2021/54.922.5937.9322.4823.7513.950.18-
2021/44.813.4635.5617.5620.2813.060.19本公司合併美祿/群豐/昱嘉/艾格生之營收
2021/34.234.996.3112.7615.3912.760.17合併美祿/群豐/昱嘉之營收
2021/24.03-10.49-0.868.5320.4912.820.16本公司合併美祿/群豐/昱嘉之營收
2021/14.55.049.274.549.2713.390.16本公司合併美祿/群豐/昱嘉之營收
2020/124.29-6.9332.8746.6734.5313.110.15本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/114.619.329.4642.3834.7112.750.15本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/104.217.1622.3337.7735.3711.750.17本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/93.939.1628.2833.5637.2111.510.2本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/83.6-9.485.7629.6338.4911.460.21本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/73.982.6610.5126.0344.6911.430.21本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/63.888.5866.1122.0553.2510.990.22本公司合併美祿/群豐之營收
2020/53.570.8352.0118.1750.7611.090.21本公司合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
2020/43.54-11.0136.6614.650.4511.580.2本公司合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
2020/33.98-2.170.8411.0655.4811.060.23合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
2020/24.0634.7777.067.0848.010.310.25本公司合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
2020/13.02-6.5221.193.0221.199.80.26本公司合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
2019/123.23-9.3240.9534.6920.320.0N/A本公司合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
2019/113.563.2846.9331.4618.540.0N/A本公司合併美祿/威達/群豐之營收
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.862023/14.692022/15.562021/14.52020/13.02
2024/25.262023/25.452022/25.452021/24.032020/24.06
2024/36.382023/35.492022/36.072021/34.232020/33.98
2024/46.382023/45.692022/46.982021/44.82020/43.54
2024/57.082023/56.312022/56.32021/54.922020/53.57
2024/66.512023/66.02022/66.662021/65.22020/63.88
2024/76.02023/76.192022/76.712021/75.152020/73.98
2024/85.582023/85.82022/86.972021/85.392020/83.6
2024/96.382023/97.552022/97.02021/95.572020/93.93
2024/106.372023/106.132022/106.772021/105.582020/104.21
N/AN/A2023/116.232022/116.942021/116.132020/114.61
N/AN/A2023/126.452022/126.02021/125.282020/124.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.9651.947.69
24Q2 (19)1.29-21.82-32.11
24Q1 (18)1.65-5.71-7.82
23Q4 (17)1.75-3.85-24.89
23Q3 (16)1.82-4.21-45.67
23Q2 (15)1.96.15-44.77
23Q1 (14)1.79-23.18-37.85
22Q4 (13)2.33-30.4530.17
22Q3 (12)3.35-2.62105.52
22Q2 (11)3.4419.44145.71
22Q1 (10)2.8860.89110.22
21Q4 (9)1.799.8280.81
21Q3 (8)1.6316.4341.74
21Q2 (7)1.42.1935.92
21Q1 (6)1.3738.3850.55
20Q4 (5)0.99-13.91147.5
20Q3 (4)1.1511.650.0
20Q2 (3)1.0313.190.0
20Q1 (2)0.91127.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.40.00.0

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