玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1027.612.7111.04220.019.3876.94N/A-
2024/924.48-1.51-6.45192.429.1570.940.36-
2024/824.8615.117.09167.9311.8768.090.37-
2024/721.6-0.1644.86143.0811.0163.750.4-
2024/621.635.4143.05121.486.5866.20.59-
2024/520.52-14.65-6.0599.851.064.910.6-
2024/424.0518.189.4779.323.058.940.66-
2024/320.3539.83-1.3955.280.4255.280.75-
2024/214.55-28.61-14.4734.931.5153.540.77-
2024/120.389.5217.1520.3817.1563.010.65-
2023/1218.61-22.5111.62243.769.8367.480.42-
2023/1124.02-3.3544.57225.159.6875.040.38-
2023/1024.85-5.0431.31201.146.6172.250.39-
2023/926.1723.2723.49176.293.8662.310.49-
2023/821.2342.3910.27150.111.0651.260.59-
2023/714.91-1.41-13.06128.88-0.351.880.58-
2023/615.12-30.76-24.54113.981.6458.930.7-
2023/521.84-0.55-1.3898.857.3464.440.64-
2023/421.976.44272.1977.0110.159.610.69主係因本集團昆山工廠去年度四月因配合當地政府防疫停工,致該月產銷行程往後遞延。
2023/320.6321.28-7.9155.04-14.0455.040.7-
2023/217.01-2.21-19.9734.41-17.3551.080.76-
2023/117.44.35-14.6117.4-14.6150.680.76-
2022/1216.670.35-27.75221.94-17.7652.210.72-
2022/1116.61-12.22-37.62205.27-16.8356.730.67-
2022/1018.93-10.69-29.37188.65-14.3159.370.64-
2022/921.1910.07-13.72169.73-12.2257.590.63-
2022/819.2512.26-23.76148.54-12.0156.440.64-
2022/717.15-14.44-27.97129.28-9.9459.340.61-
2022/620.04-9.51-10.55112.14-6.3548.10.94-
2022/522.15275.35-2.5192.09-5.3950.460.89-
2022/45.9-73.66-68.2369.94-6.2649.570.91本集團昆山工廠四月因配合當地政府防疫停工,致該月產銷行程往後遞延。
2022/322.415.3917.3764.0414.2764.040.81-
2022/221.264.3422.1741.6312.6764.710.81-
2022/120.37-11.694.2220.374.2270.080.74-
2021/1223.07-13.3550.67269.8833.4776.50.61受惠宅經濟,NB需求持續增加
2021/1126.63-0.6241.89246.8132.0677.990.6-
2021/1026.89.131.44220.1730.9676.610.61-
2021/924.56-2.7320.04193.3830.973.620.8-
2021/825.256.0616.84168.8132.6471.470.83-
2021/723.816.2444.67143.5635.8768.940.86-
2021/622.41-1.3833.67119.7534.2563.710.88-
2021/522.7222.299.897.3434.3860.390.93-
2021/418.58-2.666.4474.6244.2255.071.02-
2021/319.099.726.8656.0463.4556.040.9受惠宅經濟,NB需求持續增加
2021/217.4-10.98144.2936.9592.0852.260.96受惠宅經濟,NB需求持續增加
2021/119.5527.6561.3819.5561.3853.630.94受惠宅經濟,NB需求持續增加
2020/1215.31-18.41-2.53202.2-7.6654.470.68-
2020/1118.77-7.938.85186.88-8.0659.620.62-
2020/1020.39-0.361.93168.11-9.6362.460.59-
2020/920.46-5.321.22147.73-11.0258.530.67-
2020/821.6131.328.54127.27-12.7254.830.71-
2020/716.46-1.83-14.46105.65-16.0853.910.72-
2020/616.76-18.99-1.5989.2-16.3754.910.84-
2020/520.6918.5520.7272.43-19.1853.20.86-
2020/417.4616.08.7551.74-28.6239.631.16-
2020/315.05111.25-43.1834.28-39.2534.281.29-
2020/27.12-41.19-49.7419.24-35.7934.951.27-
2020/112.11-22.9-23.2612.11-23.2645.070.98-
2019/1215.71-8.8738.77218.9910.570.0N/A-
2019/1117.24-13.7929.85203.288.860.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/120.382023/117.42022/120.372021/119.552020/112.11
2024/214.552023/217.012022/221.262021/217.42020/27.12
2024/320.352023/320.632022/322.412021/319.092020/315.05
2024/424.052023/421.972022/45.92021/418.582020/417.46
2024/520.522023/521.842022/522.152021/522.722020/520.69
2024/621.632023/615.122022/620.042021/622.412020/616.76
2024/721.62023/714.912022/717.152021/723.812020/716.46
2024/824.862023/821.232022/819.252021/825.252020/821.61
2024/924.482023/926.172022/921.192021/924.562020/920.46
2024/1027.62023/1024.852022/1018.932021/1026.82020/1020.39
N/AN/A2023/1124.022022/1116.612021/1126.632020/1118.77
N/AN/A2023/1218.612022/1216.672021/1223.072020/1215.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.53%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.9786.54-5.83
24Q2 (19)0.5226.8313.04
24Q1 (18)0.41-8.89-25.45
23Q4 (17)0.45-56.31-68.97
23Q3 (16)1.03123.91-40.8
23Q2 (15)0.46-16.36-6.12
23Q1 (14)0.55-62.07-29.49
22Q4 (13)1.45-16.6764.77
22Q3 (12)1.74255.1-76.16
22Q2 (11)0.49-37.18-93.5
22Q1 (10)0.78-11.36-89.67
21Q4 (9)0.88-87.95-84.29
21Q3 (8)7.3-3.18-73.67
21Q2 (7)7.54-0.1365.71
21Q1 (6)7.5534.8239.81
20Q4 (5)5.6-79.8-45.26
20Q3 (4)27.72509.230.0
20Q2 (3)4.55-15.740.0
20Q1 (2)5.4-47.210.0
19Q4 (1)10.230.00.0

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