玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.5339.0413.1521.5443.525.94N/A海外地區銷售增加。
2024/91.8214.8353.0619.0148.854.841.35海外地區銷售增加。
2024/81.5910.8326.3617.1948.424.751.38海外地區銷售增加。
2024/71.43-17.242.8315.651.15.541.18海外地區銷售增加。
2024/61.73-27.17-22.9214.1758.626.131.27海外與中國地區銷售減少。
2024/52.3817.3562.8412.4486.017.331.06海外地區銷售增加。
2024/42.02-30.9351.6510.0692.486.761.15海外地區銷售增加
2024/32.9362.086.218.04106.488.040.88海外地區銷售增加
2024/21.81-45.146.985.1120.247.270.97海外地區銷售增加
2024/13.352.01203.183.3203.187.980.89海外地區銷售增加
2023/122.17-13.7722.619.69-30.556.921.01-
2023/112.5112.279.1317.52-34.086.181.14-
2023/102.2488.08-12.6615.01-38.185.171.36-
2023/91.43-4.83-58.5513.57-37.514.641.54海外及中國地區銷售減少
2023/81.5-12.35-42.1912.14-33.545.461.31-
2023/71.71-23.74-18.5710.64-32.115.421.32-
2023/62.2453.87-19.128.93-34.215.041.32-
2023/51.469.29-33.696.69-38.084.371.52-
2023/41.33-15.19-1.365.23-39.214.141.6-
2023/31.5727.87-47.443.89-46.283.891.92-
2023/21.2313.23-27.732.32-45.464.091.83-
2023/11.09-38.52-57.321.09-57.325.161.45海外及中國地區銷售減少
2022/121.77-23.24-21.4128.350.66.641.17-
2022/112.3-10.155.8326.592.528.310.93-
2022/102.56-25.5631.3924.282.218.60.9-
2022/93.4432.7290.3321.72-0.398.141.02海外地區銷售增加
2022/82.623.4626.2218.27-8.67.471.11-
2022/72.1-24.26-19.215.68-12.67.081.17-
2022/62.7826.16-15.8213.57-11.486.331.36-
2022/52.262.58-22.5610.8-10.266.551.31-
2022/41.35-54.81-52.788.6-6.436.051.42海外及中國地區銷售減少
2022/32.9975.817.047.2514.677.251.24-
2022/21.7-33.1337.764.2520.876.51.39-
2022/12.5513.211.72.5511.76.971.29-
2021/122.253.37-15.6428.1855.16.381.41海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/112.1811.54-21.6425.9367.015.941.52海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/101.957.822.8723.7585.975.821.55海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/91.81-11.981.1821.8100.46.471.21海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/82.06-20.9726.1219.99119.697.960.98海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/72.6-21.0957.8517.94140.088.740.89海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/63.316.05177.9915.33163.579.00.84海外地區及中國地區銷售增加
2021/52.84-0.86263.9712.03159.968.50.89海外及中國地區銷售增加
2021/42.872.45217.659.19138.86.91.1海外及中國地區銷售增加
2021/32.8126.26141.986.32114.246.311.02海外及中國地區銷售增加
2021/21.24-45.7846.543.5296.286.181.04海外及中國地區銷售增加
2021/12.28-14.51140.42.28140.47.730.83海外及中國地區銷售增加
2020/122.67-3.9787.0518.1711.647.340.72海外(歐洲)及中國地區銷售金額較去年同期增加
2020/112.7846.4596.915.534.576.460.82海外(歐洲)及中國地區銷售金額較去年同期增加
2020/101.96.0579.7112.77-2.995.321.0中國地區銷售金額較去年同期增加
2020/91.799.754.8110.88-10.195.071.22海外(歐洲)及中國地區銷售金額較去年同期增加
2020/81.63-1.0863.649.1-17.04.461.39海外(歐洲)及中國地區銷售金額較去年同期增加
2020/71.6538.9519.67.47-25.093.621.72-
2020/61.1951.95-26.625.82-32.312.872.27-
2020/50.78-13.47-50.534.63-33.642.842.3受疫情影響,各地需求減少,故營收較去年同期衰退。
2020/40.9-21.95-38.743.85-28.712.92.25-
2020/31.1637.02-23.82.95-24.882.952.14-
2020/20.84-11.05-16.471.79-25.653.221.96-
2020/10.95-33.48-32.210.95-32.213.791.66-
2019/121.431.08-20.6916.28-21.830.0N/A-
2019/111.4133.66-32.2514.85-21.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.32023/11.092022/12.552021/12.282020/10.95
2024/21.812023/21.232022/21.72021/21.242020/20.84
2024/32.932023/31.572022/32.992021/32.82020/31.16
2024/42.022023/41.332022/41.352021/42.872020/40.9
2024/52.382023/51.462022/52.22021/52.842020/50.78
2024/61.732023/62.242022/62.782021/63.32020/61.19
2024/71.432023/71.712022/72.12021/72.62020/71.65
2024/81.592023/81.52022/82.62021/82.062020/81.63
2024/91.822023/91.432022/93.442021/91.812020/91.79
2024/102.532023/102.242022/102.562021/101.952020/101.9
N/AN/A2023/112.512022/112.32021/112.182020/112.78
N/AN/A2023/122.172022/121.772021/122.252020/122.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.051400.0854.55
24Q2 (19)0.07-41.67-22.22
24Q1 (18)0.12-57.14-20.0
23Q4 (17)0.28154.55-24.32
23Q3 (16)0.1122.22-26.67
23Q2 (15)0.09-40.0-76.32
23Q1 (14)0.15-59.46-88.1
22Q4 (13)0.37146.67-54.32
22Q3 (12)0.15-60.53-81.48
22Q2 (11)0.38-69.84-56.32
22Q1 (10)1.2655.564.13
21Q4 (9)0.810.0-28.95
21Q3 (8)0.81-6.93.85
21Q2 (7)0.87-28.1210.71
21Q1 (6)1.216.141916.67
20Q4 (5)1.1446.151800.0
20Q3 (4)0.78178.570.0
20Q2 (3)0.28366.670.0
20Q1 (2)0.060.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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