玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1019.14-10.351.6195.118.0962.95N/A-
2024/921.35-4.927.87175.978.8566.370.42-
2024/822.46-0.479.02154.628.9865.160.43-
2024/722.5612.0317.9132.168.9762.010.45-
2024/620.144.326.39109.67.359.730.48-
2024/519.31-4.8-8.389.467.5158.550.49-
2024/420.286.967.5970.1512.8751.410.55-
2024/318.9655.826.2149.8715.1649.870.53-
2024/212.17-35.06-8.5730.9121.4447.690.56-
2024/118.7411.6754.3518.7454.3553.990.49因農曆春節月份差異
2023/1216.78-9.12-12.67215.75-12.8954.090.47-
2023/1118.47-1.98-22.35198.97-12.9157.10.45-
2023/1018.84-4.81-10.7180.5-11.8159.230.43-
2023/919.79-3.9-12.03161.66-11.9459.530.48-
2023/820.67.62-19.5141.87-11.9358.660.49-
2023/719.141.09-25.03121.28-10.559.120.48-
2023/618.93-10.09-11.64102.14-7.1358.830.5-
2023/521.0511.6932.7783.21-6.0357.760.51-
2023/418.855.5852.0862.15-14.550.010.58中國疫情封控,無法出貨所致。
2023/317.8534.12-22.7843.3-28.1943.30.69-
2023/213.319.63-22.0225.45-31.5544.670.67-
2023/112.14-36.82-39.6412.14-39.6455.140.55-
2022/1219.22-19.18-19.99247.692.7764.10.48-
2022/1123.7812.711.07228.485.2967.380.46-
2022/1021.1-6.238.57204.75.869.190.45-
2022/922.5-12.0715.66183.65.573.620.49-
2022/825.590.2327.77161.14.2272.540.5-
2022/725.5319.1522.29135.510.7162.810.58-
2022/621.4235.119.56109.98-3.2449.680.86-
2022/515.8627.93-21.4488.56-5.951.370.83-
2022/412.39-46.38-42.6272.7-1.6652.580.81-
2022/323.1235.4414.5760.315.2460.30.6-
2022/217.07-15.1443.0737.1915.6761.210.59-
2022/120.12-16.25-0.4920.12-0.4967.670.54-
2021/1224.022.090.23241.0113.7966.980.56-
2021/1123.5321.08-2.65216.9915.5262.410.6-
2021/1019.43-0.11.65193.4618.258.910.64-
2021/919.45-2.86-15.07174.0320.3960.350.66-
2021/820.03-4.06-6.59154.5727.0760.460.66-
2021/720.876.740.66134.5534.2760.620.65-
2021/619.56-3.134.93113.6743.0561.350.62-
2021/520.19-6.5522.5694.1254.7261.970.61因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2021/421.67.0626.5473.9366.6753.710.71因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2021/320.1869.1341.0152.3391.7752.330.75因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2021/211.93-40.9898.4932.15147.7656.110.7因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2021/120.22-15.63190.2820.22190.2868.350.57因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/1223.96-0.84113.28211.864.3367.250.51因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/1124.1726.4374.94187.8359.6666.190.52因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/1019.12-16.5451.17163.6657.6263.460.54因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/922.916.8360.57144.5558.5265.080.49因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/821.443.39103.54121.6458.1460.810.52因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/720.7411.28100.23100.250.9355.840.57因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/618.6413.1458.079.4641.8252.180.5因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/516.47-3.5152.7660.8337.547.850.54因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/417.0719.386.9844.3632.5937.390.7因疫情居家辦公及客戶NB新機型導入出貨量增加,連帶鍵盤出貨量增加所致
2020/314.31138.0837.2227.2812.1727.280.85-
2020/26.01-13.697.5112.97-6.6224.210.96-
2020/16.96-38.01-16.146.96-16.1432.020.73-
2019/1211.24-18.6717.48128.8823.730.0N/A-
2019/1113.829.2643.69117.6424.360.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/118.742023/112.142022/120.122021/120.222020/16.96
2024/212.172023/213.312022/217.072021/211.932020/26.01
2024/318.962023/317.852022/323.122021/320.182020/314.31
2024/420.282023/418.852022/412.392021/421.62020/417.07
2024/519.312023/521.052022/515.862021/520.192020/516.47
2024/620.142023/618.932022/621.422021/619.562020/618.64
2024/722.562023/719.142022/725.532021/720.872020/720.74
2024/822.462023/820.62022/825.592021/820.032020/821.44
2024/921.352023/919.792022/922.52021/919.452020/922.91
2024/1019.142023/1018.842022/1021.12021/1019.432020/1019.12
N/AN/A2023/1118.472022/1123.782021/1123.532020/1124.17
N/AN/A2023/1216.782022/1219.222021/1224.022020/1223.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.99%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.786.8513.04
24Q2 (19)0.73-17.05563.64
24Q1 (18)0.8814.29528.57
23Q4 (17)0.7711.59-2.53
23Q3 (16)0.69527.2776.92
23Q2 (15)0.11-21.4322.22
23Q1 (14)0.14-82.28-82.28
22Q4 (13)0.79102.56163.33
22Q3 (12)0.39333.330.0
22Q2 (11)0.09-88.61-87.67
22Q1 (10)0.79163.33-76.49
21Q4 (9)0.3-23.08-91.64
21Q3 (8)0.39-46.58-82.11
21Q2 (7)0.73-78.27-63.86
21Q1 (6)3.36-6.412484.62
20Q4 (5)3.5964.682293.33
20Q3 (4)2.187.920.0
20Q2 (3)2.021453.850.0
20Q1 (2)0.13-13.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.150.00.0

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