玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.23-31.4-47.4817.7-12.174.35N/A-
2024/91.836.52-9.5316.47-7.514.910.92-
2024/81.32-26.53-31.0514.67-7.265.060.89-
2024/71.8-7.7512.513.35-3.995.60.81-
2024/61.954.7429.4411.56-6.125.271.09-
2024/51.8626.28-8.289.61-11.075.161.11-
2024/41.47-19.68-21.717.75-11.725.111.12-
2024/31.831.22-17.996.28-9.06.281.21-
2024/21.81-31.43-23.544.45-4.695.91.29-
2024/12.6481.6414.682.6414.685.921.28-
2023/121.45-20.67-6.9223.444.835.641.44-
2023/111.83-22.111.5521.995.716.171.31-
2023/102.3518.1625.6520.165.216.251.29-
2023/91.994.040.0917.813.05.51.54-
2023/81.9119.8710.015.823.375.011.69-
2023/71.66.13-7.7113.912.525.121.65-
2023/61.5-25.780.5412.314.025.411.54-
2023/52.037.7921.410.814.526.141.36-
2023/41.88-15.876.628.781.286.481.29-
2023/32.23-5.6212.486.9-0.086.91.25-
2023/22.372.8418.464.67-5.156.231.39-
2023/12.347.41-21.282.3-21.285.51.57-
2022/121.56-4.92-41.4422.36-19.45.071.78-
2022/111.64-12.25-54.1220.8-17.055.51.64主要是主機板及顯示卡等產品之銷售衰退,使本月營收較去年同期減少
2022/101.87-5.87-21.3719.16-10.895.61.61-
2022/91.9914.34-9.6817.29-9.585.461.58-
2022/81.740.56-37.3715.3-9.574.961.74-
2022/71.7315.63-5.113.56-4.114.891.77-
2022/61.5-10.38-17.1111.83-3.974.932.03-
2022/51.67-5.33-31.7310.34-1.725.421.84-
2022/41.76-11.25-16.878.677.365.751.74-
2022/31.99-0.6-14.686.9115.996.911.48-
2022/22.0-31.6632.384.9235.687.591.35-
2022/12.929.6538.022.9238.029.171.11-
2021/122.67-25.4965.1527.7524.638.631.18主要係主機板及顯示卡等產品之銷售成長,使本月營收較去年同期增加
2021/113.5850.3877.3525.0821.478.161.25主要係主機板及顯示卡等產品之銷售成長,使本月營收較去年同期增加
2021/102.388.111.621.515.417.361.39-
2021/92.2-20.7-21.6619.1217.46.81.15-
2021/82.7852.3827.3716.9225.556.41.22-
2021/71.820.99-3.0814.1525.196.071.29-
2021/61.8-26.1951.0712.3230.846.371.31主要係主機板及顯示卡等產品之銷售成長,使本月營收較去年同期增加
2021/52.4415.2860.4610.5227.96.891.21主要係主機板及顯示卡等產品之銷售成長,使本月營收較去年同期增加
2021/42.12-8.9259.928.0820.55.961.4主要係主機板及顯示卡等產品之銷售成長,使本月營收較去年同期增加
2021/32.3354.241.435.9610.785.961.18-
2021/21.51-28.751.993.6317.745.241.34-
2021/12.1231.232.32.1232.35.751.22-
2020/121.61-19.99-20.6622.26-2.345.971.04-
2020/112.02-13.84-8.6420.65-0.547.170.87-
2020/102.34-16.6418.7318.630.417.330.85-
2020/92.8128.9373.516.29-1.766.870.7因為客戶需求,主機板銷售增加
2020/82.1815.942.4813.48-9.915.250.91-
2020/71.8857.43-7.5711.3-11.964.61.04-
2020/61.19-21.61-28.089.42-12.794.041.24-
2020/51.5214.89-4.948.22-10.015.140.98-
2020/41.33-42.23-20.676.7-11.095.10.98-
2020/32.2955.09-4.035.38-8.375.380.82-
2020/21.48-7.57-1.873.08-11.355.120.86-
2020/11.6-21.32-18.621.6-18.625.850.75-
2019/122.04-7.8743.3122.8-25.010.0N/A-
2019/112.2111.9714.1920.76-28.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.642023/12.32022/12.922021/12.122020/11.6
2024/21.812023/22.372022/22.02021/21.512020/21.48
2024/31.832023/32.232022/31.992021/32.332020/32.29
2024/41.472023/41.882022/41.762021/42.122020/41.33
2024/51.862023/52.032022/51.672021/52.442020/51.52
2024/61.952023/61.52022/61.52021/61.82020/61.19
2024/71.82023/71.62022/71.732021/71.822020/71.88
2024/81.322023/81.912022/81.742021/82.782020/82.18
2024/91.82023/91.992022/91.992021/92.22020/92.81
2024/101.232023/102.352022/101.872021/102.382020/102.34
N/AN/A2023/111.832022/111.642021/113.582020/112.02
N/AN/A2023/121.452022/121.562021/122.672020/121.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.17%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.03-25.0-50.0
24Q2 (19)0.04-66.67-42.86
24Q1 (18)0.1220.0-14.29
23Q4 (17)0.166.67-23.08
23Q3 (16)0.06-14.29-25.0
23Q2 (15)0.07-50.0-53.33
23Q1 (14)0.147.69100.0
22Q4 (13)0.1362.5-35.0
22Q3 (12)0.08-46.67-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.15114.29-6.25
22Q1 (10)0.07-65.0-56.25
21Q4 (9)0.266.67122.22
21Q3 (8)0.12-25.020.0
21Q2 (7)0.160.00
21Q1 (6)0.1677.780
20Q4 (5)0.09-10.00
20Q3 (4)0.100.0

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