玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1015.65-3.24-1.81159.37-5.4347.86N/A-
2024/916.180.94-0.78143.71-5.8149.690.48-
2024/816.03-8.33-2.1127.54-6.4149.140.49-
2024/717.4811.85-4.96111.51-7.048.260.5-
2024/615.633.19-6.6194.03-7.3747.320.6-
2024/515.15-8.45-11.7878.4-7.5246.030.61-
2024/416.5515.37-3.2463.25-6.4446.470.61-
2024/314.34-8.01-2.9246.71-7.5346.710.62-
2024/215.59-7.071.9732.37-9.4348.40.59-
2024/116.784.6-17.9616.78-17.9648.090.6-
2023/1216.044.95-10.26199.85-10.3447.260.52-
2023/1115.28-4.14-7.91183.81-10.3547.530.51-
2023/1015.94-2.22-4.73168.53-10.5648.620.5-
2023/916.3-0.39-5.72152.59-11.1351.070.46-
2023/816.37-11.01-6.89136.28-11.7451.50.46-
2023/718.49.91-7.61119.91-12.3652.30.45-
2023/616.74-2.51-7.67101.52-13.1751.010.54-
2023/517.170.4-15.1284.78-14.1849.040.56-
2023/417.115.76-18.8167.61-13.9447.160.58-
2023/314.77-3.36-13.7450.51-12.1550.510.63-
2023/215.29-25.25-8.4735.74-11.4853.610.59-
2023/120.4514.42-13.6120.45-13.6154.920.58-
2022/1217.877.70.61222.91-1.8451.20.53-
2022/1116.59-0.83-16.62205.04-2.0550.620.53-
2022/1016.73-3.24-20.07188.45-0.5251.610.52-
2022/917.3-1.620.74171.711.954.790.46-
2022/817.58-11.72.88154.422.0355.620.45-
2022/719.919.84-8.01136.831.9358.270.43-
2022/618.13-10.38-11.27116.923.8459.420.5-
2022/520.23-3.96-11.0898.797.1958.420.51-
2022/421.0622.9924.2878.5613.1854.890.55-
2022/317.132.5412.6257.59.657.50.49-
2022/216.7-29.442.5840.378.3658.140.48-
2022/123.6733.2612.8523.6712.8561.340.46-
2021/1217.76-10.74-1.71227.116.258.60.43-
2021/1119.9-4.9312.01209.3418.0358.010.43-
2021/1020.9421.9548.48189.4418.755.190.45-
2021/917.170.4518.36168.515.8155.90.4-
2021/817.09-21.06-6.62151.3315.5359.170.38-
2021/721.655.953.23134.2419.1364.830.34-
2021/620.43-10.1928.11112.5922.7760.130.41-
2021/522.7534.2440.8892.1621.6454.910.45-
2021/416.9511.4517.6269.4116.4348.430.51-
2021/315.21-6.5914.1152.4616.0552.460.53-
2021/216.28-22.3818.3137.2616.8655.330.5-
2021/120.9816.0615.7620.9815.7656.820.49-
2020/1218.071.7132.96195.433.349.940.46-
2020/1117.7726.0113.17177.351.0146.370.49-
2020/1014.1-2.785.39159.59-0.1846.90.49-
2020/914.5-20.74-11.19145.49-0.6953.780.4-
2020/818.3-12.7218.2130.980.6255.220.39-
2020/720.9731.489.55112.68-1.7453.070.4-
2020/615.95-1.245.8891.71-4.0146.510.51-
2020/516.1512.084.7475.76-5.8643.880.54-
2020/414.418.12-11.0559.61-8.3741.490.57-
2020/313.33-3.16-5.5545.21-7.4945.210.5-
2020/213.76-24.05-3.2431.88-8.2745.470.5-
2020/118.1233.3-11.7518.12-11.7547.410.48-
2019/1213.59-13.41-10.38189.17-8.030.0N/A-
2019/1115.717.35-11.08175.58-7.840.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.782023/120.452022/123.672021/120.982020/118.12
2024/215.592023/215.292022/216.72021/216.282020/213.76
2024/314.342023/314.772022/317.132021/315.212020/313.33
2024/416.552023/417.12022/421.062021/416.952020/414.41
2024/515.152023/517.172022/520.232021/522.752020/516.15
2024/615.632023/616.742022/618.132021/620.432020/615.95
2024/717.482023/718.42022/719.912021/721.652020/720.97
2024/816.032023/816.372022/817.582021/817.092020/818.3
2024/916.182023/916.32022/917.32021/917.172020/914.5
2024/1015.652023/1015.942022/1016.732021/1020.942020/1014.1
N/AN/A2023/1115.282022/1116.592021/1119.92020/1117.77
N/AN/A2023/1216.042022/1217.872021/1217.762020/1218.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 68.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.03-10.78-1.95
24Q2 (19)9.019.2121.62
24Q1 (18)7.55-0.668.95
23Q4 (17)7.6-7.20.0
23Q3 (16)8.1910.685.95
23Q2 (15)7.46.78-20.52
23Q1 (14)6.93-8.82-16.3
22Q4 (13)7.6-1.68-4.76
22Q3 (12)7.73-16.9717.48
22Q2 (11)9.3112.4444.57
22Q1 (10)8.283.7655.06
21Q4 (9)7.9821.2830.82
21Q3 (8)6.582.1742.12
21Q2 (7)6.4420.611.61
21Q1 (6)5.34-12.4622.76
20Q4 (5)6.131.7522.49
20Q3 (4)4.63-19.760.0
20Q2 (3)5.7732.640.0
20Q1 (2)4.35-12.650.0
19Q4 (1)4.980.00.0

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