玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)9.07-71.82112.410.02-77.78010.03254.42-52.914808.50349.93-87.86345.85399.21-72.874472.68346.26-88.34
23Q4 (19)32.19660.99562.350.09002.83-86.84-84.871068.71-96.38-97.1869.28-94.08-95.751002.26-96.46-97.24
23Q3 (18)4.23-97.31101.430.00-100.0021.503606.9-50.4629497.103106.52-6.221170.544458.18-3.3328348.103068.06-6.4
23Q2 (17)157.313584.07370.570.100150.00.58-97.28-78.68919.91-97.68-57.6425.68-97.99-47.98894.81-97.67-57.9
23Q1 (16)4.27-12.144.150.000021.3013.84-4.139601.904.498.571274.60-21.7565.8438348.605.687.33
22Q4 (15)4.86131.43-86.970.000-100.018.71-56.89666.837899.1020.5850.01628.9234.522180.1236288.9019.82825.65
22Q3 (14)2.10-93.72-65.80.00-100.0-100.043.401495.59193.0531452.801348.18258.451210.892352.68988.9330285.301325.03248.98
22Q2 (13)33.43715.37-33.140.040-50.02.72-87.7549.452171.89-94.0582.1749.37-93.5880.452125.24-94.0582.16
22Q1 (12)4.10-89.01-94.440.00-100.0-100.022.21810.251705.6936474.80814.3604.5768.57975.83320.0835728.40811.35615.18
21Q4 (11)37.29507.33126.140.02100.0-90.482.44-83.52-55.83989.37-54.53804.6871.44-35.76172.053920.37-54.82832.91
21Q3 (10)6.14-87.72-12.910.01-87.5-92.8614.81713.7414.818774.57635.981294.16111.20306.43127.828678.18643.831362.25
21Q2 (9)50.00-32.15975.270.08300.0-27.271.8247.97-90.71192.23-76.9740.2827.36-85.05-60.571166.69-76.6545.82
21Q1 (8)73.69346.881886.250.02-90.48-81.821.23-77.72-94.985177.411074.1508.11182.96596.73121.824995.691088.8529.62
20Q4 (7)16.49133.9136.250.2150.0-12.55.52-57.21-57.64440.97-29.9418.3326.26-46.2-41.03420.23-29.1923.18
20Q3 (6)7.0551.6147.490.1427.27-50.012.90-34.12-32.21629.38-25.9590.6848.81-29.66-0.49593.48-25.8297.79
20Q2 (5)4.6525.34-22.630.110.0-71.0519.58-20.1529.33849.90-0.18255.7769.39-15.8783.23800.090.84270.12
20Q1 (4)3.71-46.850.00.11-54.170.024.5288.180.0851.40128.470.082.4885.220.0793.45132.590.0
19Q4 (3)6.9846.030.00.24-14.290.013.03-31.530.0372.6512.90.044.53-9.220.0341.1413.690.0
19Q3 (2)4.78-20.470.00.28-26.320.019.0325.690.0330.0738.170.049.0529.520.0300.0538.80.0
19Q2 (1)6.010.00.00.380.00.015.140.00.0238.890.00.037.870.00.0216.170.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)68.555.070.19280.05.32-5.01940.29-75.36114.77-53.141830.84-76.02
2022 (9)65.24-72.470.05-61.545.60263.647873.28171.39244.92171.537633.95171.44
2021 (8)236.98426.620.13-78.691.54-81.012901.10383.5590.20114.712812.44396.84
2020 (7)45.0079.070.61-30.688.11-44.15599.9644.3642.01-24.59566.0651.18
2019 (6)25.13-43.020.88-38.4614.5275.36415.6062.5555.7114.3374.4273.97
2018 (5)44.10208.611.43217.788.28-67.57255.68-68.248.74-60.15215.22-69.57
2017 (4)14.2956.00.45-13.4625.53-35.9804.1115.41122.3045.89707.348.37
2016 (3)9.1638.160.5252.9439.83-27.61696.72-35.2683.83-11.25652.71-37.05
2015 (2)6.63-30.720.3417.2455.0244.221076.24-14.2394.4674.61036.80-16.31
2014 (1)9.57-10.230.29-25.6438.1511.421254.7432.8154.10-0.531238.8033.98

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