玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)484-0.21-0.210.92-55.34-57.991.461023.08758.824.2527.25-5.3593.515.177.6120.234.174.769.0336.428.825.61-60.71-62.88.4543.4638.754.45-55.5-58.026.23-63.67-65.865.61-60.71-62.87.123.43569.98
24Q2 (19)4850.00.02.0662.218.390.13116.88-7.143.34162.9944.5988.919.088.1219.4210.2212.586.6233.4745.1814.2838.6411.395.8945.4357.0710.062.0718.7617.150.4122.5914.2838.6411.395.11239.85-77.12
24Q1 (18)4850.00.01.27417.5122.81-0.77-271.11-450.01.27-68.95122.8181.511.144.1717.62-16.0231.34.96-42.99254.2910.30810.3496.564.05-42.23268.186.17419.69123.5517.08370.52192.9710.30810.3496.56-3.06149.62-53.20
23Q4 (17)4850.00.0-0.40-118.2660.00.45164.71197.834.09-8.9120.2980.59-7.267.4120.988.6565.338.7024.111379.41-1.45-109.6281.057.0115.111474.51-1.93-118.2160.213.63-80.11187.68-1.45-109.6281.05-0.79-46.2093.07
23Q3 (16)4850.00.02.1925.86108.570.1721.43118.894.4994.372.0586.95.685.6319.3111.9436.187.0153.73364.2415.0817.6370.016.0962.4391.1310.625.89108.2518.2530.4540.2815.0817.6370.015.38115.56110.72
23Q2 (15)4850.00.01.74205.2610.830.14200.0-78.792.31305.26-31.0482.235.09-16.5317.2528.54-20.914.56225.71-56.912.82144.6626.313.75240.91-64.058.42205.0710.7913.99139.97-7.0412.82144.6626.314.69181.13134.78
23Q1 (14)4850.00.00.57157.0-68.16-0.1469.57-113.080.57-83.24-68.1678.254.29-19.4613.425.75-35.821.40305.88-85.615.24168.5-55.331.1315.69-88.362.76156.91-68.135.83240.82-56.265.24168.5-55.33-2.26-19.1259.23
22Q4 (13)4850.00.0-1.00-195.24-151.28-0.4648.89-156.13.40-22.73-79.275.03-8.8-16.7412.69-10.51-40.76-0.68-145.03-107.56-7.65-186.25-157.48-0.51-141.13-106.3-4.85-195.28-151.21-4.14-131.82-127.38-7.65-186.25-157.48-12.64-114.18-93.74
22Q3 (12)4850.00.01.05-33.12-80.98-0.90-236.36-125.574.4031.34-69.4482.27-16.49-24.7614.18-34.98-56.071.51-85.73-93.418.87-12.61-67.711.24-88.11-95.055.09-33.03-80.9813.01-13.55-59.098.87-12.61-67.71-7.55-22.70-137.34
22Q2 (11)4850.00.01.57-12.29-67.430.66-38.32-85.13.3587.15-62.2798.511.39-15.4921.814.3-35.9310.588.74-58.2610.15-13.47-53.5310.4310.37-64.77.6-12.24-67.4915.0512.9-44.3210.15-13.47-53.534.61-10.25-3.92
22Q1 (10)4850.0-0.211.79-8.21-55.911.0730.49-63.971.79-89.05-55.9197.167.82-7.5220.91-2.38-28.789.738.23-51.9311.73-11.87-44.289.4516.67-55.578.66-8.55-56.0413.33-11.84-47.3511.73-11.87-44.28-4.88-36.44-23.11
21Q4 (9)4850.0-0.211.95-64.67-43.310.82-76.7-69.9616.3513.5419.6990.11-17.59-10.921.42-33.64-29.198.99-60.79-55.3813.31-51.55-25.648.1-67.69-60.269.47-64.61-43.2315.12-52.45-35.9113.31-51.55-25.64-11.89-25.08-48.62
21Q3 (8)4850.0-0.215.5214.5212.883.52-20.54-6.8814.4062.1640.76109.35-6.195.932.28-5.17-5.8322.93-9.55-9.8727.4725.787.8525.07-15.16-4.5726.7614.4612.5331.8017.653.3827.4725.787.852.3916.6214.31
21Q2 (7)485-0.21-0.214.8218.7221.114.4349.1629.918.88118.7266.6116.5710.9632.7834.0415.940.7125.3525.25-0.7821.843.75-7.3429.5538.9331.7423.3818.6820.9527.036.75-6.1121.843.75-7.347.4318.3728.97
21Q1 (6)4860.00.214.0618.02200.742.978.79100.684.06-70.28200.74105.063.8964.6229.36-2.9411.7620.240.4528.4321.0517.689.6421.274.37111.4319.718.11201.2225.327.3370.7321.0517.689.640.92-5.81-9.50
20Q4 (5)4860.00.213.44-29.6545.762.73-27.7845.2113.6633.53-0.44101.13-2.0650.6930.25-11.7613.2120.15-20.7911.6317.90-29.72-2.4520.38-22.4268.2916.68-29.8645.9323.59-23.319.7717.90-29.72-2.45--0.00
20Q3 (4)4860.00.04.8922.860.03.7810.850.010.2391.930.0103.2617.620.034.281.420.025.44-0.430.025.478.060.026.2717.120.023.7823.020.030.766.840.025.478.060.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)4860.210.03.98194.810.03.41130.410.05.33294.810.087.7937.560.033.8028.660.025.5562.120.023.57112.340.022.43122.960.019.33195.570.028.7994.130.023.57112.340.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)4850.00.01.35-42.80.01.48-21.280.01.35-90.160.063.82-4.90.026.27-1.680.015.76-12.690.011.10-39.510.010.06-16.930.06.54-42.780.014.83-30.990.011.10-39.510.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)4850.00.02.360.00.01.880.00.013.720.00.067.110.00.026.720.00.018.050.00.018.350.00.012.110.00.011.430.00.021.490.00.018.350.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1027.72-12.881.7291.786.390.31N/A-
2024/931.823.438.41264.066.8193.870.83-
2024/830.76-1.677.3232.246.5990.570.86-
2024/731.299.738.68201.476.4889.880.87-
2024/628.51-5.184.42170.186.0988.650.84-
2024/530.070.049.86141.676.4388.430.84-
2024/430.066.259.42111.65.5481.840.91-
2024/328.2920.441.781.544.1881.540.87-
2024/223.49-21.06-9.0253.245.5578.440.91-
2024/129.7618.120.8529.7620.8583.030.86-
2023/1225.2-10.256.23327.75-7.2380.530.86-
2023/1128.082.994.82302.55-8.284.680.82-
2023/1027.26-7.1211.26274.48-9.3585.280.82-
2023/929.352.376.57247.22-11.1786.810.8-
2023/828.67-0.418.6217.87-13.1284.770.82-
2023/728.795.431.34189.2-15.6783.470.83-
2023/627.31-0.25-9.11160.41-18.1482.150.86-
2023/527.37-0.35-17.59133.11-19.7882.660.86-
2023/427.47-1.24-21.84105.73-20.3281.110.87-
2023/327.827.74-20.4478.26-19.7878.260.92-
2023/225.824.85-8.750.44-19.4174.160.97-
2023/124.623.82-28.2324.62-28.2375.120.96-
2022/1223.72-11.44-19.05353.32-16.0575.01.05-
2022/1126.789.32-16.13329.6-15.8278.821.0-
2022/1024.5-11.04-14.2302.82-15.878.441.01-
2022/927.544.32-19.87278.32-15.9382.351.11-
2022/826.4-7.06-28.59250.78-15.4884.851.07-
2022/728.41-5.45-26.46224.38-13.6191.670.99-
2022/630.05-9.56-19.39195.98-11.3798.421.01-
2022/533.22-5.48-16.39165.93-9.74103.340.96-
2022/435.150.52-10.98132.71-7.9198.41.01-
2022/334.9723.64-6.9497.56-6.7597.561.01-
2022/228.28-17.57-5.462.59-6.6491.891.07COVID-19 在中國和香港地區確診人數攀升阻礙部分物流,及農曆期間工作日減少影響了訂單的履行,2月份合併營收為28.3億元.
2022/134.3117.1-7.6434.31-7.6495.551.03受農曆新年假期前提前拉貨以及NB、伺服器、記憶儲存設備穩健的需求影響,華新科技1月份全球合併淨營收為新台幣 34.3億。
2021/1229.3-8.25-11.37420.8818.4189.791.08除了耶誕節假期和年終庫存盤點影響之外,因中國大陸疫情影響,進出口運輸均有所延遲,12月份營收為29.3億。
2021/1131.9311.83-8.39391.5821.4694.861.02自11月起,將雙信電機全球合併營收納入,伺服器、車用及工控等各項需求均保持穩定正向,11月合併營收新台幣31.9億.
2021/1028.55-16.92-12.92359.6425.0899.890.97受中國黃金周工作日減少、晶片供應、貨櫃短缺及中國局部區域限電措施影響,10月份全球合併營收為新台幣 28.6 億。
2021/934.37-7.03-3.53331.0929.98109.970.78受晶片供應、貨櫃短缺及中國大陸局部區域限電措施影響客戶下單與出貨,華新科技 9 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 34.4 億。
2021/836.97-4.298.46296.7235.43112.870.76儘管巿場整體需求仍在,考量晶片供應因素,客戶延遲出貨,華新科技 8 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 36.97 億。
2021/738.633.6314.96259.7540.39115.640.74受整體需求強勁,產能利用率持續提升影響,華新科技 7 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 38.6 億。
2021/637.27-6.1917.75221.1246.04116.490.62受年中盤點及疫情影響,以致對下游客戶訂單的出貨減少,華新科技 6 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 37.3 億。
2021/539.740.6337.94183.8553.51116.80.62五月雲端、遊戲及居家辦公設備需求持續強勁,唯因時值長假期間工作天數減少影響,5月份全球合併淨營收為新台幣 39.7億。
2021/439.495.0745.11144.1158.44106.960.684月合併營收39.5億,較 3月增5.1%,與去年4月比增45.1%,累計較去年增58.5%,受5G應用、雲端及筆電遊戲機需求影響。
2021/337.5825.6953.66104.6364.13104.630.623月合併營收37.6億,較2月增25.7%,與去年3月比增53.7%,累計較去年增64.1%,因宅經濟.雲端需求.電動車市場,及年後復工良好.
2021/229.9-19.5256.3467.0570.65100.110.642月合併營收29.9億,較1月減19.5%,與去年2月比增56.3%,累計較去年增 70.7%,雖終端需求仍強,但因農曆春節期間工作天數減少.
2021/137.1512.3784.2237.1584.22105.070.611月合併營收37.2億,較去年12月增12.4%,與去年1月比增84.2%,累計較去年增 84.2%,因客戶提前為筆電、遊戲機及5G等需求備料.
2020/1233.06-5.1753.63355.4318.69100.710.5912月合併營收33.1億,較11月減5.2%,與去年12月比增53.6%,累計較去年增18.7%,因耶誕假期及年終盤點及宅經濟需求、5G及電動車成長.
2020/1134.866.3154.28322.3815.99103.280.5811月合併營收34.9億,較10月增6.3%,與去年11月比增54.3%,累計較去年增16%.因5G應用及電動車市場成長,耶誕節及農曆新年前提前備貨.
2020/1032.79-7.9655.89287.5112.6102.50.5810月合併營收32.8億,較9月減8%,與去年10月比增55.9%,累計較去年增12.6%,因受中國黃金周工作日減和歐洲地區疫情加劇的影響.
2020/935.634.5350.29254.728.71103.310.559月合併營收35.6億,較8月增4.5%,與去年9月比增50.3%,累計較去年增8.7%,茲因5G新機陸續發表及中國地區十一長假提前拉貨.
2020/834.081.4439.68219.094.0399.340.578月合併營收34.1億,較7月增1.4%,與去年8月比增 39.7%,累計較去年增4%,茲因中國加速擴大內需巿場及5G相關需求持續增長.
2020/733.66.1539.27185.01-0.6394.060.617月合併營收33.6億,較6月增6.2%,與去年7月比增39.3%,累計較去年減0.6%,受居家防疫的宅經濟影響,促進5G建置和雲端設備需求.
2020/631.659.8833.53151.41-6.5787.670.586月合併營收31.7億(自6月起併入佳邦科技),較5月增9.9%,較去年6月增 33.5%,累計較去年同期減 6.6%,因歐美陸續復工,出貨增加.
2020/528.85.867.31119.76-13.4480.470.635月合併營收28.8億,較4月增5.9%,與去年 5月比增7.3%,整體較去年同期減13.5%.因大陸城市陸續開放,經濟活動重啓,需求增溫.
2020/427.2111.26-3.9490.95-18.4470.790.724月合併營收27.2億,較3月增11.3%,與去年4月比減3.9%,累計較去年同期減18.5%,因電腦及網通需求增,中國廠區產能恢復,供貨未受影響.
2020/324.4627.88-12.9263.74-23.3863.740.73月合併營收24.5億,較2月增27.9%,與去年3月比減12.9%,累計較去年同期減23.4%,因大陸陸續復工、出貨恢復、PC需求增加。
2020/219.12-5.17-13.439.29-28.7160.810.732月合併營收19.1億,較1月減5.2%,與去年 2月比減 13.4% ,累計較去年同期減 28.7%,因人力短缺及營運日減少所致。
2020/120.17-6.28-38.9420.17-38.9464.280.691月合併營收20.2億,較去年12月減6.3%,與去年1月比減38.9%,累計營收較去年同期減38.9%,茲因受農曆春節期間工作天數減少影響。
2019/1221.52-4.77-29.04299.45-37.380.0N/A12月合併營收21.5億,較11月減4.8%,與去年12月比減29%,累計較去年同期減 37.4%.因盤點及耶誕工作日减;低庫存後續需求仍強.
2019/1122.67.43-43.94277.93-37.950.0N/A11月合併營收22.6億,較10月增7.5%,與去年11月比減44%,累計較去年同期減38%.因通路庫存已消化,價格趨穩定,各類客戶均積極拉貨.
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4850.04.0019.40.6169.44327.98-7.0817.80-0.285.47-6.348.1024.6217.95-12.9134.85-1.519.8520.23
2022 (9)4850.03.35-78.690.36-96.93352.97-16.1817.85-39.925.84-70.736.50-69.4520.61-75.4635.38-66.7816.51-79.19
2021 (8)485-0.2115.7216.9611.743.07421.0918.2929.71-5.9219.95-10.2621.284.9884.06.14106.517.8779.3219.6
2020 (7)4860.2113.44-1.8311.392.52355.9918.1431.58-8.0922.23-12.9320.27-13.7479.142.8690.350.7666.32-0.26
2019 (6)4850.2113.69-66.1711.11-72.13301.34-36.934.36-43.1125.53-51.6223.50-45.3476.94-69.4789.67-64.9866.49-66.26
2018 (5)484-4.3540.47687.3539.87732.36477.55120.6360.40132.5852.77246.9442.99231.71252.01665.29256.08614.71197.05655.27
2017 (4)506-7.165.1430.794.7928.07216.4517.0625.979.915.2122.3712.964.3532.9343.2435.8335.7226.0921.24
2016 (3)545-15.773.93111.293.74132.3184.9115.3623.6330.8412.4391.8212.4257.6122.99121.2726.479.9621.5278.44
2015 (2)647-4.851.86129.631.61192.73160.2910.6718.0620.886.48125.787.8878.2810.39150.3614.67109.5712.06118.87
2014 (1)680-0.730.8100.550144.8310.9314.9402.8704.4204.1507.005.510

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