玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1118.570.9725.04174.1950.6640.14N/A本年交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/1010.820.0470.04155.6954.4330.87N/A本年交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/910.8217.143.68144.8753.3730.8916.33本年交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/89.24-14.811.17134.0554.2135.0514.4本年交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/710.84-27.5811.57124.8260.4437.1613.58本年交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/614.9731.98-41.59113.9867.4143.511.12本年交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/511.34-34.057.0799.0133.2560.927.94本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/417.19-46.92166.087.66148.8768.057.11本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/332.3975.28256.4570.47145.0270.476.35本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/218.48-5.7785.6338.0893.5777.15.8本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2024/119.61-49.74101.6919.61101.6973.426.09本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2023/1239.02163.6979.71154.63-7.5960.178.01本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2023/1114.8132.51-65.24115.61-20.6131.3515.38本月交屋入帳較少
2023/106.36-15.46-73.61100.82-2.1825.6818.77本月交屋入帳較少
2023/910.1911.63-33.2297.1223.0129.0416.19-
2023/89.13-6.05-8.2986.9236.4944.4810.57-
2023/79.72-62.09-51.8277.844.7942.5711.05本月交屋入帳減少
2023/625.63254.94176.9168.08102.8539.3211.1本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2023/57.2211.76-19.3942.4474.6422.7719.17交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2023/46.46-28.8731.0735.22129.5625.517.12本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2023/39.09-8.71170.7528.76176.1928.7614.89本月交屋入帳及工程收入增加
2023/29.952.37170.4219.67178.7741.3810.35本月交屋入帳較多
2023/19.72-55.21187.879.72187.8774.05.79本月交屋入帳較多
2022/1221.71-49.0-41.79167.3434.288.44.67-
2022/1142.5776.49211.78145.6366.6281.955.04本月交屋入帳較多
2022/1024.1258.04148.71103.0739.7549.348.37本月交屋入帳較多
2022/915.2653.312.7578.9523.2545.399.77-
2022/89.95-50.6452.8863.6826.0739.3811.26本月交屋入帳較多
2022/720.17117.87360.4353.7322.138.3911.55本月交屋入帳較多
2022/69.263.31134.2533.56-15.323.1519.16本月交屋入帳較多
2022/58.9681.74169.5124.3-31.8617.2525.72本月交屋入帳較多
2022/44.9346.913.3915.34-52.5611.9737.06今年交屋入帳較少
2022/33.36-8.82-50.2310.41-62.2410.4138.88本年交屋入帳較少
2022/23.688.98-50.57.06-66.1244.359.13交屋入帳較少
2022/13.38-90.94-74.793.38-74.7954.337.45本月交屋入帳較少
2021/1237.3173.15-26.61124.7-10.7260.655.93-
2021/1113.6540.79-36.687.4-1.6336.899.75-
2021/109.7-28.355.8273.759.5529.7412.1-
2021/913.53107.8522.7764.0510.1324.4314.42-
2021/86.5148.64-24.6150.517.1814.8423.73-
2021/74.3810.84-52.9244.014.3111.6630.21本月交屋入帳較少
2021/63.9518.86-41.8939.6235.7512.0428.88-
2021/53.32-30.27-68.6135.6759.3414.8423.45本月交屋入帳較少
2021/44.77-29.2840.6332.35174.2718.9518.36本年交屋入帳較多
2021/36.74-9.33264.6127.58228.1927.5810.61交屋入帳較去年多
2021/27.44-44.595.9820.84217.9171.664.08本年度交屋入帳較多
2021/113.4-73.63385.5613.4385.5685.763.41本月交屋入帳較多
2020/1250.82135.95131.03139.6820.4281.523.56交屋入帳較多
2020/1121.54135.03160.8388.86-5.4641.736.95本月交屋入帳較多
2020/109.16-16.87-55.3967.32-21.4828.8310.06本月交屋入帳較少
2020/911.0227.63101.5958.15-10.7828.9710.43本月交屋入帳較多
2020/88.64-7.18257.8447.13-21.0824.7412.2本月交屋入帳較多
2020/79.3136.8280.4738.49-32.8226.711.31本月交屋入帳較多
2020/66.8-35.793.6229.19-44.0320.7814.68-
2020/510.59212.428.5222.39-50.8915.8319.27交屋入帳較少
2020/43.3983.34-80.4211.79-67.089.0333.77本月交屋入帳較少
2020/31.85-51.26-67.618.4-54.598.435.84本月交屋入帳減少
2020/23.7937.5-44.396.55-48.7928.5510.55-
2020/12.76-87.45-53.812.76-53.810.0N/A本月交屋入帳減少
2019/1222.0166.39-0.05115.99-18.330.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/119.612023/19.722022/13.382021/113.42020/12.76
2024/218.482023/29.952022/23.682021/27.442020/23.79
2024/332.392023/39.092022/33.362021/36.742020/31.85
2024/417.192023/46.462022/44.932021/44.772020/43.39
2024/511.342023/57.222022/58.962021/53.322020/510.59
2024/614.972023/625.632022/69.262021/63.952020/66.8
2024/710.842023/79.722022/720.172021/74.382020/79.31
2024/89.242023/89.132022/89.952021/86.512020/88.64
2024/910.822023/910.192022/915.262021/913.532020/911.02
2024/1010.822023/106.362022/1024.122021/109.72020/109.16
2024/1118.52023/1114.82022/1142.572021/1113.652020/1121.54
N/AN/A2023/1239.022022/1221.712021/1237.32020/1250.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 100.68%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)116.748.9357.99
24Q2 (19)107.1728.0752.93
24Q1 (18)83.6810.1629.6
23Q4 (17)75.962.814.62
23Q3 (16)73.895.4411.82
23Q2 (15)70.088.5311.33
23Q1 (14)64.57-2.579.87
22Q4 (13)66.270.2925.37
22Q3 (12)66.084.9712.51
22Q2 (11)62.957.1127.4
22Q1 (10)58.7711.1841.89
21Q4 (9)52.86-9.9917.28
21Q3 (8)58.7318.8626.66
21Q2 (7)49.4119.2911.01
21Q1 (6)41.42-8.10.29
20Q4 (5)45.07-2.826.03
20Q3 (4)46.374.180.0
20Q2 (3)44.517.770.0
20Q1 (2)41.315.490.0
19Q4 (1)35.760.00.0

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