玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.89-4.89-49.026.14-50.88023.395.0896.0614.83103.710121.908.588.32-83.69-1.1616.82
24Q2 (19)4.09-20.12-32.2812.50-96.67022.2625.2747.717.282933.330112.27-18.53-15.84-82.7330.9430.08
24Q1 (18)5.12-27.68-31.0375.450017.7738.1844.940.2400137.8125.939.62-119.79-24.04-5.59
23Q4 (17)7.08-7.21-28.120.000012.867.839.180.0000109.43-2.7623.0-96.574.02-21.12
23Q3 (16)7.6326.32-18.570.000011.93-20.8422.860.0000112.54-15.64-19.34-100.6114.9722.49
23Q2 (15)6.04-18.6-87.250.000015.0722.92684.90.0000133.406.1138.89-118.32-4.29-25.7
23Q1 (14)7.42-24.67-83.920.000012.2632.68522.340.0000125.7241.31-11.18-113.45-42.2918.71
22Q4 (13)9.855.12-71.910.00009.24-4.84256.760.000088.97-36.23-7.48-79.7338.5714.78
22Q3 (12)9.37-80.22-42.270.00009.71405.7373.080.0000139.5245.2661.31-129.80-37.89-60.48
22Q2 (11)47.382.67243.830.00001.92-2.54-70.910.000096.05-32.14-0.59-94.1332.55-4.57
22Q1 (10)46.1531.59317.650.00001.97-23.94-76.060.0000141.5447.19-3.89-139.56-49.17-0.37
21Q4 (9)35.07116.08365.740.00002.59-53.83-78.560.000096.1611.18-15.17-93.56-15.687.61
21Q3 (8)16.2317.78118.440.00005.61-15.0-54.20.000086.49-10.48-1.28-80.8810.15-7.32
21Q2 (7)13.7824.7184.720.000-100.06.60-19.81-45.860.000-100.096.62-34.39-14.97-90.0235.2611.25
21Q1 (6)11.0546.75119.680.000-100.08.23-31.87-54.510.000-100.0147.2729.93-35.03-139.04-37.333.34
20Q4 (5)7.531.3579.290.000-100.012.08-1.39-44.250.000-100.0113.3529.38-8.64-101.27-34.381.1
20Q3 (4)7.43-0.40.00.00-100.00.012.250.490.00.00-100.00.087.61-22.90.0-75.3625.70.0
20Q2 (3)7.4648.310.013062.80317.240.012.19-32.610.00.01-66.670.0113.63-49.870.0-101.4351.370.0
20Q1 (2)5.0319.760.03130.77-68.050.018.09-16.520.00.03200.00.0226.6982.710.0-208.57-103.680.0
19Q4 (1)4.200.00.09799.310.00.021.670.00.00.010.00.0124.070.00.0-102.400.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)38.61-56.770.0009.45131.050.000127.113.62-117.650
2022 (9)89.320.820.0004.09-0.730.000122.679.69-118.580
2021 (8)88.59129.750.0004.12-56.490.000111.83-18.53-107.710
2020 (7)38.56213.7539087.10-3.069.47-68.110.010.0137.27-6.63-127.800
2019 (6)12.29146.2940322.70029.70-59.420.010147.010.85-117.310
2018 (5)4.9940.560.00073.18-28.880.000145.7736.63-72.590
2017 (4)3.5559.910.000102.90-37.290.000106.69-22.31-3.790
2016 (3)2.22-19.27417.8963.87164.0923.770.87-39.16137.3310.9727.63169.3
2015 (2)2.75-30.73255.015.9132.5844.051.43-5.92123.7530.1810.260
2014 (1)3.9714.74240.80-13.6792.04-12.771.5216.0395.06-12.24-1.510

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