玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10182.365.064.051826.8511.51555.21N/A-
2024/9173.58-12.895.831644.4912.4571.60.0-
2024/8199.270.259.661470.9213.23592.210.0-
2024/7198.752.356.331271.6513.81573.80.0-
2024/6194.197.3710.11072.8915.32553.740.0-
2024/5180.861.214.74878.7116.54536.750.0-
2024/4178.70.8417.47697.8517.01521.540.0-
2024/3177.26.978.28519.1516.85519.150.0-
2024/2165.65-6.0528.57341.9621.85529.390.0-
2024/1176.31-5.9316.15176.3116.15541.640.0-
2023/12187.435.3527.682003.5645.11540.580.0-
2023/11177.91.538.911816.1347.18517.160.0-
2023/10175.256.8546.571638.2448.14520.970.0-
2023/9164.01-9.7444.831462.9848.33532.630.0-
2023/8181.71-2.7851.231298.9748.78544.990.0客運需求持續暢旺,故營業收入增加
2023/7186.915.9857.511117.2748.39520.90.0客運需求持續暢旺,故營業收入增加
2023/6176.3611.8959.37930.3546.69486.090.0客運持續暢旺,故營業收入增加
2023/5157.623.6240.03753.9944.01473.370.0-
2023/4152.11-7.0438.16596.3745.1444.580.0-
2023/3163.6427.0152.27444.2647.64444.260.0受惠於邊境解封後旅遊需求強勁,客運營收增長,故本月較去年同期成長幅度較高。
2023/2128.83-15.1248.25280.6245.06427.410.0-
2023/1151.793.442.46151.7942.46426.640.0-
2022/12146.7914.6218.651380.6932.92394.420.0-
2022/11128.067.111.611233.934.85360.870.0-
2022/10119.575.5915.281105.8438.18352.950.0-
2022/9113.24-5.7532.94986.2741.59352.050.0-
2022/8120.151.2433.83873.0342.79349.470.0-
2022/7118.677.2342.64752.8944.34341.890.0-
2022/6110.66-1.6843.6634.2244.66333.310.0-
2022/5112.562.2334.08523.5644.88330.120.0-
2022/4110.12.4436.55411.048.15304.460.0-
2022/3107.4623.6649.74300.952.9300.90.0貨運價量齊揚,故營業收入增加
2022/286.9-18.4449.7193.4454.72317.150.0貨運價量齊揚,故營業收入增加
2022/1106.55-13.8759.06106.5559.06345.00.0貨運價量齊揚,故營業收入增加
2021/12123.717.8271.291038.7216.64342.170.0貨運價量齊揚,故營業收入增加。
2021/11114.7410.6257.1915.0111.82303.630.0貨運價量齊揚,故營業收入增加。
2021/10103.7221.7657.18800.277.38278.670.0貨運價量齊揚,故營業收入增加。
2021/985.18-5.1143.68696.562.54258.140.0-
2021/889.777.9142.88611.38-1.38250.020.0-
2021/783.197.9534.34521.61-6.37244.20.0-
2021/677.06-8.225.45438.42-11.47241.630.0-
2021/583.954.1215.67361.36-16.69236.340.0-
2021/480.6212.3436.88277.41-23.2210.430.0-
2021/371.7623.645.75196.79-34.9196.790.0-
2021/258.04-13.34-34.44125.02-46.67197.240.0-
2021/166.98-7.25-54.166.98-54.1212.230.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/1272.22-1.11-55.47890.49-50.87211.240.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/1173.0310.68-54.28818.27-50.42198.30.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/1065.9811.3-57.08745.23-50.01188.090.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/959.28-5.64-58.52679.25-49.19184.030.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/862.831.46-62.67619.97-48.08186.170.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/761.920.81-57.0557.14-45.68195.910.0主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/661.42-15.36-53.76495.22-43.83192.890.19主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/572.5723.22-51.43433.8-42.07199.330.18主係受嚴重特殊傳染性肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/458.9-13.21-62.33361.23-39.74215.30.17主係受新冠肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/367.86-23.35-54.14302.33-31.77302.330.0主係受新冠肺炎疫情影響,航班取消致營收大幅減少。
2020/288.54-39.32-34.6234.47-20.55396.660.0-
2020/1145.93-10.02-8.64145.93-8.64467.880.0-
2019/12162.191.524.211812.750.760.0N/A-
2019/11159.763.918.421650.560.430.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1176.312023/1151.792022/1106.552021/166.982020/1145.93
2024/2165.652023/2128.832022/286.92021/258.042020/288.54
2024/3177.22023/3163.642022/3107.462021/371.762020/367.86
2024/4178.72023/4152.112022/4110.12021/480.622020/458.9
2024/5180.862023/5157.622022/5112.562021/583.952020/572.57
2024/6194.192023/6176.362022/6110.662021/677.062020/661.42
2024/7198.752023/7186.912022/7118.672021/783.192020/761.92
2024/8199.272023/8181.712022/8120.152021/889.772020/862.83
2024/9173.582023/9164.012022/9113.242021/985.182020/959.28
2024/10182.362023/10175.252022/10119.572021/10103.722020/1065.98
N/AN/A2023/11177.92022/11128.062021/11114.742020/1173.03
N/AN/A2023/12187.432022/12146.792021/12123.712020/1272.22
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 54.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)292.63-7.67-6.54
24Q2 (19)316.933.770.85
24Q1 (18)305.415.638.87
23Q4 (17)289.12-7.6636.86
23Q3 (16)313.12-0.36121.93
23Q2 (15)314.2512.02281.0
23Q1 (14)280.5432.8387.64
22Q4 (13)211.2549.73314.3
22Q3 (12)141.0971.06180.22
22Q2 (11)82.4843.3749.29
22Q1 (10)57.5312.8329.86
21Q4 (9)50.991.279.68
21Q3 (8)50.35-8.871.12
21Q2 (7)55.2524.72-11.47
21Q1 (6)44.3-4.71-57.3
20Q4 (5)46.49-6.63-76.71
20Q3 (4)49.79-20.220.0
20Q2 (3)62.41-39.850.0
20Q1 (2)103.75-48.020.0
19Q4 (1)199.590.00.0

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