玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.310.2811.953.11-2.810.86N/A-
2024/90.27-7.59-4.122.81-4.161.060.18-
2024/80.29-40.99-9.32.54-4.161.070.18-
2024/70.574.9531.982.25-3.451.110.17-
2024/60.28-13.65-24.411.75-10.280.940.2-
2024/50.330.95-5.641.47-6.910.990.19-
2024/40.33-3.89.431.14-7.270.820.23-
2024/30.34122.1-6.090.81-12.610.810.22-
2024/20.15-52.72-54.380.47-16.740.780.23受到農曆春節工作天數減少影響
2024/10.324.5236.530.3236.530.940.19-
2023/120.31-1.77-4.793.82-16.490.890.25-
2023/110.3117.7229.053.51-17.380.860.26-
2023/100.27-5.551.363.2-20.20.870.25-
2023/90.28-12.5812.152.93-21.710.980.07-
2023/80.32-14.1443.452.65-24.151.070.07-
2023/70.380.197.322.33-28.811.10.06-
2023/60.387.79-4.581.95-33.151.020.04-
2023/50.3517.08-3.011.58-37.61.010.04-
2023/40.3-17.45-33.261.23-43.330.990.04-
2023/30.367.88-50.980.93-45.940.930.04本月營收減少主要為客戶調節庫存導致出貨減少所致。
2023/20.3341.51-19.680.57-42.170.890.04-
2023/10.24-27.11-58.580.24-58.580.80.05本月營收減少主要為客戶調節庫存導致出貨減少及春節休假所致。
2022/120.3233.14-62.244.58-42.770.830.06本月營收減少主要為客戶調節庫存導致出貨減少。
2022/110.24-7.53-68.694.25-40.440.760.07本月營收減少主要為客戶調節庫存導致出貨減少。
2022/100.264.5-55.614.01-36.980.740.07本月營收減少主要為客戶調節庫存導致出貨減少。
2022/90.2511.8-50.943.75-35.070.830.05本月營收減少主要為四川政府因疫情封控停工影響出貨
2022/80.23-35.76-60.113.49-33.520.970.04本月營收因四川停電及客戶調節庫存導致出貨減少。
2022/70.35-10.91-42.923.27-30.331.10.04-
2022/60.399.56-26.062.92-28.431.20.05-
2022/50.36-19.43-53.822.53-28.791.540.04本月營收因大陸封控,導致物流受阻所致。
2022/40.45-39.37-48.082.17-21.761.60.04-
2022/30.7476.76-0.961.72-9.941.720.02-
2022/20.42-27.03-2.210.99-15.641.840.02-
2022/10.57-33.53-23.320.57-23.322.20.02-
2021/120.8610.3712.018.016.822.230.02-
2021/110.7831.1212.327.1417.431.880.02-
2021/100.5915.49-12.486.3618.081.670.02-
2021/90.51-9.09-14.945.7722.481.690.07-
2021/80.56-8.07-6.235.2627.971.710.06-
2021/70.6115.39-2.174.6933.841.920.06-
2021/60.53-31.57-5.954.0841.72.170.05-
2021/50.78-9.4213.893.5553.362.380.05本年營收較去年同期增加主要係因為客戶需求增加所致。
2021/40.8615.6430.272.7769.892.030.05本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因為客戶需求增加所致。
2021/30.7474.5444.381.9196.771.910.06本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因為客戶需求增加所致。
2021/20.43-42.79215.811.17155.721.930.06本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因為客戶需求增加所致。
2021/10.74-2.9130.620.74130.622.20.05本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因為客戶需求增加所致。
2020/120.7710.6760.776.8525.162.130.05本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因為客戶需求增加所致。
2020/110.692.1634.366.0821.771.970.05-
2020/100.6812.2434.455.3920.321.880.05-
2020/90.60.2132.264.7118.531.830.05-
2020/80.6-4.0931.514.1116.751.80.06-
2020/70.6310.9330.093.5114.541.880.05-
2020/60.57-17.1222.72.8811.631.910.04-
2020/50.683.641.012.319.221.860.04-
2020/40.6628.1635.881.63-0.191.310.06-
2020/30.51281.7933.050.97-15.430.970.06-
2020/20.13-58.22-63.290.46-40.020.930.06因中國大陸廠區受到新型冠狀肺炎疫情延燒推遲復工等影響,致營收較去年同期減少。
2020/10.32-32.31-18.390.32-18.391.310.05-
2019/120.48-7.4915.725.47-4.650.0N/A-
2019/110.512.236.144.99-6.230.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.322023/10.242022/10.572021/10.742020/10.32
2024/20.152023/20.332022/20.422021/20.432020/20.13
2024/30.342023/30.362022/30.742021/30.742020/30.51
2024/40.332023/40.32022/40.452021/40.862020/40.66
2024/50.332023/50.352022/50.362021/50.782020/50.68
2024/60.282023/60.382022/60.392021/60.532020/60.57
2024/70.52023/70.382022/70.352021/70.612020/70.63
2024/80.292023/80.322022/80.232021/80.562020/80.6
2024/90.272023/90.282022/90.252021/90.512020/90.6
2024/100.32023/100.272022/100.262021/100.592020/100.68
N/AN/A2023/110.312022/110.242021/110.782020/110.69
N/AN/A2023/120.312022/120.322021/120.862020/120.77
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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