玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.630.34-3.626.65-0.758.01N/A-
2024/92.62-4.54-7.2224.01-0.438.520.28-
2024/82.75-12.55-5.5221.390.468.320.29-
2024/73.1429.467.6718.641.418.240.29-
2024/62.43-8.91-9.1415.490.237.90.31-
2024/52.67-4.86-13.0613.072.198.130.31-
2024/42.85.381.8210.47.017.460.33-
2024/32.6633.03-4.467.69.057.60.29-
2024/22.0-31.972.264.9418.067.910.27-
2024/12.94-1.1731.932.9431.938.610.25-
2023/122.9710.0825.7832.526.778.410.24-
2023/112.7-1.1318.5429.555.178.260.24-
2023/102.73-3.4211.4626.853.998.470.24-
2023/92.83-2.7922.8824.123.218.660.25-
2023/82.91-0.3422.7421.291.068.50.26-
2023/72.929.233.8818.38-1.688.660.25-
2023/62.67-12.846.1815.46-2.678.490.26-
2023/53.0711.4314.6812.79-4.338.60.26-
2023/42.75-1.1213.339.72-9.097.490.3-
2023/32.7842.4-8.666.97-15.696.970.32-
2023/21.95-12.23-12.064.18-19.86.550.34-
2023/12.23-5.77-25.552.23-25.556.870.32-
2022/122.363.75-22.630.46-13.837.090.36-
2022/112.28-7.03-26.4328.1-13.07.030.36-
2022/102.456.46-23.5925.82-11.587.120.36-
2022/92.3-2.9-27.7823.37-10.17.480.31-
2022/82.37-15.65-30.2421.06-7.637.70.3-
2022/72.8111.66-6.6318.69-3.678.00.29-
2022/62.52-5.87-5.2215.88-3.127.620.33-
2022/52.6710.12-1.5613.37-2.728.150.31-
2022/42.43-20.31-12.7110.69-3.07.70.33-
2022/33.0537.091.918.260.278.260.34-
2022/22.22-25.685.165.21-0.668.270.34-
2022/12.99-2.05-4.582.99-4.589.140.31-
2021/123.05-1.37-1.6535.3513.289.360.32-
2021/113.1-3.45-1.232.314.939.490.31-
2021/103.210.6217.9129.216.969.790.31-
2021/93.19-6.21.225.9916.849.60.31-
2021/83.412.8917.9222.819.439.070.32-
2021/73.0113.345.1919.4119.698.380.35-
2021/62.66-2.2410.5716.422.88.160.34-
2021/52.72-2.3424.9913.7425.498.490.33-
2021/42.78-6.9633.8311.0225.617.890.35-
2021/32.9941.4620.578.2423.068.240.34-
2021/22.11-32.578.175.2524.528.350.34-
2021/13.140.9538.663.1438.669.380.3-
2020/123.11-0.9220.0731.25.158.960.28-
2020/113.1315.2312.7528.13.729.00.28-
2020/102.72-13.6330.8924.962.698.750.28-
2020/93.159.2910.822.240.058.890.28-
2020/82.880.718.9919.09-1.518.150.3-
2020/72.8619.1413.5516.21-4.447.440.33-
2020/62.410.51-2.2113.35-7.586.650.34-
2020/52.174.55-12.0810.95-8.686.730.33-
2020/42.08-16.18-19.498.77-7.86.510.34-
2020/32.4826.913.446.7-3.456.70.29-
2020/21.95-13.5711.714.22-7.096.80.29-
2020/12.26-12.57-18.92.26-18.97.630.26-
2019/122.59-6.96-0.4429.68-16.440.0N/A-
2019/112.7833.775.0227.09-17.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.942023/12.232022/12.992021/13.142020/12.26
2024/22.02023/21.952022/22.222021/22.112020/21.95
2024/32.662023/32.782022/33.052021/32.992020/32.48
2024/42.82023/42.752022/42.432021/42.782020/42.08
2024/52.672023/53.072022/52.672021/52.722020/52.17
2024/62.432023/62.672022/62.522021/62.662020/62.4
2024/73.142023/72.922022/72.812021/73.012020/72.86
2024/82.752023/82.912022/82.372021/83.42020/82.88
2024/92.622023/92.832022/92.32021/93.192020/93.15
2024/102.632023/102.732022/102.452021/103.212020/102.72
N/AN/A2023/112.72022/112.282021/113.12020/113.13
N/AN/A2023/122.972022/122.362021/123.052020/123.11
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.78%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-46.15250.0
24Q2 (19)0.1330.01200.0
24Q1 (18)0.1150.00
23Q4 (17)0.04100.033.33
23Q3 (16)0.02100.0-81.82
23Q2 (15)0.010-91.67

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