玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.9712.3710.1245.427.0914.33N/A-
2024/94.42-10.3214.1340.456.7314.251.21-
2024/84.930.8817.4836.035.8913.621.27-
2024/74.8928.916.1231.094.2513.511.28-
2024/63.79-21.45-16.5526.22.313.341.24-
2024/54.832.56.2822.416.3713.721.2-
2024/44.7112.8217.2917.586.411.761.4-
2024/34.1845.22-13.1412.862.912.861.24-
2024/22.88-50.51-17.068.6912.9413.031.23-
2024/15.8133.9637.575.8137.5714.591.1-
2023/124.34-2.27-6.2551.1916.4713.291.2-
2023/114.44-1.6910.6946.8519.1412.831.25-
2023/104.5216.4612.8342.4120.112.591.27-
2023/93.88-7.682.6137.921.0312.291.25-
2023/84.2-0.2812.5834.0223.5512.961.19-
2023/74.21-7.3618.7729.8225.2713.31.15-
2023/64.550.0335.4525.6126.4113.111.15-
2023/54.5413.1217.0821.0624.6213.371.12-
2023/44.02-16.4520.0516.5226.8712.291.22-
2023/34.8138.6741.6512.529.2212.51.08-
2023/23.47-17.939.547.6922.5112.321.1-
2023/14.22-8.7111.354.2211.3512.861.05-
2022/124.6315.3938.8443.9535.6912.641.03-
2022/114.010.231.6339.3235.3211.791.11-
2022/104.05.9241.8735.3135.7611.511.13-
2022/93.781.2738.7731.3135.0111.051.17-
2022/83.735.1944.0927.5334.5110.631.21-
2022/73.555.6444.2623.833.1310.781.2-
2022/63.36-13.5229.3420.2631.3510.581.09-
2022/53.8815.9844.5316.931.7610.621.09-
2022/43.35-1.4233.7413.0228.389.231.25-
2022/33.3936.627.319.6726.629.671.21-
2022/22.49-34.4828.036.2826.269.611.22-
2022/13.7913.8225.123.7925.1210.171.16-
2021/123.339.417.732.396.629.21.28-
2021/113.057.9916.6129.065.488.591.37-
2021/102.823.610.6326.014.328.131.44-
2021/92.725.1519.4323.194.787.771.56-
2021/82.595.325.3420.473.17.641.58-
2021/72.46-5.28-8.817.882.787.741.56-
2021/62.6-3.3714.8215.424.917.781.57-
2021/52.697.3325.6212.833.117.851.56-
2021/42.5-6.162.8310.14-1.557.111.72-
2021/32.6737.37-6.77.64-2.917.641.55-
2021/21.94-35.97-24.654.97-0.757.81.52-
2021/13.037.0724.533.0324.538.481.4-
2020/122.838.388.9630.3813.278.251.45-
2020/112.61-6.810.7627.5513.737.691.56-
2020/102.822.9726.6824.9314.057.541.59-
2020/92.28-7.2411.3422.1312.637.431.76-
2020/82.46-8.82-1.1319.8512.777.411.76-
2020/72.719.2522.3217.3915.067.091.84-
2020/62.265.7214.2314.713.826.831.74-
2020/52.14-12.14-10.1912.4413.757.431.6-
2020/42.43-14.852.8310.320.427.871.51-
2020/32.8610.9349.237.8727.147.871.27-
2020/22.585.8192.395.0117.247.611.32因併購及自身營收成長,及去年農曆過年在2月,今年農曆過年在1月。
2020/12.43-6.31-17.042.43-17.047.391.36-
2019/122.610.1830.5326.8214.240.0N/A-
2019/112.366.5917.7324.2212.740.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.812023/14.222022/13.792021/13.032020/12.43
2024/22.882023/23.472022/22.492021/21.942020/22.58
2024/34.182023/34.812022/33.392021/32.672020/32.86
2024/44.712023/44.022022/43.352021/42.52020/42.43
2024/54.832023/54.542022/53.882021/52.692020/52.14
2024/63.792023/64.552022/63.362021/62.62020/62.26
2024/74.892023/74.212022/73.552021/72.462020/72.7
2024/84.932023/84.22022/83.732021/82.592020/82.46
2024/94.422023/93.882022/93.782021/92.722020/92.28
2024/104.972023/104.522022/104.02021/102.822020/102.8
N/AN/A2023/114.442022/114.012021/113.052020/112.61
N/AN/A2023/124.342022/124.632021/123.332020/122.83
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.77%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.0732.691.97
24Q2 (19)1.56-15.22-31.88
24Q1 (18)1.846.98-30.04
23Q4 (17)1.72-15.27-0.58
23Q3 (16)2.03-11.357.98
23Q2 (15)2.29-12.9329.38
23Q1 (14)2.6352.0281.38
22Q4 (13)1.73-7.9836.22
22Q3 (12)1.886.2137.23
22Q2 (11)1.7722.0734.09
22Q1 (10)1.4514.177.41
21Q4 (9)1.27-7.3-1.55
21Q3 (8)1.373.792.24
21Q2 (7)1.32-2.22-8.97
21Q1 (6)1.354.6529.81
20Q4 (5)1.29-3.730
20Q3 (4)1.34-7.590.0
20Q2 (3)1.4539.420.0
20Q1 (2)1.0400.0

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