- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 1.12 | -14.95 | 23.03 | 12.2 | 8.11 | 3.72 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 1.32 | 3.11 | 28.77 | 11.08 | 6.79 | 3.9 | 2.25 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 1.28 | -1.6 | 19.7 | 9.76 | 4.38 | 3.81 | 2.3 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 1.3 | 6.31 | 30.42 | 8.48 | 2.41 | 3.94 | 2.22 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 1.22 | -13.65 | 2.61 | 7.18 | -1.42 | 3.93 | 2.3 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 1.42 | 9.86 | 8.64 | 5.95 | -2.22 | 3.73 | 2.43 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 1.29 | 26.59 | -5.87 | 4.53 | -5.18 | 3.36 | 2.7 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 1.02 | -2.54 | -28.26 | 3.24 | -4.91 | 3.24 | 2.85 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 1.05 | -11.29 | -15.93 | 2.22 | 11.75 | 3.47 | 2.66 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 1.18 | -5.58 | 57.87 | 1.18 | 57.87 | 3.61 | 2.56 | 本月及本年增減百分比達50%以上，原因為去年適逢農曆年，工作天期較少，基值較低 | ||
| 2023/12 | 1.25 | 5.89 | 0.16 | 13.71 | -23.79 | 3.34 | 2.77 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 1.18 | 29.2 | -11.83 | 12.46 | -25.57 | 3.12 | 2.97 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 0.91 | -10.98 | -22.74 | 11.29 | -26.76 | 3.01 | 3.08 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 1.03 | -4.14 | -24.33 | 10.37 | -27.1 | 3.09 | 3.18 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 1.07 | 7.21 | -28.62 | 9.35 | -27.39 | 3.26 | 3.02 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 1.0 | -16.35 | -46.03 | 8.28 | -27.23 | 3.5 | 2.81 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 1.19 | -8.58 | -40.93 | 7.28 | -23.58 | 3.87 | 2.59 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 1.3 | -4.82 | -14.68 | 6.09 | -18.91 | 4.1 | 2.45 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 1.37 | -3.51 | 5.01 | 4.78 | -20.0 | 4.04 | 2.48 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 1.42 | 14.2 | -12.61 | 3.41 | -26.98 | 3.41 | 3.13 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 1.24 | 66.58 | -10.97 | 1.99 | -34.65 | 3.24 | 3.3 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 0.75 | -40.09 | -54.72 | 0.75 | -54.72 | 3.33 | 3.2 | 本月及本年增減百分比達50%以上，原因為：1.適逢農曆新年，工作天期較少 2.大陸防疫措施鬆綁，員工確診出勤人數減少 | ||
| 2022/12 | 1.25 | -6.78 | -9.04 | 18.0 | -11.24 | 3.77 | 2.79 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 1.34 | 13.22 | -15.02 | 16.75 | -11.4 | 3.87 | 2.71 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 1.18 | -12.82 | -26.34 | 15.41 | -11.07 | 4.03 | 2.6 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 1.36 | -9.57 | -21.45 | 14.23 | -9.51 | 4.7 | 2.4 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 1.5 | -18.93 | -20.69 | 12.87 | -8.04 | 5.37 | 2.1 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 1.85 | -8.44 | -4.52 | 11.38 | -6.07 | 5.4 | 2.09 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 2.02 | 32.02 | 1.35 | 9.53 | -6.36 | 4.85 | 2.41 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 1.53 | 17.16 | -18.17 | 7.51 | -8.24 | 4.46 | 2.62 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 1.31 | -19.72 | -29.36 | 5.98 | -5.31 | 4.33 | 2.7 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 1.63 | 16.36 | -5.1 | 4.67 | 4.64 | 4.67 | 2.47 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 1.4 | -15.28 | 14.03 | 3.05 | 10.71 | 4.42 | 2.61 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 1.65 | 20.35 | 8.05 | 1.65 | 8.05 | 4.59 | 2.51 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 1.37 | -12.91 | 0.57 | 20.27 | 28.68 | 4.55 | 2.37 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 1.57 | -1.85 | 18.42 | 18.9 | 31.34 | 4.9 | 2.19 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 1.6 | -7.03 | 21.75 | 17.33 | 32.66 | 5.22 | 2.06 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 1.73 | -8.7 | 28.75 | 15.73 | 33.88 | 5.55 | 1.81 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 1.89 | -2.41 | 35.01 | 14.0 | 34.54 | 5.82 | 1.73 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 1.94 | -2.8 | 25.71 | 12.11 | 34.47 | 5.8 | 1.74 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 1.99 | 6.57 | 36.84 | 10.18 | 36.28 | 5.71 | 1.63 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 1.87 | 1.14 | 24.14 | 8.18 | 36.14 | 5.43 | 1.71 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 1.85 | 7.85 | 16.51 | 6.31 | 40.15 | 4.79 | 1.94 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 1.71 | 39.82 | 17.58 | 4.47 | 53.0 | 4.47 | 1.92 | 去年1-2月基期低 ，3月份客戶需求持續暢旺。 | ||
| 2021/2 | 1.23 | -19.72 | 99.01 | 2.75 | 88.33 | 4.11 | 2.08 | 去年同期疫情影響基期低，然後本月的市場需求增加，致營收較去年成長 88.34% | ||
| 2021/1 | 1.53 | 12.02 | 80.55 | 1.53 | 80.55 | 4.22 | 2.03 | 1.去年適逢農曆年，工作天期較少，基值較低 2.因應客戶農曆年前的提升備貨量及市場需求，致營收較去年成長80.56% | ||
| 2020/12 | 1.36 | 2.53 | 14.41 | 15.76 | 15.67 | 4.01 | 2.04 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 1.33 | 0.89 | 8.1 | 14.39 | 15.79 | 3.99 | 2.05 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 1.32 | -1.68 | 33.65 | 13.06 | 16.63 | 4.06 | 2.02 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 1.34 | -4.26 | 31.51 | 11.75 | 14.99 | 4.28 | 1.91 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 1.4 | -9.13 | 33.85 | 10.41 | 13.16 | 4.4 | 1.86 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 1.54 | 5.79 | 24.53 | 9.01 | 10.51 | 4.5 | 1.82 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 1.46 | -3.31 | 26.58 | 7.47 | 8.0 | 4.55 | 1.72 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 1.51 | -5.07 | 28.35 | 6.01 | 4.29 | 4.55 | 1.72 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 1.59 | 8.84 | 31.59 | 4.5 | -1.85 | 3.66 | 2.14 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 1.46 | 136.67 | 5.39 | 2.92 | -13.76 | 2.92 | 2.67 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 0.62 | -27.17 | -17.35 | 1.46 | -26.99 | 2.65 | 2.94 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 0.85 | -29.01 | -32.71 | 0.85 | -32.71 | 3.27 | 2.39 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 1.19 | -3.11 | -3.74 | 13.62 | -19.98 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 1.23 | 24.75 | -9.82 | 12.43 | -21.25 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 1.18 | 2023/1 | 0.75 | 2022/1 | 1.65 | 2021/1 | 1.53 | 2020/1 | 0.85 |
| 2024/2 | 1.05 | 2023/2 | 1.24 | 2022/2 | 1.4 | 2021/2 | 1.23 | 2020/2 | 0.62 |
| 2024/3 | 1.02 | 2023/3 | 1.42 | 2022/3 | 1.63 | 2021/3 | 1.71 | 2020/3 | 1.46 |
| 2024/4 | 1.29 | 2023/4 | 1.37 | 2022/4 | 1.31 | 2021/4 | 1.85 | 2020/4 | 1.59 |
| 2024/5 | 1.42 | 2023/5 | 1.3 | 2022/5 | 1.53 | 2021/5 | 1.87 | 2020/5 | 1.51 |
| 2024/6 | 1.22 | 2023/6 | 1.19 | 2022/6 | 2.02 | 2021/6 | 1.99 | 2020/6 | 1.46 |
| 2024/7 | 1.3 | 2023/7 | 1.0 | 2022/7 | 1.85 | 2021/7 | 1.94 | 2020/7 | 1.54 |
| 2024/8 | 1.28 | 2023/8 | 1.07 | 2022/8 | 1.5 | 2021/8 | 1.89 | 2020/8 | 1.4 |
| 2024/9 | 1.32 | 2023/9 | 1.03 | 2022/9 | 1.36 | 2021/9 | 1.73 | 2020/9 | 1.34 |
| 2024/10 | 1.12 | 2023/10 | 0.91 | 2022/10 | 1.18 | 2021/10 | 1.6 | 2020/10 | 1.32 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 1.18 | 2022/11 | 1.34 | 2021/11 | 1.57 | 2020/11 | 1.33 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 1.25 | 2022/12 | 1.25 | 2021/12 | 1.37 | 2020/12 | 1.36 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.15 | 15.38 | 66.67 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.13 | 18.18 | 44.44 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.11 | 37.5 | -21.43 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.08 | -11.11 | -20.0 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.09 | 0.0 | -30.77 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.09 | -35.71 | -40.0 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.14 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.1 | -23.08 | 25.0 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.13 | -13.33 | 30.0 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.15 | 50.0 | 36.36 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.1 | 25.0 | -9.09 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.08 | -20.0 | -20.0 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.1 | -9.09 | 0.0 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.11 | 0.0 | 37.5 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.11 | 10.0 | -26.67 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.1 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.08 | -46.67 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.15 | 87.5 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
