玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.27-13.2118.2313.41-11.413.66N/A-
2024/101.4658.974.0712.14-13.683.55N/A-
2024/90.92-20.84-45.5210.68-15.653.282.26-
2024/81.16-2.47-44.089.76-11.053.971.87-
2024/71.19-25.96-38.088.59-3.313.81.95-
2024/61.6161.8613.357.46.313.661.74-
2024/51.0-5.62-36.545.794.53.941.62-
2024/41.05-44.17-4.754.7920.723.811.68-
2024/31.89118.8362.693.7430.583.741.72本月營收較去年同期增加,主係本月營建專案銷售入帳所致。
2024/20.86-12.322.911.858.662.562.51-
2024/10.9837.7514.260.9814.262.772.32-
2023/120.71-33.48-27.3115.86-19.123.22.06-
2023/111.07-23.61-19.115.14-18.694.171.57-
2023/101.41-16.7915.2814.07-18.655.181.27-
2023/91.69-18.747.0212.66-21.235.71.09-
2023/82.087.9917.5610.97-24.315.431.15-
2023/71.9335.5418.018.89-30.144.921.27-
2023/61.42-9.39-25.646.96-37.234.11.8-
2023/51.5741.66-25.595.54-39.653.841.92-
2023/41.11-4.64-41.023.97-43.843.112.37-
2023/31.1638.42-42.672.86-44.862.863.04-
2023/20.84-2.65-42.731.7-46.262.683.24-
2023/10.86-12.36-49.30.86-49.33.172.74-
2022/120.98-25.97-48.5219.61-7.753.532.47-
2022/111.338.86-28.8218.62-3.724.132.11-
2022/101.22-22.75-36.9917.29-1.044.571.91-
2022/91.58-10.74-12.7316.073.434.981.62-
2022/81.778.41-7.1614.495.575.321.52-
2022/71.63-14.59-20.5612.727.625.651.43-
2022/61.91-9.326.2811.0913.555.91.54-
2022/52.1112.2726.439.1815.26.011.51-
2022/41.88-7.3115.317.0712.225.371.69-
2022/32.0338.2913.425.1911.155.191.74-
2022/21.47-13.8315.183.179.745.081.78-
2022/11.7-11.05.441.75.445.481.65-
2021/121.912.3515.9921.2552.215.711.26營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單
2021/111.87-3.6345.819.3457.055.611.28營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較,低,以及同期相比,本期有接新訂單
2021/101.946.9852.617.4858.365.651.27營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/91.81-5.0527.9215.5459.115.770.9營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/81.91-7.2363.2213.7364.395.760.9營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/72.0614.2662.4111.8264.585.520.94營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/61.87.8651.919.7765.055.10.83營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/51.672.448.857.9768.335.080.83營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/41.63-8.8250.856.374.374.690.9營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/31.7940.4371.764.6784.44.670.64營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/21.27-21.1156.312.8893.24.530.66營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期去年營收較低,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2021/11.61-2.1137.391.61137.394.540.66營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期為去年營收較低的月份,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2020/121.6528.65101.513.9611.654.20.69營收較去年同期增加,主要係因比較基期為去年營收較低的月份,以及兩期相比本期有接新訂單。
2020/111.280.8545.3912.325.373.970.73-
2020/101.27-10.35.6711.042.113.850.76-
2020/91.4221.1428.949.771.663.850.65-
2020/81.17-7.68-0.48.35-1.853.620.69-
2020/71.276.8725.447.18-2.083.570.7-
2020/61.185.6941.585.92-6.473.380.68-
2020/51.123.78-5.234.73-13.793.240.71-
2020/41.083.8-8.943.61-16.142.930.79-
2020/31.0427.8-6.292.53-18.872.530.0-
2020/20.8119.84.191.49-25.812.310.0-
2020/10.68-16.9-44.840.68-44.840.0N/A-
2019/120.82-7.17-34.1412.51-10.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.982023/10.862022/11.72021/11.612020/10.68
2024/20.862023/20.842022/21.472021/21.272020/20.81
2024/31.892023/31.162022/32.032021/31.792020/31.04
2024/41.052023/41.112022/41.882021/41.632020/41.08
2024/51.02023/51.572022/52.112021/51.672020/51.12
2024/61.612023/61.422022/61.912021/61.82020/61.18
2024/71.192023/71.932022/71.632021/72.062020/71.27
2024/81.162023/82.082022/81.772021/81.912020/81.17
2024/90.922023/91.692022/91.582021/91.812020/91.42
2024/101.462023/101.412022/101.222021/101.942020/101.27
2024/111.272023/111.072022/111.332021/111.872020/111.28
N/AN/A2023/120.712022/120.982021/121.912020/121.65
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 26.0%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.314.0449.43
24Q2 (19)1.149.6270.15
24Q1 (18)1.04-18.11141.86
23Q4 (17)1.2745.98122.81
23Q3 (16)0.8729.8522.54
23Q2 (15)0.6755.811.52
23Q1 (14)0.43-24.56-53.26
22Q4 (13)0.57-19.72-13.64
22Q3 (12)0.717.5857.78
22Q2 (11)0.66-28.26340.0
22Q1 (10)0.9239.39162.86
21Q4 (9)0.6646.6760.98
21Q3 (8)0.45200.02.27
21Q2 (7)0.15-57.14275.0
21Q1 (6)0.35-14.630
20Q4 (5)0.41-6.820
20Q3 (4)0.441000.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0400.0

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