玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1193.32-5.195.5946.3111.34282.97N/A0.383.85-
2024/1098.447.9210.31852.9912.01266.88N/A0.43.48-
2024/991.2118.096.31754.5512.24247.390.130.363.08-
2024/877.23-2.163.68663.3413.11241.460.140.352.72-
2024/778.95-7.429.77586.1114.48247.480.130.352.37-
2024/685.282.4318.2507.1615.25249.70.120.372.02-
2024/583.252.5713.5421.8814.67247.590.120.351.65-
2024/481.17-2.413.52338.6314.96249.240.120.321.29-
2024/383.17-2.0413.4257.4615.42257.460.130.330.98-
2024/284.91-5.0118.55174.2916.41261.270.120.320.65-
2024/189.392.7614.4589.3914.45264.820.120.330.33-
2023/1286.98-1.667.05936.95.09264.660.120.323.83-
2023/1188.45-0.8710.95849.934.89263.480.120.333.51-
2023/1089.234.07.86761.474.23249.510.130.333.19-
2023/985.7915.171.65672.243.76232.20.10.322.86-
2023/874.493.577.66586.454.08218.550.110.322.53-
2023/771.92-0.315.8511.963.58217.410.110.322.21-
2023/672.14-1.645.1440.043.22216.990.090.331.89-
2023/573.352.585.02367.92.87218.180.090.31.56-
2023/471.5-2.53.98294.552.34216.460.090.311.25-
2023/373.342.393.16223.051.83223.050.150.320.94-
2023/271.62-8.296.02149.721.18230.960.140.330.62-
2023/178.1-3.87-2.8778.1-2.87239.060.140.290.29-
2022/1281.251.910.4891.514.49243.690.120.313.33-
2022/1179.72-3.62-0.98810.274.91246.830.120.293.02-
2022/1082.72-1.971.63730.555.6236.30.120.292.73-
2022/984.3921.9713.03647.836.13221.550.110.272.44-
2022/869.191.796.1563.435.17205.80.110.292.17-
2022/767.97-0.971.18494.255.04206.450.110.281.88-
2022/668.64-1.712.73426.285.68207.240.090.271.6-
2022/569.841.568.14357.636.27209.680.090.271.33-
2022/468.76-3.278.12287.85.82207.390.090.251.06-
2022/371.085.238.08219.045.12219.040.120.290.81-
2022/267.55-15.99-1.27147.963.76228.880.110.250.52-
2022/180.41-0.638.480.418.4241.840.110.270.27-
2021/1280.920.5-0.4853.27.31242.830.130.223.07-
2021/1180.51-1.070.55772.288.19236.570.130.242.85-
2021/1081.399.0121.92691.779.16221.260.140.242.61-
2021/974.6614.4925.28610.377.66207.040.110.242.37-
2021/865.2-2.921.96535.725.59199.190.110.242.13-
2021/767.170.537.03470.516.11198.560.110.61.88-
2021/666.813.468.4403.345.96194.980.090.231.28-
2021/564.571.541.36336.525.49193.930.090.221.05-
2021/463.59-3.33.55271.956.52197.780.090.220.83-
2021/365.77-3.883.72208.367.46208.360.120.210.61-
2021/268.42-7.759.83142.599.27223.840.110.190.4-
2021/174.17-8.78.7674.178.76235.490.110.210.21-
2020/1281.251.4714.1795.01-5.2228.070.140.222.83-
2020/1180.0719.9317.02713.76-6.99206.420.150.212.61-
2020/1066.7612.02-7.93633.69-9.34190.30.160.22.4-
2020/959.59-6.81-23.1566.94-9.51186.30.120.192.2-
2020/863.951.9-6.85507.34-7.59188.340.110.232.01-
2020/762.761.82-7.58443.39-7.69188.10.110.261.78-
2020/661.63-3.25-7.52380.64-7.71186.750.090.261.52-
2020/563.713.74-9.29319.0-7.74188.520.080.261.26-
2020/461.41-3.14-8.85255.3-7.35187.10.080.250.99-
2020/363.41.78-9.57193.89-6.87193.890.10.250.75-
2020/262.29-8.65-4.48130.49-5.49201.690.090.240.5-
2020/168.19-4.23-6.4168.19-6.410.0N/A0.250.25-
2019/1271.24.06-4.65838.66-3.190.0N/A0.193.05-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/189.392023/178.12022/180.412021/174.172020/168.19
2024/284.912023/271.622022/267.552021/268.422020/262.29
2024/383.172023/373.342022/371.082021/365.772020/363.4
2024/481.172023/471.52022/468.762021/463.592020/461.41
2024/583.252023/573.352022/569.842021/564.572020/563.71
2024/685.282023/672.142022/668.642021/666.812020/661.63
2024/778.952023/771.922022/767.972021/767.172020/762.76
2024/877.232023/874.492022/869.192021/865.22020/863.95
2024/991.212023/985.792022/984.392021/974.662020/959.59
2024/1098.442023/1089.232022/1082.722021/1081.392020/1066.76
2024/1193.322023/1188.452022/1179.722021/1180.512020/1180.07
N/AN/A2023/1286.982022/1281.252021/1280.922020/1281.25
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.92%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)32.182.42-9.78
24Q2 (19)31.4213.88-6.46
24Q1 (18)27.59-1.25-17.49
23Q4 (17)27.94-21.67-13.53
23Q3 (16)35.676.1910.54
23Q2 (15)33.590.456.74
23Q1 (14)33.443.510.99
22Q4 (13)32.310.128.35
22Q3 (12)32.272.549.2
22Q2 (11)31.474.4518.8
22Q1 (10)30.131.0445.2
21Q4 (9)29.820.9136.16
21Q3 (8)29.5511.5544.92
21Q2 (7)26.4927.6634.13
21Q1 (6)20.75-5.25-1.94
20Q4 (5)21.97.417.3
20Q3 (4)20.393.240.0
20Q2 (3)19.75-6.660.0
20Q1 (2)21.163.670.0
19Q4 (1)20.410.00.0

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