玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1110.11-0.1-10.05118.4-5.3229.07N/A-
2024/1010.1214.64-11.71108.28-4.8529.54N/A-
2024/98.83-16.55-17.498.16-4.0830.392.28-
2024/810.58-3.59-5.1189.33-2.5332.222.15-
2024/710.983.0-1.1478.75-2.1732.872.11-
2024/610.66-5.11-12.3867.77-2.3333.641.88-
2024/511.23-4.4-5.8157.11-0.235.671.78-
2024/411.75-7.4-3.1145.881.2734.321.85-
2024/312.6928.422.2434.132.8834.131.88-
2024/29.88-14.53-6.7621.443.2631.642.02-
2024/111.5613.3213.7211.5613.7233.011.94-
2023/1210.2-9.25-7.36135.259.3832.911.98-
2023/1111.24-1.950.97125.0511.0133.41.95-
2023/1011.477.252.75113.8112.1233.311.96-
2023/910.69-4.132.3102.3413.2732.952.04-
2023/811.150.430.6491.6514.7134.421.95-
2023/711.1-8.70.6880.516.9735.191.91-
2023/612.162.012.2269.3920.0836.221.83-
2023/511.93-1.6616.4557.2321.936.461.82-
2023/412.13-2.2818.0445.323.4235.141.88-
2023/312.4117.119.3133.1825.5133.182.02-
2023/210.64.2543.2920.7629.5431.782.11-
2023/110.17-7.6917.7610.1717.7632.312.07-
2022/1211.01-1.0929.32123.6540.9733.311.93-
2022/1111.13-0.2125.37112.6442.2232.751.96-
2022/1011.166.7738.12101.544.3532.691.96-
2022/910.45-5.6825.8290.3545.1632.561.84-
2022/811.080.4730.579.8948.1432.951.82-
2022/711.031.7644.4568.8151.4332.111.87去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年變動達50%以上
2022/610.845.8448.8757.7852.8531.351.88去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年變動達50%以上
2022/510.24-0.3250.6246.9553.7930.921.9去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年變動達50%以上
2022/410.27-1.2369.5636.754.728.072.09去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年變動達50%以上
2022/310.440.6357.726.4349.6126.432.06去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年同期變動達57.71%
2022/27.4-14.3254.0416.0344.7824.542.22去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年同期變動百分比達54.05%
2022/18.631.3637.698.6337.6926.032.09-
2021/128.52-4.1145.1887.7114.7525.482.1-
2021/118.889.9368.5979.212.2225.272.12去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年同期變動百分比達68.59%
2021/108.08-2.7367.7870.327.6724.882.15去年同期受疫情影響,故相較今年同期變動百分比達67.79%
2021/98.31-2.1740.6262.242.8824.432.0-
2021/88.4911.243.2553.93-1.1923.412.09-
2021/77.644.8721.0745.44-6.621.712.25-
2021/67.287.089.3537.8-10.7320.142.6-
2021/56.812.23.1830.52-14.4719.452.69-
2021/46.06-8.13-5.9523.73-18.4717.462.99-
2021/36.637.37-21.5717.67-22.0317.672.71-
2021/24.8-23.41-30.8711.07-22.316.942.83-
2021/16.276.88-14.156.27-14.1517.42.76-
2020/125.8711.34-29.4976.44-27.6215.952.83-
2020/115.279.4-32.3170.57-27.4615.992.82-
2020/104.81-18.48-45.0965.3-27.0416.652.71-
2020/95.91-0.34-26.9960.49-25.0818.142.46-
2020/85.93-6.0-38.5854.58-24.8718.892.36-
2020/76.31-5.27-32.248.65-22.7719.552.28-
2020/66.661.04-30.0342.35-21.1419.692.38-
2020/56.592.27-28.0635.69-19.2221.442.18-
2020/46.44-23.39-29.3229.1-16.9121.82.15-
2020/38.4121.08-10.1722.66-12.5422.662.13-
2020/26.95-4.89-0.1514.25-13.8922.572.14-
2020/17.3-12.2-23.857.3-23.850.0N/A-
2019/128.326.88-2.0105.622.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/111.562023/110.172022/18.632021/16.272020/17.3
2024/29.882023/210.62022/27.42021/24.82020/26.95
2024/312.692023/312.412022/310.42021/36.62020/38.41
2024/411.752023/412.132022/410.272021/46.062020/46.44
2024/511.232023/511.932022/510.242021/56.82020/56.59
2024/610.662023/612.162022/610.842021/67.282020/66.66
2024/710.982023/711.12022/711.032021/77.642020/76.31
2024/810.582023/811.152022/811.082021/88.492020/85.93
2024/98.832023/910.692022/910.452021/98.312020/95.91
2024/1010.122023/1011.472022/1011.162021/108.082020/104.81
2024/1110.112023/1111.242022/1111.132021/118.882020/115.27
N/AN/A2023/1210.22022/1211.012021/128.522020/125.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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