玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.66-39.45-15.3854.480-29.07138.8766.0519.521.67041.53236.1856.9318.9-95.64-43.02-17.7
24Q2 (19)1.0994.64127.080.000-100.083.63-48.3-55.580.000-100.0150.50-48.38-48.65-66.8748.4833.47
24Q1 (18)0.56-39.78115.380.000-100.0161.7764.63-53.790.000-100.0291.5640.03-28.94-129.80-18.04-169.85
23Q4 (17)0.9319.2347.620.00-100.0-100.098.26-15.43-32.120.00-100.0-100.0208.214.82-3.98-109.96-35.32-100.4
23Q3 (16)0.7862.55.4176.81263.512682.97116.19-38.28-5.771.18-72.62-96.42198.63-32.22-11.56-81.2619.15-18.94
23Q2 (15)0.4884.62433.3321.13182.113886.79188.25-46.23-80.644.31-64.53-97.48293.07-28.58-71.15-100.51-108.96-178.53
23Q1 (14)0.26-58.7344.447.4941.59848.1350.07141.83-32.6512.15-29.4-89.52410.3289.23-49.31-48.1012.3472.32
22Q4 (13)0.63-14.86-7.355.2991.6760.3144.7617.47.9717.21-47.8-37.6216.84-3.4612.35-54.8719.69-75.08
22Q3 (12)0.74722.2219.352.76420.758.66123.31-87.32-15.7732.97-80.75-7.96224.60-77.89-19.02-68.32-153.3828.18
22Q2 (11)0.09-50.0-80.850.53-32.91-87.44972.4587.08399.15171.2647.79693.241015.7225.48162.62127.99173.65175.13
22Q1 (10)0.18-73.53-33.330.79-76.06-95.75519.80287.6855.3115.88320.162269.73809.45319.3821.67-173.77-454.4746.65
21Q4 (9)0.689.6817.243.3029.92-96.95134.08-8.41-14.6527.58-23.03183.33193.01-30.41-31.22-31.3467.0674.45
21Q3 (8)0.6231.913.332.54-39.810146.39-24.86-3.4935.8265.910277.34-28.29-3.0-95.1344.1629.13
21Q2 (7)0.4774.07-53.474.22-77.32-98.93194.82-41.79115.3221.59341.519286.96386.76-41.87164.56-170.3647.7-207.01
21Q1 (6)0.27-53.452600.018.61-82.770334.70113.05-95.524.89482.140665.31137.090-325.72-165.530
20Q4 (5)0.58-3.335700.0108.02016022.39157.103.57-97.690.840-99.38280.61-1.86-98.56-122.678.6299.03
20Q3 (4)0.60-40.590.00.00-100.00.0151.6967.650.00.00-100.00.0285.9395.590.0-134.24-141.920.0
20Q2 (3)1.0110000.00.0395.8900.090.48-98.790.00.2300.0146.1900.0-55.4900.0
20Q1 (2)0.010.00.00.00-100.00.07477.649.860.00.00-100.00.00.00-100.00.00.00100.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.00.670.00.06806.570.00.0136.500.00.019529.600.00.0-12586.500.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)2.26126.072.69752.17161.46-55.955.02-88.27276.69-39.38-110.200
2022 (9)1.00-35.98.53-38.94366.5356.3342.8163.77456.4719.8-47.130
2021 (8)1.56-48.1713.97-94.78234.4693.6126.141822.06381.0355.47-120.440
2020 (7)3.011333.33267.76635.4121.10-93.021.36-86.44245.09-94.37-122.630
2019 (6)0.21-74.3936.41-69.51735.92288.910.03227.784356.98423.74-2611.030
2018 (5)0.82-85.09119.36-73.59446.37572.353.06277.78831.891849.13-382.460
2017 (4)5.5065.66451.99563.9166.39-39.540.81-84.8942.6850.9724.52-71.78
2016 (3)3.3215.2868.083768.18109.81-13.235.36-97.4128.27-81.686.90-51.79
2015 (2)2.8816.131.76-99.52126.56-13.96207.3320842.42153.63-2.1180.260
2014 (1)2.48-22.98369.668536.92147.0929.80.99-98.84156.9366.77-8.850

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