玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.56.12-24.9535.321.4510.28N/A-
2024/103.3-5.1919.3931.830.3210.81N/A-
2024/93.48-13.5257.2328.531.7211.020.54主係因客戶需求增加所致
2024/84.0314.4653.7825.0228.8110.740.55主係因客戶需求增加所致
2024/73.529.9456.0820.9924.929.590.62主係因客戶需求增加所致
2024/63.211.4451.4217.4820.18.820.7主係因客戶需求增加所致
2024/52.874.4425.7714.2814.787.990.77-
2024/42.7515.6914.3811.4112.316.850.9-
2024/32.3837.68-14.838.6611.678.660.79-
2024/21.73-62.17-32.266.2926.5510.430.66-
2024/14.5610.1288.464.5688.4613.370.51去年同期受疫情影響
2023/124.14-11.2646.8233.21-10.4811.570.59-
2023/114.6768.8342.5729.07-15.29.640.71-
2023/102.7624.84-4.0224.4-21.37.60.9-
2023/92.21-15.42-36.7321.64-23.067.081.01-
2023/82.6216.18-21.5419.42-21.126.981.03-
2023/72.256.66-27.0616.8-21.066.651.08-
2023/62.11-7.43-31.5214.55-20.046.80.95-
2023/52.28-5.01-9.6512.44-17.697.470.86-
2023/42.4-13.85-24.5410.16-19.317.740.83-
2023/32.799.5-16.267.75-17.547.750.86-
2023/22.555.2416.274.97-18.247.790.86-
2023/12.42-14.2-37.72.42-37.78.510.79-
2022/122.82-13.83-28.3637.1-3.498.970.77-
2022/113.2713.65-0.8934.28-0.669.650.71-
2022/102.88-17.7-7.6231.0-0.639.720.71-
2022/93.54.88-2.2928.120.149.930.58-
2022/83.348.0-3.2224.620.499.510.61-
2022/73.090.14-15.1721.291.18.70.66-
2022/63.0822.136.418.24.518.790.63-
2022/52.53-20.67-2.0115.114.139.040.62-
2022/43.18-4.4-2.3712.595.468.70.64-
2022/33.3352.06-14.449.48.49.40.55-
2022/22.19-43.6128.326.0727.010.010.52-
2022/13.88-1.3426.273.8826.2711.120.46-
2021/123.9419.2123.2238.446.8510.360.47-
2021/113.35.9319.0134.55.2510.00.49-
2021/103.12-12.9526.3631.23.9810.150.48-
2021/93.583.8810.8628.081.9710.670.5-
2021/83.45-5.336.9324.50.799.990.53-
2021/73.6425.6215.621.06-0.149.120.58-
2021/62.912.47-3.8917.41-2.98.740.65-
2021/52.58-20.96-11.2914.51-2.79.730.58-
2021/43.26-16.227.0511.94-0.638.860.64-
2021/33.89128.0710.048.68-3.248.680.55-
2021/21.71-44.51-19.634.78-11.97.980.6-
2021/13.08-3.73-6.933.08-6.939.050.53-
2020/123.215.14-23.0135.98-29.988.440.49-
2020/112.7712.46-40.5132.78-30.598.470.49-
2020/102.47-23.62-37.8330.01-29.58.920.46-
2020/93.230.19-7.3727.54-28.659.60.39-
2020/83.222.34-26.2624.31-30.769.390.4-
2020/73.154.43-42.9421.09-31.49.070.42-
2020/63.023.81-28.2717.94-28.878.970.44-
2020/52.91-4.61-36.1914.92-29.09.490.42-
2020/43.05-13.88-29.2312.01-27.018.710.45-
2020/33.5466.56-11.658.97-26.228.970.5-
2020/22.12-35.74-2.535.43-33.389.580.46-
2020/13.31-20.36-44.643.31-44.640.0N/A-
2019/124.15-11.02-35.4651.38-25.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.562023/12.422022/13.882021/13.082020/13.31
2024/21.732023/22.552022/22.192021/21.712020/22.12
2024/32.382023/32.792022/33.332021/33.892020/33.54
2024/42.752023/42.42022/43.182021/43.262020/43.05
2024/52.872023/52.282022/52.532021/52.582020/52.91
2024/63.22023/62.112022/63.082021/62.92020/63.02
2024/73.522023/72.252022/73.092021/73.642020/73.15
2024/84.032023/82.622022/83.342021/83.452020/83.22
2024/93.482023/92.212022/93.52021/93.582020/93.23
2024/103.32023/102.762022/102.882021/103.122020/102.47
2024/113.52023/114.672022/113.272021/113.32020/112.77
N/AN/A2023/124.142022/122.822021/123.942020/123.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.91%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3-18.92-38.78
24Q2 (19)0.37-5.13-27.45
24Q1 (18)0.39-13.33-26.42
23Q4 (17)0.45-8.16-13.46
23Q3 (16)0.49-3.9225.64
23Q2 (15)0.51-3.7796.15
23Q1 (14)0.531.92103.85
22Q4 (13)0.5233.3385.71
22Q3 (12)0.3950.044.44
22Q2 (11)0.260.030.0
22Q1 (10)0.26-7.140.0
21Q4 (9)0.283.716.67
21Q3 (8)0.2735.017.39
21Q2 (7)0.2-23.080
21Q1 (6)0.268.330
20Q4 (5)0.244.3520.0
20Q3 (4)0.2300.0

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