玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.26-1.1335.6751.8539.4817.73N/A係因部分工案投入量增加,以致營收增加。
2024/106.3323.1180.8545.5940.0216.02N/A係因部分工案投入量增加,以致營收增加。
2024/95.1413.0588.9839.2635.114.120.0係因部分工案投入量增加,以致營收增加。
2024/84.552.6880.8634.1229.5313.590.0係因部分工案投入量增加,以致營收增加。
2024/74.43-4.0319.2629.5724.1213.90.0-
2024/64.62-4.8852.8225.1425.0113.520.0係因部分工案投入量增加,以致營收增加。
2024/54.8519.8345.320.5320.113.610.0-
2024/44.05-13.9118.1315.6713.9812.440.0-
2024/34.727.5936.0511.6212.611.620.01-
2024/23.6914.0410.056.920.7911.610.01-
2024/13.23-31.05-8.033.23-8.0312.530.0-
2023/124.691.62-11.4241.86-17.3512.80.0-
2023/114.6131.78-10.8937.18-18.0510.840.0-
2023/103.528.64-0.5632.56-18.978.740.0-
2023/92.728.19-24.2129.06-20.748.950.0-
2023/82.52-32.29-35.0726.34-20.369.250.0-
2023/73.7122.98-18.1623.82-18.4110.070.0-
2023/63.02-9.56-28.2120.11-18.459.790.0-
2023/53.34-2.57-43.8417.09-16.4410.230.0-
2023/43.43-0.85-8.2113.75-5.2110.240.0-
2023/33.463.2-10.3610.32-4.1710.320.45-
2023/23.35-4.69-2.66.86-0.7112.160.38-
2023/13.51-33.591.153.511.1513.990.33-
2022/125.292.22-1.8350.66-4.8913.990.33-
2022/115.1847.0714.7345.36-5.2312.290.38-
2022/103.52-1.94-14.5940.19-7.3110.980.43-
2022/93.59-7.31-32.0536.67-6.5512.00.39-
2022/83.87-14.652.6733.07-2.5812.620.37-
2022/74.547.8716.3529.2-3.2414.690.32-
2022/64.21-29.25-10.5524.66-6.1513.890.34-
2022/55.9559.258.820.45-5.1913.540.34-
2022/43.73-3.17-10.7714.51-9.9411.030.42-
2022/33.8612.14-0.0810.77-9.6510.770.43-
2022/23.44-1.017.156.91-14.2312.310.38-
2022/13.47-35.55-28.383.47-28.3813.380.35-
2021/125.3919.48-19.8653.26-21.2314.030.33-
2021/114.519.47-0.9447.87-21.3913.920.33-
2021/104.12-21.99-31.2743.36-23.0413.180.35-
2021/95.2840.07-11.5239.24-22.0612.960.36-
2021/83.77-3.28-36.3633.95-23.4812.380.38-
2021/73.9-17.07-34.730.18-21.4914.070.33去年營收已排除停業單位營收
2021/64.7-13.94-33.2526.28-19.0614.360.32去年營收已排除停業單位營收
2021/55.4730.66.0921.57-15.1213.510.34去年營收已排除停業單位營收
2021/44.198.42-34.7816.11-20.5211.260.41去年度營業收入已不含停業單位
2021/33.8620.26-26.711.92-13.9111.920.39去年度營業收入已不含停業單位
2021/23.21-33.83-18.858.06-6.0614.790.32去年度營業收入已不含停業部門
2021/14.85-27.894.864.854.8616.140.29去年營業收入已不含停業部門
2020/126.7347.6832.1667.6341.6817.280.27以上營收已排除停業單位營收。
2020/114.56-24.04-11.1660.942.8216.530.28以上營收已排除停業單位營收。
2020/106.00.4243.2556.3450.217.90.261.以上申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收。2.廠辦及公宅投入提昇,整體營收較去年增加。
2020/95.970.7445.750.3551.0818.310.251.以上申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收。2.廠辦及公宅工程投入提昇,整體營收較去年增加。
2020/85.93-7.5265.2944.3751.8319.880.231.以上申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收。2.廠辦及公宅工程投入提昇,整體營收較去年同期增加。
2020/76.41-14.9738.0142.7116.1220.070.23-
2020/67.5423.3164.8836.312.9521.140.23本月廠辦工程投入百分比提昇,導致本月整體營收較去年同期增加。
2020/56.12-18.27-1.0928.764.3419.310.25-
2020/47.4830.9810.2722.655.9117.140.28-
2020/35.7144.7-3.8615.163.8815.160.31-
2020/23.95-28.2756.659.459.1915.440.31因季節性(農曆春節)因素,今年度2月工作日較多,故單月營收成長
2020/15.5-8.12-10.295.5-10.290.0N/A-
2019/125.99-3.21-5.1463.32-7.360.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.232023/13.512022/13.472021/14.852020/15.5
2024/23.692023/23.352022/23.442021/23.212020/23.95
2024/34.72023/33.462022/33.862021/33.862020/35.71
2024/44.052023/43.432022/43.732021/44.192020/47.48
2024/54.852023/53.342022/55.952021/55.472020/56.12
2024/64.622023/63.022022/64.212021/64.72020/67.54
2024/74.432023/73.712022/74.542021/73.92020/76.41
2024/84.552023/82.522022/83.872021/83.772020/85.93
2024/95.142023/92.722022/93.592021/95.282020/95.97
2024/106.332023/103.52022/103.522021/104.122020/106.0
2024/116.262023/114.612022/115.182021/114.512020/114.56
N/AN/A2023/124.692022/125.292021/125.392020/126.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 63.05%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)12.7142.6563.79
24Q2 (19)8.912.1883.71
24Q1 (18)8.728.73327.45
23Q4 (17)8.023.352665.52
23Q3 (16)7.7660.0282.27
23Q2 (15)4.85137.7539.77
23Q1 (14)2.04603.45-20.31
22Q4 (13)0.29-85.71-89.93
22Q3 (12)2.03-41.5-46.01
22Q2 (11)3.4735.55160.9
22Q1 (10)2.56-11.1163.06
21Q4 (9)2.88-23.4-53.92
21Q3 (8)3.76182.71-56.83
21Q2 (7)1.33-15.29-19.88
21Q1 (6)1.57-74.8852.43
20Q4 (5)6.25-28.24139.46
20Q3 (4)8.71424.70.0
20Q2 (3)1.6661.170.0
20Q1 (2)1.03-60.540.0
19Q4 (1)2.610.00.0

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