玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1116.0335.3519.12190.4220.6244.43N/A-
2024/1011.84-28.47-15.74174.3920.7649.92N/A-
2024/916.56-23.054.88162.5424.6960.030.22-
2024/821.52-1.9512.12145.9827.4261.310.22-
2024/721.9523.0932.04124.4630.557.660.23-
2024/617.83-0.23-1.13102.5130.1852.530.28-
2024/517.876.2416.9484.6839.4851.250.29-
2024/416.821.6330.9266.847.0649.820.3-
2024/316.550.6829.5749.9853.4349.980.3主要係本年累計銷售較去年同期增加。
2024/216.44-3.1945.6733.4368.8353.260.28主要係本年累計銷售較去年同期增加。
2024/116.98-14.3799.5316.9899.5350.280.3主要係本月業務量增加。
2023/1219.8447.3991.87177.722.8447.350.28主要係本月業務量增加。
2023/1113.46-4.2624.33157.8617.5243.30.3-
2023/1014.06-10.9673.38144.4116.9349.040.27主要係本月業務量增加。
2023/915.79-17.7470.19130.3512.9651.610.28主要係本月業務量增加。
2023/819.1915.45200.28114.567.9653.850.27主要係本月業務量增加。
2023/716.62-7.8320.5695.37-4.3649.940.29-
2023/618.0418.0154.7978.74-8.3646.170.26主要係本月業務量增加
2023/515.2818.9354.2860.71-18.2740.910.29主要係本月業務量增加。
2023/412.850.59-9.8245.42-29.4336.910.33-
2023/312.7713.19-22.2832.57-35.0132.570.31-
2023/211.2932.59-34.4719.8-41.2230.140.34-
2023/18.51-17.66-48.288.51-48.2829.670.34-
2022/1210.34-4.48-41.82144.66-28.6829.270.34-
2022/1110.8233.5-41.82134.32-27.4228.210.35-
2022/108.11-12.6-54.25123.49-25.8123.780.41主要係業務量減少。
2022/99.2845.13-50.69115.39-22.4229.460.41主要係業務量減少。
2022/86.39-53.64-64.5106.11-18.3331.830.38主要係業務量減少。
2022/713.7918.33-21.8999.72-10.935.350.34-
2022/611.6517.62-25.9585.93-8.8435.810.49-
2022/59.91-30.48-38.0474.28-5.4140.60.43-
2022/414.25-13.31-11.9464.372.9247.910.37-
2022/316.44-4.55-4.7250.128.1150.120.31-
2022/217.224.6327.233.6815.7151.450.3-
2022/116.46-7.365.7216.465.7252.830.3-
2021/1217.77-4.488.52202.8441.9454.10.31-
2021/1118.64.9725.38185.0746.2655.140.31-
2021/1017.72-5.828.01166.4749.0454.540.31-
2021/918.824.4842.83148.7552.0154.480.35主要係業務量增加。
2021/818.011.9952.88129.9353.4451.40.37主要係業務量增加。
2021/717.6512.1938.89111.9253.5349.380.39主要係業務量增加。
2021/615.74-1.5824.5294.2756.6247.910.36主要係業務量增加。
2021/515.99-1.1943.7378.5365.1649.430.35主要係業務量增加。
2021/416.18-6.271.8862.5471.746.980.37主要係業務量增加。
2021/317.2527.4374.7546.3671.6446.360.35主要係業務量增加。
2021/213.54-13.0383.9929.1169.8445.480.35主要係業務量增加。
2021/115.57-4.9159.1915.5759.1946.780.34主要係業務量增加。
2020/1216.3710.3542.21142.9-9.8545.050.35-
2020/1114.847.1758.67126.53-13.9241.850.37主要係業務量增加。
2020/1013.845.0933.02111.69-18.8638.790.4-
2020/913.1711.833.6997.85-23.137.660.43-
2020/811.78-7.33-17.8784.68-26.0737.130.44-
2020/712.710.58-19.6472.9-27.2536.470.45-
2020/612.6413.59-11.5560.19-28.6733.180.44-
2020/511.1218.15-22.3647.55-32.1630.410.48-
2020/49.42-4.63-26.736.43-34.6826.650.55-
2020/39.8734.17-33.1427.01-37.0727.010.6-
2020/27.36-24.75-44.217.14-39.1328.650.56-
2020/19.78-15.05-34.679.78-34.670.0N/A-
2019/1211.5123.12-23.16158.52-25.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.982023/18.512022/116.462021/115.572020/19.78
2024/216.442023/211.292022/217.222021/213.542020/27.36
2024/316.552023/312.772022/316.442021/317.252020/39.87
2024/416.822023/412.852022/414.252021/416.182020/49.42
2024/517.872023/515.282022/59.912021/515.992020/511.12
2024/617.832023/618.042022/611.652021/615.742020/612.64
2024/721.952023/716.622022/713.792021/717.652020/712.71
2024/821.522023/819.192022/86.392021/818.012020/811.78
2024/916.562023/915.792022/99.282021/918.822020/913.17
2024/1011.842023/1014.062022/108.112021/1017.722020/1013.84
2024/1116.032023/1113.462022/1110.822021/1118.62020/1114.84
N/AN/A2023/1219.842022/1210.342021/1217.772020/1216.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.23-64.62-56.6
24Q2 (19)0.6525.0-78.83
24Q1 (18)0.52333.33-86.06
23Q4 (17)0.12-77.36-96.13
23Q3 (16)0.53-82.74-73.23
23Q2 (15)3.07-17.6958.25
23Q1 (14)3.7320.32349.4
22Q4 (13)3.156.57297.44
22Q3 (12)1.982.06112.9
22Q2 (11)1.94133.73165.75
22Q1 (10)0.836.41-1.19
21Q4 (9)0.78-16.13-2.5
21Q3 (8)0.9327.413.41
21Q2 (7)0.73-13.1-13.1
21Q1 (6)0.845.044.83
20Q4 (5)0.8-2.4421.21
20Q3 (4)0.82-2.380.0
20Q2 (3)0.8444.830.0
20Q1 (2)0.58-12.120.0
19Q4 (1)0.660.00.0

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