玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.6-8.1218.5246.6529.6814.25N/A-
2024/95.017.9221.8442.0531.0314.051.45-
2024/84.645.4921.0137.0432.3813.731.48-
2024/74.4-6.2435.9632.434.1914.111.44-
2024/64.69-6.4735.8628.033.9114.131.6-
2024/55.0213.435.4623.3133.5314.931.52-
2024/44.42-19.442.8918.2933.0113.771.65-
2024/35.4942.3732.1613.8730.1413.871.57-
2024/23.85-14.8927.328.3828.8511.871.83-
2024/14.5330.0830.184.5330.1811.811.84-
2023/123.48-8.457.6843.2513.0611.161.83本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係新專案訂單量產出貨所致。
2023/113.8-2.074.5439.7710.3311.791.73-
2023/103.88-5.557.2235.9710.9811.831.73-
2023/94.117.1919.8632.0911.4511.181.52-
2023/83.8318.5214.1527.9810.3210.521.62-
2023/73.23-6.3129.1524.149.7310.391.64-
2023/63.45-6.75-12.5520.917.2410.251.45-
2023/53.719.6216.6317.4612.2610.951.36-
2023/43.1-25.45-0.313.7511.1410.281.45-
2023/34.1537.1540.1210.6614.9810.661.4-
2023/23.03-12.9819.766.513.168.711.71-
2023/13.4857.56-7.933.48-7.939.321.6-
2022/122.21-39.27-16.2138.255.849.461.64-
2022/113.640.4314.936.057.5810.691.45-
2022/103.625.5824.4532.416.8210.411.49-
2022/93.432.092.6428.794.959.291.56-
2022/83.3634.099.3325.365.279.811.48-
2022/72.5-36.56-8.0622.04.679.631.51-
2022/63.9524.3646.3219.56.5710.231.51-
2022/53.172.2510.1115.55-0.39.241.67-
2022/43.14.777.8612.38-2.668.61.8-
2022/32.9617.22-19.839.27-5.749.271.81-
2022/22.53-33.1-12.986.312.748.941.87-
2022/13.7843.416.863.7816.869.581.75-
2021/122.64-16.71-20.5336.14-4.38.711.94-
2021/113.168.78-20.7533.51-2.749.411.8-
2021/102.91-12.92-27.1830.34-0.389.321.81-
2021/93.348.75-12.527.433.669.141.64-
2021/83.0712.75-24.7124.096.388.491.76-
2021/72.720.96-25.3621.0213.228.311.8-
2021/62.7-6.4-25.218.322.668.461.68-
2021/52.880.15133.8815.637.939.461.5本公司去年同期營收減少,主要係因新冠狀肺炎疫情之影響,北美客戶暫時關閉其工廠,致使出貨遞延所致。
2021/42.88-22.13298.612.7126.29.481.5本公司去年同期營收減少,主要係因新冠狀肺炎疫情之影響,北美客戶暫時關閉其工廠,致使出貨遞延所致。
2021/33.727.2520.439.845.169.841.23-
2021/22.9-10.16-5.316.14-2.299.451.28-
2021/13.23-2.480.593.230.5910.541.15-
2020/123.32-16.95-9.2537.77-12.211.30.98-
2020/113.99-0.0414.8834.45-12.4711.810.94-
2020/103.994.63-7.9630.46-15.1211.890.94-
2020/93.82-6.42-2.4826.46-16.1111.550.92-
2020/84.0811.778.9522.64-18.0411.340.94-
2020/73.651.1818.718.56-22.288.491.25-
2020/63.61192.65-3.9614.91-28.335.562.16-
2020/51.2370.7-64.0111.31-33.75.022.39本公司本月營收減少,主要係因新冠狀肺炎疫情之影響,北美客戶暫時關閉其工廠,致使出貨遞延所致。
2020/40.72-76.47-79.8110.07-26.086.861.75本公司本月營收減少,主要係因新冠狀肺炎疫情之影響,北美客戶暫時關閉其工廠,致使出貨遞延所致。
2020/33.070.04-16.099.35-6.979.351.36-
2020/23.07-4.55-7.156.28-1.759.941.28-
2020/13.21-12.034.013.214.0110.341.23-
2019/123.655.1453.0743.0226.970.0N/A增加原因主要為北美車燈及號誌燈市場比預期高
2019/113.48-19.9224.1839.3624.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.532023/13.482022/13.782021/13.232020/13.21
2024/23.852023/23.032022/22.532021/22.92020/23.07
2024/35.492023/34.152022/32.962021/33.72020/33.07
2024/44.422023/43.12022/43.12021/42.882020/40.72
2024/55.022023/53.72022/53.172021/52.882020/51.23
2024/64.692023/63.452022/63.952021/62.72020/63.61
2024/74.42023/73.232022/72.52021/72.722020/73.65
2024/84.642023/83.832022/83.362021/83.072020/84.08
2024/95.012023/94.112022/93.432021/93.342020/93.82
2024/104.62023/103.882022/103.622021/102.912020/103.99
N/AN/A2023/113.82022/113.642021/113.162020/113.99
N/AN/A2023/123.482022/122.212021/122.642020/123.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.05%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.0-83.33
24Q2 (19)0.010.0-93.75
24Q1 (18)0.010-83.33

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