玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.412.816.5554.646.2818.23N/A-
2024/96.2311.3714.6248.246.2416.870.49-
2024/85.5910.757.5542.015.115.360.53-
2024/75.057.1123.9436.424.7416.010.51-
2024/64.71-24.53-0.3831.372.1917.00.45-
2024/56.253.434.2126.652.6617.380.44-
2024/46.0418.577.1420.42.1915.020.51-
2024/35.0931.17-7.8614.360.2414.360.57-
2024/23.88-27.91-12.889.275.3414.390.56-
2024/15.395.1724.055.3924.0515.760.52-
2023/125.12-2.487.3161.793.2116.390.49-
2023/115.25-12.61-0.3256.672.8616.70.48-
2023/106.0110.6-5.0851.413.1916.650.48-
2023/95.434.5-1.9145.44.414.710.52-
2023/85.227.641.1839.975.3214.010.55-
2023/74.07-13.9-9.6234.775.9714.80.52-
2023/64.73-21.04-5.930.698.4616.360.5-
2023/55.996.346.5425.9611.5717.160.47-
2023/45.641.9520.1319.9713.1715.620.52-
2023/35.5324.0213.9914.3310.6514.330.59-
2023/24.462.6636.28.88.6513.570.62-
2023/14.34-9.02-10.034.34-10.0314.390.59-
2022/124.77-9.43-13.5459.86-11.7516.380.53-
2022/115.27-16.78-17.3655.09-11.617.140.51-
2022/106.3314.296.6749.82-10.9417.010.51-
2022/95.547.812.8543.49-13.0315.190.54-
2022/85.1413.9913.0937.95-14.9514.680.56-
2022/74.51-10.361.332.81-18.1315.160.54-
2022/65.03-10.6-9.0628.3-20.5615.350.56-
2022/55.6319.9-7.0323.27-22.6715.170.57-
2022/44.69-3.25-20.7417.64-26.6112.820.67-
2022/34.8548.18-20.1812.95-28.5312.950.61-
2022/23.27-32.18-36.498.1-32.7413.620.58-
2022/14.83-12.57-29.944.83-29.9416.720.47-
2021/125.52-13.43-18.7367.84-27.617.840.48-
2021/116.387.41-24.6162.32-28.317.70.49-
2021/105.9410.2-37.355.94-28.6915.870.54-
2021/95.3918.54-45.4450.01-27.5114.380.61-
2021/84.542.1-48.2344.62-24.5214.530.6-
2021/74.45-19.53-50.5740.07-20.3816.030.55109年防疫產品熱銷,目前平穩
2021/65.53-8.6-37.1535.62-13.8117.50.54-
2021/56.052.22-32.330.09-7.4918.050.53-
2021/45.92-2.58-25.1324.041.917.150.56-
2021/36.0817.91-13.0318.1215.5318.120.6-
2021/25.15-25.1927.5512.0438.4918.840.58-
2021/16.891.4247.996.8947.9922.140.49-
2020/126.79-19.728.2393.7143.1424.720.51-
2020/118.46-10.6639.2786.9244.4527.810.45-
2020/109.47-4.0964.7278.4645.0328.120.45新增產能
2020/99.8712.4872.1368.9942.6927.660.4增加產能
2020/88.78-2.590.8759.1238.7326.580.41新產線加入
2020/79.02.3163.5350.3432.4226.740.41新產線加入,訂單滿載
2020/68.8-1.5465.5941.3327.1525.650.41新產線加入,訂單滿載
2020/58.9413.0357.1232.5319.6423.840.45新產線加入,訂單滿載
2020/47.9113.1645.7723.599.7218.940.56-
2020/36.9972.9424.4115.68-2.4415.680.58-
2020/24.04-13.2-6.118.7-16.8613.990.65-
2020/14.66-12.11-24.374.66-24.3716.030.57-
2019/125.3-12.79-6.9465.47-3.520.0N/A-
2019/116.075.65-1.9860.17-3.210.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.392023/14.342022/14.832021/16.892020/14.66
2024/23.882023/24.462022/23.272021/25.152020/24.04
2024/35.092023/35.532022/34.852021/36.082020/36.99
2024/46.042023/45.642022/44.692021/45.922020/47.91
2024/56.252023/55.992022/55.632021/56.052020/58.94
2024/64.712023/64.732022/65.032021/65.532020/68.8
2024/75.052023/74.072022/74.512021/74.452020/79.0
2024/85.592023/85.22022/85.142021/84.542020/88.78
2024/96.232023/95.432022/95.542021/95.392020/99.87
2024/106.412023/106.012022/106.332021/105.942020/109.47
N/AN/A2023/115.252022/115.272021/116.382020/118.46
N/AN/A2023/125.122022/124.772021/125.522020/126.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1623.0833.33
24Q2 (19)0.13-18.758.33
24Q1 (18)0.1645.456.67
23Q4 (17)0.11-8.3383.33
23Q3 (16)0.120.0-52.0
23Q2 (15)0.12-20.0-42.86
23Q1 (14)0.15150.0-11.76
22Q4 (13)0.06-76.0-70.0
22Q3 (12)0.2519.0519.05
22Q2 (11)0.2123.53-38.24
22Q1 (10)0.17-15.0-61.36
21Q4 (9)0.2-4.76-60.78
21Q3 (8)0.21-38.24-83.72
21Q2 (7)0.34-22.73-88.19
21Q1 (6)0.44-13.7383.33
20Q4 (5)0.51-60.47292.31
20Q3 (4)1.29-55.210.0
20Q2 (3)2.881100.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2484.620.0
19Q4 (1)0.130.00.0

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