玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.54-10.0112.475.172.531.78N/A-
2024/100.6-8.4145.494.631.491.79N/A-
2024/90.6520.550.254.03-2.841.620.31適逢大陸十一長假,客戶提早拉貨所致。
2024/80.5425.4220.163.38-9.031.420.36-
2024/70.43-3.42-5.812.84-13.051.310.39-
2024/60.453.63-11.072.41-14.231.270.35-
2024/50.4310.836.411.96-14.921.190.37-
2024/40.395.05-15.131.53-19.451.00.44-
2024/30.3750.71-21.711.15-20.821.150.34-
2024/20.25-53.67-48.510.78-20.381.280.3-
2024/10.535.06.570.536.571.510.26-
2023/120.55.71-5.05.540.431.390.29-
2023/110.4816.4-8.775.041.011.320.31-
2023/100.41-5.42-20.684.562.161.290.32-
2023/90.43-3.62-13.834.155.151.340.37-
2023/80.45-1.694.263.727.931.410.35-
2023/70.46-8.8231.243.278.451.360.36-
2023/60.524.0148.22.815.471.360.29-
2023/50.4-11.61-2.052.31-0.741.340.3-
2023/40.46-3.08-8.641.9-0.461.410.28-
2023/30.47-0.873.11.452.431.450.3-
2023/20.48-4.1124.010.972.111.510.29-
2023/10.5-6.41-12.670.5-12.671.550.28-
2022/120.531.5229.825.5212.131.570.34-
2022/110.521.226.214.9910.521.540.34-
2022/100.522.7445.624.478.941.450.37-
2022/90.516.6118.953.955.461.280.52-
2022/80.4323.746.193.453.741.120.6-
2022/70.352.95-16.793.013.41.10.61-
2022/60.34-18.04-22.452.676.791.250.61-
2022/50.41-17.551.682.3313.01.370.56-
2022/40.59.3719.161.9115.781.340.57-
2022/30.4619.229.481.4114.631.410.59-
2022/20.38-32.4841.130.9517.271.360.62-
2022/10.5739.125.260.575.261.390.6-
2021/120.41-1.29-0.54.9212.471.180.64-
2021/110.4116.771.34.5113.821.190.64-
2021/100.36-16.078.04.115.261.180.64-
2021/90.424.1-6.83.7416.01.250.45-
2021/80.41-3.040.533.3219.731.260.44-
2021/70.42-4.0515.832.9123.011.260.44-
2021/60.447.4681.282.524.31.260.31去年同期中國與歐美地區受COVID-19疫情影響,故營收下跌;今年中國與歐美地區疫情得到控制,故營收大幅回升。
2021/50.41-3.375.062.0616.531.250.31-
2021/40.420.49-14.141.6519.751.110.35-
2021/30.4253.6832.031.2338.411.230.0-
2021/20.27-49.6446.90.8141.941.220.0-
2021/10.5431.539.560.5439.560.0N/A-
2020/120.410.0-18.064.38-19.70.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.532023/10.52022/10.572021/10.542020/120.41
2024/20.252023/20.482022/20.382021/20.27N/AN/A
2024/30.372023/30.472022/30.462021/30.42N/AN/A
2024/40.392023/40.462022/40.52021/40.42N/AN/A
2024/50.432023/50.42022/50.412021/50.41N/AN/A
2024/60.452023/60.52022/60.342021/60.44N/AN/A
2024/70.432023/70.462022/70.352021/70.42N/AN/A
2024/80.542023/80.452022/80.432021/80.41N/AN/A
2024/90.652023/90.432022/90.52021/90.42N/AN/A
2024/100.62023/100.412022/100.522021/100.36N/AN/A
2024/110.542023/110.482022/110.522021/110.41N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/120.52022/120.532021/120.41N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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