玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.59-9.01-28.646.86-20.621.83N/A-
2024/100.6511.18-16.546.27-19.761.95N/A-
2024/90.59-16.93-24.925.62-20.121.931.01-
2024/80.7111.811.585.03-19.522.090.93-
2024/70.63-15.62-5.984.32-22.162.030.96-
2024/60.7514.81-8.223.69-24.42.01.09-
2024/50.659.3-20.132.94-27.651.81.2-
2024/40.68.01-35.872.29-29.541.681.29-
2024/30.554.59-40.131.69-26.991.691.25-
2024/20.53-13.22-15.841.14-18.272.011.05-
2024/10.61-30.14-20.280.61-20.282.310.92-
2023/120.874.7214.779.523.162.490.91-
2023/110.836.410.758.652.122.40.95-
2023/100.780.02-18.267.812.272.261.0-
2023/90.7812.39-13.637.035.212.151.3-
2023/80.73.48-29.136.258.162.191.28-
2023/70.67-17.63-22.465.5515.812.311.21-
2023/60.82-0.096.24.8824.262.571.08-
2023/50.82-12.2437.044.0628.652.671.04-
2023/40.930.8563.933.2526.72.481.12本期較去年同期專案需求增加
2023/30.9247.0312.182.3216.12.321.29-
2023/20.63-17.89.691.3918.852.151.39-
2023/10.760.5727.610.7627.612.351.27-
2022/120.76-8.067.19.2317.882.541.01-
2022/110.83-13.6724.118.4718.962.690.96-
2022/100.965.68109.367.6418.432.850.91專案收入增加
2022/90.91-7.77105.956.6811.492.761.01專案收入增加
2022/80.9813.2340.675.784.012.621.06-
2022/70.8712.81101.814.8-1.252.231.24本期較去年同期客戶專案需求增加
2022/60.7728.9126.563.93-11.261.931.46-
2022/50.64.98-50.533.16-17.271.991.42因疫情影響全球物流
2022/40.57-30.98-39.812.56-1.931.961.44-
2022/30.8243.767.561.9919.491.991.17-
2022/20.57-4.3742.241.1729.591.881.24-
2022/10.6-15.5919.420.619.421.971.19-
2021/120.716.5352.667.8321.41.831.21接單出貨增加
2021/110.6745.616.67.1218.981.561.41-
2021/100.463.96-31.856.4520.421.61.39-
2021/90.44-37.0-15.125.9927.91.571.31-
2021/80.762.4622.915.5533.260.0N/A-
2021/70.430.0-41.924.8634.890.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.1%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-63.16-22.22
24Q2 (19)0.190.026.67
24Q1 (18)0.1972.73-57.78
23Q4 (17)0.1122.22-60.71
23Q3 (16)0.09-40.0-70.0
23Q2 (15)0.15-66.67-63.41
23Q1 (14)0.4560.71-11.76
22Q4 (13)0.28-6.67-52.54
22Q3 (12)0.3-26.833.45
22Q2 (11)0.41-19.6164.0
22Q1 (10)0.51-13.56-16.39
21Q4 (9)0.59103.45-1.67
21Q3 (8)0.2916.00
21Q2 (7)0.25-59.020
21Q1 (6)0.611.670
20Q4 (5)0.600

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