玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)2200.920.92-0.77-692.31-505.260.15175.0-50.0-0.71-1114.29-987.522.684.18-2.1610.3462.83-12.32.27241.87-49.56-7.44-659.4-493.650.52248.57-50.0-1.69-703.57-512.2-6.58-471.75-295.83-7.44-659.4-493.655.71-187.82-862.50
24Q2 (19)2180.00.00.13316.67225.0-0.20-1900.0-350.00.07216.67163.6421.777.242.216.35-31.87-31.65-1.60-297.53-215.111.33314.52250.0-0.35-305.88-216.670.28315.38250.01.77420.5978.791.33314.52250.00.8565.48-1002.09
24Q1 (18)2180.00.0-0.06-185.7160.0-0.01-104.1790.91-0.06-140.060.020.3-5.5422.09.32-24.8447.470.81-79.28148.8-0.62-192.5468.530.17-79.76160.71-0.13-192.8659.380.34-83.73115.89-0.62-192.5468.53-6.42-124.44-62.09
23Q4 (17)2180.019.780.07-63.16-76.670.24-20.0-27.270.1587.5108.8821.49-7.29-6.1612.405.1733.763.91-13.1158.940.67-64.55-72.20.84-19.2350.00.14-65.85-74.552.09-37.823.670.67-64.55-72.20.77155.92127.50
23Q3 (16)2180.024.570.19375.0116.10.30275.0220.00.08172.73103.8623.188.83-7.9811.7926.9188.044.50223.74410.341.89397.37123.111.04246.67388.890.41412.5119.713.36239.39144.81.89397.37123.1118.41250.84223.87
23Q2 (15)2180.024.570.04126.67104.940.08172.73188.89-0.1126.6787.521.328.04.879.2946.9932.711.39183.73280.520.38119.29105.440.3207.14287.50.08125.0105.590.99146.26114.450.38119.29105.440.33-11.6619.70
23Q1 (14)21819.7824.57-0.15-150.0-114.29-0.11-133.33-161.11-0.1591.12-114.2916.64-27.34-9.576.32-31.82-44.56-1.66-167.48-148.82-1.97-181.74-212.7-0.28-150.0-144.44-0.32-158.18-166.67-2.14-226.63-482.14-1.97-181.74-212.7-18.21-12.2949.33
22Q4 (13)1824.04.00.30125.42-81.480.33232.094.12-1.6918.36-176.1322.9-9.09-3.139.2747.85-11.292.46269.6613.362.41129.46-80.00.56255.569.80.55126.44-80.71.69122.53-86.642.41129.46-80.07.4739.8727.11
22Q3 (12)1750.00.0-1.18-45.68-506.9-0.25-177.78-180.65-2.07-135.23-445.025.1924.0324.766.27-10.43-47.44-1.45-88.31-130.59-8.18-17.02-420.78-0.36-125.0-137.5-2.08-45.45-500.0-7.50-9.49-289.39-8.18-17.02-420.7817.21-551.41-163.89
22Q2 (11)1750.00.0-0.81-1057.14-313.16-0.09-150.0-147.37-0.88-1157.14-383.8720.3110.3814.047.00-38.6-30.21-0.77-122.65-128.21-6.99-1009.52-287.9-0.16-125.4-132.65-1.43-1091.67-316.67-6.85-1323.21-268.3-6.99-1009.52-287.9-5.90-580.73-72.06
22Q1 (10)1750.00.0-0.07-104.320.00.185.881000.0-0.07-103.150.018.4-22.1711.4511.409.0933.493.4056.681207.69-0.63-105.2317.110.6323.531475.0-0.12-104.217.690.56-95.57300.0-0.63-105.2317.11-2.54177.15-19.64
21Q4 (9)1750.00.01.62458.6200.17-45.16666.672.22270.0484.2123.6417.0946.6510.45-12.41-1.142.17-54.225.8512.05372.5530225.00.51-46.8854.552.85448.0828600.012.65219.44438.312.05372.5530225.015.22217.479.00
21Q3 (8)1750.00.570.29-23.68-44.230.3163.16-3.130.6093.5553.8520.1913.3618.9711.9318.94-13.34.7473.63-13.972.55-31.45-52.160.9695.923.230.52-21.21-42.223.96-2.7-40.02.55-31.45-52.1610.62309.59556.58
21Q2 (7)1750.0-1.690.38642.8690.00.191050.046.150.31542.86338.4617.817.8719.9310.0317.45-9.882.73950.0-10.23.72589.4755.00.491125.08.890.66607.6983.334.071553.5716.953.72589.4755.05.14321.43541.66
21Q1 (6)1750.00.0-0.07078.79-0.0233.3386.67-0.07-118.4278.7916.512.4265.438.54-19.2110.620.26-87.32107.41-0.76-1800.086.990.04-87.88111.43-0.13-1200.077.59-0.28-111.9195.36-0.76-1800.086.99-1.29-50.00-38.02
20Q4 (5)1750.570.00.00-100.0-100.0-0.03-109.38-112.50.38-2.56211.7616.12-5.01-11.6210.57-23.18-12.572.05-62.79-46.89-0.04-100.75-101.00.33-64.52-52.86-0.01-101.11-101.372.35-64.39-53.28-0.04-100.75-101.0--0.00
20Q3 (4)174-2.250.00.52160.00.00.32146.150.00.39400.00.016.9714.280.013.7623.630.05.5181.250.05.33122.080.00.93106.670.00.9150.00.06.6089.660.05.33122.080.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1781.710.00.20160.610.00.13186.670.0-0.1360.610.014.8548.80.011.1344.170.03.04186.610.02.40141.10.00.45228.570.00.36162.070.03.48157.620.02.40141.10.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1750.00.0-0.33-178.570.0-0.15-162.50.0-0.332.940.09.98-45.290.07.72-36.150.0-3.51-190.930.0-5.84-245.640.0-0.35-150.00.0-0.58-179.450.0-6.04-220.080.0-5.84-245.640.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1750.00.00.420.00.00.240.00.0-0.340.00.018.240.00.012.090.00.03.860.00.04.010.00.00.70.00.00.730.00.05.030.00.04.010.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/118.6842.2823.9779.547.7721.81N/A-
2024/106.1-13.087.5170.856.0721.3N/A-
2024/97.02-14.084.0164.755.9422.680.52-
2024/88.179.12-8.0357.736.1724.030.49-
2024/77.49-10.53-0.6749.558.9523.210.51-
2024/68.3713.974.8342.0710.8721.770.54-
2024/57.3521.354.7433.6912.4819.790.59-
2024/46.05-5.31-3.9526.3514.8417.310.68-
2024/36.3931.457.0320.321.9620.30.48-
2024/24.86-46.19-14.1213.930.3222.710.43-
2024/19.042.6680.629.0480.6224.850.39主要係農曆春節前為客戶出貨旺季,且中國大陸飲料市場已漸次復甦成長,另為公司近年度新產能挹注與產線效率優化之效益所致
2023/128.825.69-2.982.6-4.8321.490.47-
2023/117.023.39-5.2673.8-5.0619.430.52-
2023/105.68-15.91-11.8566.79-5.0421.310.47-
2023/96.75-24.034.2461.12-4.3523.180.48-
2023/88.8917.85-11.2454.37-5.3224.410.46-
2023/77.54-5.57-13.3245.48-4.0722.540.5-
2023/67.9913.867.6337.94-1.9921.30.52-
2023/57.0111.28-0.3729.95-4.2719.290.57-
2023/46.35.517.722.94-5.417.940.61-
2023/35.975.46-15.1216.64-9.5716.640.67-
2023/25.6613.1624.7210.67-6.1419.730.57-
2023/15.0-44.81-26.685.0-26.6821.470.52-
2022/129.0722.644.5586.811.0722.90.37-
2022/117.3914.8-4.2977.7311.8820.310.42-
2022/106.44-0.55-11.0370.3413.9122.930.37-
2022/96.48-35.326.9363.917.2225.190.62-
2022/810.0115.0837.1757.4218.5126.130.6-
2022/78.717.2727.647.4115.223.160.67-
2022/67.425.394.0138.7112.7420.310.99-
2022/57.0420.2920.5131.2915.0319.931.01-
2022/45.85-16.8420.6224.2513.5317.431.15-
2022/37.0454.9820.4418.411.4518.41.15-
2022/24.54-33.4854.311.376.5220.041.06農曆年節後進入行業淡季,但在生產及出貨仍維持穩定正常,復加上去年度同期基期較低,因而顯現在本月銷售優於去年同期
2022/16.83-21.29-11.666.83-11.6623.220.91-
2021/128.6712.2527.778.1534.923.640.75-
2021/117.736.7235.4569.4735.8621.020.84-
2021/107.2419.5399.4261.7535.9120.590.86農曆春節旺季提前及主要原材料成本上漲,因而使客戶端下單備貨積極,復加上去年度同期基期較低所致
2021/96.06-17.0314.1154.5130.420.170.73-
2021/87.37.0520.2448.4532.7721.250.69-
2021/76.82-4.421.9841.1535.2719.790.74-
2021/67.1322.143.5934.3438.2617.820.78-
2021/55.8420.4118.4227.236.9316.530.84-
2021/44.85-16.97-2.1121.3643.0413.641.02-
2021/35.8498.5648.1216.5165.4616.510.79農曆年節後進入行業淡季,唯目前生產及出貨仍維持穩定正常,復加上去年度同期基期較低,因而顯現在本季度逐月銷售優於去年同期
2021/22.94-61.92116.6410.6776.817.460.75因受農曆春節節後淡季影響,而整體的出貨及生產量因長假因素而減少所致,此外則為去年度同期基期較低
2021/17.7313.7765.237.7365.2320.220.65因受惠於傳統農曆春節前旺季,而整體金屬包裝產品及充填灌裝代工業務出貨量與金額攀升所致, 此外則為去年度同期基期較低
2020/126.7919.07-17.9557.92-4.5816.120.72-
2020/115.757.12-6.5551.13-2.4614.640.79-
2020/103.63-31.6-2.0945.43-1.9215.010.77-
2020/95.31-12.5715.2241.8-1.9116.970.61-
2020/86.078.6-8.5736.49-3.9916.630.62-
2020/75.5912.528.3230.42-3.0215.490.67-
2020/64.970.75.7524.83-5.2514.850.69-
2020/54.93-0.47-0.5819.87-7.6513.830.74-
2020/44.9625.6351.4714.93-9.7810.261.0因客戶端於節後淡季及疫情影響後已陸續復產,加之前述遞延訂單已漸次下單及出貨已趨增溫而導致
2020/33.94190.42-15.819.98-24.869.981.23-
2020/21.36-70.95-42.716.03-29.814.310.86-
2020/14.68-43.5-24.884.68-24.880.0N/A-
2019/128.2835.6215.960.719.550.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)21819.780.1500.52205.8882.6-4.8410.2022.62.31200.00.4101.9183.581.0800.320
2022 (9)1824.0-1.6900.17-73.8586.811.078.32-19.460.77-69.92-3.5100.67-66.5-2.790-3.080
2021 (8)1750.02.22484.210.65132.1478.1534.9310.33-7.442.568.474.99330.172.045.994.47217.023.9482.09
2020 (7)1750.00.3800.28057.92-4.6311.1619.492.36594.121.1601.37552.381.4100.670
2019 (6)1750.0-0.3400.00060.739.69.344.360.340-0.9900.210-0.40-0.60
2018 (5)1750.0-0.790-0.30055.41-21.768.95-35.33-0.890-2.500-0.490-1.220-1.390
2017 (4)17510.761.60-43.461.14-42.1370.8214.2313.84-31.894.88-46.373.95-45.593.46-38.653.75-35.342.8-37.78
2016 (3)1583.952.8388.671.9789.4262.0-3.420.3235.839.1060.497.26104.515.6454.955.859.344.597.37
2015 (2)1520.01.507.141.040.064.1812.6614.96-3.175.67-16.743.55-4.573.64-6.193.64-2.152.287.55
2014 (1)15244.761.40-78.921.04-67.556.97-34.0515.4506.8103.7203.88-60.533.72-62.542.12-70.35

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