- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/11 | 8.68 | 42.28 | 23.97 | 79.54 | 7.77 | 21.81 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/10 | 6.1 | -13.08 | 7.51 | 70.85 | 6.07 | 21.3 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 7.02 | -14.08 | 4.01 | 64.75 | 5.94 | 22.68 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 8.17 | 9.12 | -8.03 | 57.73 | 6.17 | 24.03 | 0.49 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 7.49 | -10.53 | -0.67 | 49.55 | 8.95 | 23.21 | 0.51 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 8.37 | 13.97 | 4.83 | 42.07 | 10.87 | 21.77 | 0.54 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 7.35 | 21.35 | 4.74 | 33.69 | 12.48 | 19.79 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 6.05 | -5.31 | -3.95 | 26.35 | 14.84 | 17.31 | 0.68 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 6.39 | 31.45 | 7.03 | 20.3 | 21.96 | 20.3 | 0.48 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 4.86 | -46.19 | -14.12 | 13.9 | 30.32 | 22.71 | 0.43 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 9.04 | 2.66 | 80.62 | 9.04 | 80.62 | 24.85 | 0.39 | 主要係農曆春節前為客戶出貨旺季，且中國大陸飲料市場已漸次復甦成長，另為公司近年度新產能挹注與產線效率優化之效益所致 | ||
| 2023/12 | 8.8 | 25.69 | -2.9 | 82.6 | -4.83 | 21.49 | 0.47 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 7.0 | 23.39 | -5.26 | 73.8 | -5.06 | 19.43 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 5.68 | -15.91 | -11.85 | 66.79 | -5.04 | 21.31 | 0.47 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 6.75 | -24.03 | 4.24 | 61.12 | -4.35 | 23.18 | 0.48 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 8.89 | 17.85 | -11.24 | 54.37 | -5.32 | 24.41 | 0.46 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 7.54 | -5.57 | -13.32 | 45.48 | -4.07 | 22.54 | 0.5 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 7.99 | 13.86 | 7.63 | 37.94 | -1.99 | 21.3 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 7.01 | 11.28 | -0.37 | 29.95 | -4.27 | 19.29 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 6.3 | 5.51 | 7.7 | 22.94 | -5.4 | 17.94 | 0.61 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 5.97 | 5.46 | -15.12 | 16.64 | -9.57 | 16.64 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 5.66 | 13.16 | 24.72 | 10.67 | -6.14 | 19.73 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 5.0 | -44.81 | -26.68 | 5.0 | -26.68 | 21.47 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 9.07 | 22.64 | 4.55 | 86.8 | 11.07 | 22.9 | 0.37 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 7.39 | 14.8 | -4.29 | 77.73 | 11.88 | 20.31 | 0.42 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 6.44 | -0.55 | -11.03 | 70.34 | 13.91 | 22.93 | 0.37 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 6.48 | -35.32 | 6.93 | 63.9 | 17.22 | 25.19 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 10.01 | 15.08 | 37.17 | 57.42 | 18.51 | 26.13 | 0.6 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 8.7 | 17.27 | 27.6 | 47.41 | 15.2 | 23.16 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 7.42 | 5.39 | 4.01 | 38.71 | 12.74 | 20.31 | 0.99 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 7.04 | 20.29 | 20.51 | 31.29 | 15.03 | 19.93 | 1.01 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 5.85 | -16.84 | 20.62 | 24.25 | 13.53 | 17.43 | 1.15 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 7.04 | 54.98 | 20.44 | 18.4 | 11.45 | 18.4 | 1.15 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 4.54 | -33.48 | 54.3 | 11.37 | 6.52 | 20.04 | 1.06 | 農曆年節後進入行業淡季，但在生產及出貨仍維持穩定正常，復加上去年度同期基期較低，因而顯現在本月銷售優於去年同期 | ||
| 2022/1 | 6.83 | -21.29 | -11.66 | 6.83 | -11.66 | 23.22 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 8.67 | 12.25 | 27.7 | 78.15 | 34.9 | 23.64 | 0.75 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 7.73 | 6.72 | 35.45 | 69.47 | 35.86 | 21.02 | 0.84 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 7.24 | 19.53 | 99.42 | 61.75 | 35.91 | 20.59 | 0.86 | 農曆春節旺季提前及主要原材料成本上漲，因而使客戶端下單備貨積極，復加上去年度同期基期較低所致 | ||
| 2021/9 | 6.06 | -17.03 | 14.11 | 54.51 | 30.4 | 20.17 | 0.73 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 7.3 | 7.05 | 20.24 | 48.45 | 32.77 | 21.25 | 0.69 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 6.82 | -4.4 | 21.98 | 41.15 | 35.27 | 19.79 | 0.74 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 7.13 | 22.1 | 43.59 | 34.34 | 38.26 | 17.82 | 0.78 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 5.84 | 20.41 | 18.42 | 27.2 | 36.93 | 16.53 | 0.84 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 4.85 | -16.97 | -2.11 | 21.36 | 43.04 | 13.64 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 5.84 | 98.56 | 48.12 | 16.51 | 65.46 | 16.51 | 0.79 | 農曆年節後進入行業淡季，唯目前生產及出貨仍維持穩定正常，復加上去年度同期基期較低，因而顯現在本季度逐月銷售優於去年同期 | ||
| 2021/2 | 2.94 | -61.92 | 116.64 | 10.67 | 76.8 | 17.46 | 0.75 | 因受農曆春節節後淡季影響，而整體的出貨及生產量因長假因素而減少所致，此外則為去年度同期基期較低 | ||
| 2021/1 | 7.73 | 13.77 | 65.23 | 7.73 | 65.23 | 20.22 | 0.65 | 因受惠於傳統農曆春節前旺季，而整體金屬包裝產品及充填灌裝代工業務出貨量與金額攀升所致， 此外則為去年度同期基期較低 | ||
| 2020/12 | 6.79 | 19.07 | -17.95 | 57.92 | -4.58 | 16.12 | 0.72 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 5.7 | 57.12 | -6.55 | 51.13 | -2.46 | 14.64 | 0.79 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 3.63 | -31.6 | -2.09 | 45.43 | -1.92 | 15.01 | 0.77 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 5.31 | -12.57 | 15.22 | 41.8 | -1.91 | 16.97 | 0.61 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 6.07 | 8.6 | -8.57 | 36.49 | -3.99 | 16.63 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 5.59 | 12.52 | 8.32 | 30.42 | -3.02 | 15.49 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 4.97 | 0.7 | 5.75 | 24.83 | -5.25 | 14.85 | 0.69 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 4.93 | -0.47 | -0.58 | 19.87 | -7.65 | 13.83 | 0.74 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 4.96 | 25.63 | 51.47 | 14.93 | -9.78 | 10.26 | 1.0 | 因客戶端於節後淡季及疫情影響後已陸續復產，加之前述遞延訂單已漸次下單及出貨已趨增溫而導致 | ||
| 2020/3 | 3.94 | 190.42 | -15.81 | 9.98 | -24.86 | 9.98 | 1.23 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 1.36 | -70.95 | -42.71 | 6.03 | -29.8 | 14.31 | 0.86 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 4.68 | -43.5 | -24.88 | 4.68 | -24.88 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 8.28 | 35.62 | 15.9 | 60.71 | 9.55 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 9.04 | 2023/1 | 5.0 | 2022/1 | 6.83 | 2021/1 | 7.73 | 2020/1 | 4.68 |
| 2024/2 | 4.86 | 2023/2 | 5.66 | 2022/2 | 4.54 | 2021/2 | 2.94 | 2020/2 | 1.36 |
| 2024/3 | 6.39 | 2023/3 | 5.97 | 2022/3 | 7.04 | 2021/3 | 5.84 | 2020/3 | 3.94 |
| 2024/4 | 6.05 | 2023/4 | 6.3 | 2022/4 | 5.85 | 2021/4 | 4.85 | 2020/4 | 4.96 |
| 2024/5 | 7.35 | 2023/5 | 7.01 | 2022/5 | 7.04 | 2021/5 | 5.84 | 2020/5 | 4.93 |
| 2024/6 | 8.37 | 2023/6 | 7.99 | 2022/6 | 7.42 | 2021/6 | 7.13 | 2020/6 | 4.97 |
| 2024/7 | 7.49 | 2023/7 | 7.54 | 2022/7 | 8.7 | 2021/7 | 6.82 | 2020/7 | 5.59 |
| 2024/8 | 8.17 | 2023/8 | 8.89 | 2022/8 | 10.01 | 2021/8 | 7.3 | 2020/8 | 6.07 |
| 2024/9 | 7.02 | 2023/9 | 6.75 | 2022/9 | 6.48 | 2021/9 | 6.06 | 2020/9 | 5.31 |
| 2024/10 | 6.1 | 2023/10 | 5.68 | 2022/10 | 6.44 | 2021/10 | 7.24 | 2020/10 | 3.63 |
| 2024/11 | 8.68 | 2023/11 | 7.0 | 2022/11 | 7.39 | 2021/11 | 7.73 | 2020/11 | 5.7 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 8.8 | 2022/12 | 9.07 | 2021/12 | 8.67 | 2020/12 | 6.79 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.76 | -36.67 | 10.14 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 1.2 | 2.56 | 110.53 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 1.17 | 72.06 | 72.06 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.68 | -1.45 | -28.42 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.69 | 21.05 | 40.82 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.57 | -16.18 | -18.57 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.68 | -28.42 | -23.6 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.95 | 93.88 | 1.06 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.49 | -30.0 | -28.99 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.7 | -21.35 | -11.39 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.89 | -5.32 | -26.45 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.94 | 36.23 | 5.62 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.69 | -12.66 | 0 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.79 | -34.71 | 0 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 1.21 | 35.96 | 28.72 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.89 | 0 | 0 |
