玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.97-27.96-19.5410.49-17.223.28N/A-
2024/91.3539.181.459.52-16.983.090.23-
2024/80.9724.36-12.68.17-19.392.610.27-
2024/70.78-10.67-38.467.21-20.222.730.26-
2024/60.87-19.91-34.286.43-17.252.790.26-
2024/51.0929.83-11.75.56-13.763.410.21-
2024/40.84-43.7-34.424.47-14.243.50.21-
2024/31.4926.23-1.183.64-7.713.640.24-
2024/21.1821.03-7.552.15-12.563.080.28-
2024/10.974.21-17.940.97-17.943.030.29-
2023/120.93-16.57-27.6314.721.333.260.36-
2023/111.12-7.11-7.2713.794.163.650.32-
2023/101.2-9.144.3812.675.33.640.32-
2023/91.3319.895.8111.475.43.70.31-
2023/81.11-12.44-11.5310.145.353.690.31-
2023/71.26-4.5923.559.047.873.820.3-
2023/61.327.5922.177.775.693.830.32-
2023/51.23-3.5731.856.452.844.010.31-
2023/41.28-15.1610.515.22-2.224.050.31-
2023/31.518.09-10.173.94-5.743.960.38-
2023/21.277.42-1.722.46-1.873.750.4-
2023/11.19-8.09-2.031.19-2.033.680.41-
2022/121.296.9-7.3314.536.513.650.4-
2022/111.214.56-8.7513.248.093.610.4-
2022/101.15-7.91.3512.0310.133.660.4-
2022/91.250.221.5710.8811.153.530.38-
2022/81.2522.2814.429.6312.533.360.4-
2022/71.02-5.65-13.068.3812.263.040.44-
2022/61.0816.117.217.3516.993.170.4-
2022/50.93-19.17-14.376.2718.873.760.34-
2022/41.15-31.0414.855.3427.534.130.31-
2022/31.6729.226.994.1831.544.180.25-
2022/21.37.0826.182.5134.773.90.27-
2022/11.21-13.0645.371.2145.373.930.27-
2021/121.395.2730.413.64-2.083.850.31-
2021/111.3216.1538.0412.25-4.773.70.32-
2021/101.14-7.722.8810.93-8.223.470.34-
2021/91.2312.99.539.79-10.853.50.33-
2021/81.09-7.0926.868.55-13.183.280.35-
2021/71.1816.3517.97.46-17.013.280.35-
2021/61.01-7.26-10.486.28-21.373.110.23-
2021/51.098.413.825.27-23.163.410.21-
2021/41.01-23.75-23.924.18-28.043.350.21-
2021/31.3228.36-18.493.18-29.253.180.18-
2021/21.0323.37-32.011.86-35.32.930.2-
2021/10.83-22.01-38.950.83-38.952.860.2-
2020/121.0711.43-25.8413.93-47.982.950.21-
2020/110.963.4-49.6112.86-49.243.010.21-
2020/100.93-17.73-49.4611.91-49.212.910.22-
2020/91.1330.76-39.1910.98-49.192.990.3-
2020/80.86-13.65-45.319.85-50.222.990.32019年主要客戶新建工廠項目銷售增加,而2020年無此資本投入需求;且受新冠肺炎疫情影響,市場需求低迷,外銷訂單停滯。
2020/71.0-11.66-49.048.99-50.653.180.282019年同期主要客戶新建工廠項目銷售增加,而2020年無此資本投入需求;且受新冠肺炎疫情影響,市場需求低迷,外銷訂單停滯。
2020/61.137.56-51.27.99-50.843.50.292019年同期主要客戶新建工廠項目銷售增加,而2020年無此資本投入需求;且受新冠肺炎疫情影響,市場需求低迷,外銷訂單停滯。
2020/51.05-20.56-59.486.86-50.783.990.252019年同期主要客戶新建工廠項目銷售增加,而2020年無此資本投入需求。且受新冠肺炎疫情影響,市場需求低迷,外銷訂單停滯。
2020/41.32-18.3-56.15.81-48.84.450.22因主要客戶工廠建設期間集中並於2019年6結束
2020/31.627.07-45.64.49-46.174.490.24-
2020/21.5110.76-47.962.87-46.484.310.25-
2020/11.36-5.26-44.731.36-44.734.710.23-
2019/121.44-24.28-47.2326.792.220.0N/A-
2019/111.93.71-8.2825.357.970.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.972023/11.192022/11.212021/10.832020/11.36
2024/21.182023/21.272022/21.32021/21.032020/21.51
2024/31.492023/31.52022/31.672021/31.322020/31.62
2024/40.842023/41.282022/41.152021/41.012020/41.32
2024/51.092023/51.232022/50.932021/51.092020/51.05
2024/60.872023/61.322022/61.082021/61.012020/61.13
2024/70.782023/71.262022/71.022021/71.182020/71.0
2024/80.972023/81.112022/81.252021/81.092020/80.86
2024/91.352023/91.332022/91.252021/91.232020/91.13
2024/100.972023/101.22022/101.152021/101.142020/100.93
N/AN/A2023/111.122022/111.212021/111.322020/110.96
N/AN/A2023/120.932022/121.292021/121.392020/121.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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