玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.042.541.339.1911.683.08N/A-
2024/91.02-0.6419.778.148.762.950.44-
2024/81.0211.919.237.137.362.820.46-
2024/70.913.526.576.115.62.760.47-
2024/60.88-8.616.935.192.612.760.43-
2024/50.976.2621.114.310.12.790.43-
2024/40.91-0.9213.523.34-4.662.430.49-
2024/30.9252.67-12.822.44-10.042.440.5-
2024/20.6-34.59-32.831.52-8.282.320.53-
2024/10.9215.1620.530.9220.532.630.47-
2023/120.8-12.77-9.339.94-31.742.450.5-
2023/110.9124.13-20.379.14-33.182.50.49-
2023/100.74-13.12-35.418.22-34.352.440.5-
2023/90.85-1.09-41.087.49-34.242.430.53-
2023/80.8618.79-35.736.64-33.262.330.55-
2023/70.72-4.37-39.95.78-32.872.270.56-
2023/60.75-5.34-35.165.06-31.732.350.54-
2023/50.8-0.38-36.794.31-31.092.650.48-
2023/40.8-23.92-38.543.51-29.652.750.47-
2023/31.0517.63-28.852.71-26.512.710.5-
2023/20.8917.362.561.66-24.952.540.54-
2023/10.76-13.36-42.920.76-42.922.790.49-
2022/120.88-23.39-28.5614.56-6.973.170.46-
2022/111.150.68-17.1813.68-5.133.730.39-
2022/101.14-20.75-9.4412.53-3.843.910.37-
2022/91.447.894.7211.39-3.253.970.38-
2022/81.3311.062.39.95-4.33.70.41-
2022/71.23.16-12.228.61-5.253.630.42-
2022/61.16-7.72-8.917.41-4.013.730.42-
2022/51.26-3.14-4.16.25-3.044.040.39-
2022/41.3-11.922.254.99-2.773.650.43-
2022/31.4869.62.543.69-4.433.690.4-
2022/20.87-34.68-5.162.21-8.613.440.43-
2022/11.348.42-10.771.34-10.773.950.37-
2021/121.23-11.18-11.1215.6513.583.880.35-
2021/111.3910.08-7.4314.4216.344.020.33-
2021/101.26-8.35-5.4913.0319.613.940.34-
2021/91.375.39-6.5311.7723.114.050.36-
2021/81.3-4.69-4.8310.428.53.950.36-
2021/71.377.053.749.0935.33.960.36-
2021/61.28-2.8520.667.7243.013.870.31-
2021/51.323.2861.066.4548.464.030.3(一)延續2020年下半年起自行車與運動市場需求激增現象。(二)越南廠建廠後營收逐步顯現。
2021/41.27-11.6886.045.1345.543.640.33(一)延續2020年下半年起自行車與運動市場需求激增現象。(二)越南廠建廠後營收逐步顯現。
2021/31.4456.8427.953.8635.783.860.24-
2021/20.92-38.5416.142.4240.933.80.24-
2021/11.57.9962.311.562.314.380.21(一)2021年1月工作天數大於2020年1月(農曆年假)。(二)延續2020年下半年起自行車與運動市場需求激增現象。
2020/121.39-7.4932.0213.7812.844.220.23-
2020/111.512.3931.7312.3911.034.30.23-
2020/101.33-9.3717.4810.898.694.170.24-
2020/91.477.3128.99.567.564.160.23-
2020/81.373.924.588.094.423.750.26-
2020/71.3224.5127.126.721.093.190.3-
2020/61.0629.6725.275.4-3.722.560.33-
2020/50.8219.29-25.494.34-8.862.630.32-
2020/40.68-39.25-18.173.53-3.92.60.32-
2020/31.1342.36-0.772.840.312.840.28-
2020/20.79-14.1137.671.711.042.760.29-
2020/10.92-12.16-17.740.92-17.743.110.25-
2019/121.05-7.692.012.217.270.0N/A-
2019/111.140.24-3.7811.167.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.922023/10.762022/11.342021/11.52020/10.92
2024/20.62023/20.892022/20.872021/20.922020/20.79
2024/30.922023/31.052022/31.482021/31.442020/31.13
2024/40.912023/40.82022/41.32021/41.272020/40.68
2024/50.972023/50.82022/51.262021/51.322020/50.82
2024/60.882023/60.752022/61.162021/61.282020/61.06
2024/70.912023/70.722022/71.22021/71.372020/71.32
2024/81.022023/80.862022/81.332021/81.32020/81.37
2024/91.022023/90.852022/91.442021/91.372020/91.47
2024/101.042023/100.742022/101.142021/101.262020/101.33
N/AN/A2023/110.912022/111.152021/111.392020/111.5
N/AN/A2023/120.82022/120.882021/121.232020/121.39
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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