玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1111.644.6310.12120.176.0134.16N/A0.555.46-
2024/1011.13-2.2315.79108.525.5834.05N/A0.514.91-
2024/911.38-1.3716.197.44.5334.20.130.44.4-
2024/811.542.3613.486.013.1734.020.130.534.01-
2024/711.280.688.7974.471.7534.450.130.53.47-
2024/611.2-6.59.1163.20.5833.810.140.552.97-
2024/511.9812.625.9952.0-1.0733.10.140.532.43-
2024/410.641.41-2.6140.02-3.0129.50.160.411.9-
2024/310.4925.17-6.4829.39-3.1529.390.120.511.49-
2024/28.38-20.36-19.1318.9-1.229.490.120.450.98-
2024/110.52-0.6919.9710.5219.9731.690.110.530.53-
2023/1210.590.186.0123.958.8930.780.140.34.26-
2023/1110.5710.0317.28113.369.1729.990.150.433.97-
2023/109.61-1.975.79102.788.3929.590.150.393.54-
2023/99.8-3.6715.6693.178.6730.350.140.323.15-
2023/810.18-1.796.7183.377.930.80.140.392.84-
2023/710.360.985.6973.198.0731.930.130.352.44-
2023/610.26-9.164.4662.838.4732.480.130.262.09-
2023/511.33.4713.0752.569.2933.430.130.441.83-
2023/410.92-2.613.6841.268.332.490.130.461.39-
2023/311.218.2310.0830.3410.0730.340.120.280.93-
2023/210.3618.1444.2419.1310.0629.120.130.370.65-
2023/18.77-12.25-14.08.77-14.027.780.130.280.28-
2022/129.9910.842.6113.835.6828.090.130.143.76-
2022/119.02-0.74-0.67103.835.9826.580.140.253.62-
2022/109.087.152.9994.826.6627.10.140.323.38-
2022/98.48-11.11-13.085.737.0727.820.140.183.05-
2022/89.54-2.7412.4477.269.8529.170.130.312.87-
2022/79.81-0.199.2967.729.4929.620.130.542.56-
2022/69.82-1.6713.2857.929.5230.350.130.372.02-
2022/59.99-5.128.0848.098.7930.710.130.271.66-
2022/410.533.3816.5338.18.9827.90.140.451.39-
2022/310.1941.8219.1527.576.3427.570.140.370.94-
2022/27.18-29.56-1.5317.380.0427.120.140.220.57-
2022/110.24.71.1810.21.1829.010.130.350.35-
2021/129.747.294.5107.718.0227.640.150.253.61-
2021/119.082.921.7997.978.3827.640.150.383.37-
2021/108.82-9.488.5788.899.127.040.150.312.99-
2021/99.7414.8821.6180.079.1627.20.160.322.68-
2021/88.48-5.4611.0770.337.6426.120.170.232.36-
2021/78.973.437.4661.857.1826.890.170.272.13-
2021/68.67-6.188.6452.887.1426.960.150.191.86-
2021/59.242.299.9944.26.8526.830.150.31.67-
2021/49.045.717.8734.966.0424.880.160.371.37-
2021/38.5517.19-1.2325.925.4225.920.120.341.01-
2021/27.29-27.61-18.7617.379.0426.690.110.270.67-
2021/110.088.1344.9610.0844.9628.310.110.40.4-
2020/129.324.515.1499.714.8826.360.120.273.82-
2020/118.929.7711.5490.394.8525.050.130.353.54-
2020/108.121.380.0181.474.1723.770.130.393.19-
2020/98.014.922.9973.354.6523.990.130.322.8-
2020/87.64-8.53-4.3565.344.8623.970.130.362.48-
2020/78.354.567.0457.76.2124.740.130.382.12-
2020/67.98-5.0112.4149.356.0824.770.130.321.73-
2020/58.40.3210.3141.374.9425.440.130.341.41-
2020/48.38-3.217.832.963.6526.010.120.351.07-
2020/38.66-3.599.5724.592.3124.590.130.320.72-
2020/28.9829.1551.6315.93-1.2424.790.130.220.4本月營收較去年同期增加51.63%,主因108年2月適逢春節假期工作天數減少所致。
2020/16.95-21.56-31.916.95-31.910.0N/A0.180.18-
2019/128.8610.876.2595.062.990.0N/A0.334.26-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/110.522023/18.772022/110.22021/110.082020/16.95
2024/28.382023/210.362022/27.182021/27.292020/28.98
2024/310.492023/311.212022/310.192021/38.552020/38.66
2024/410.642023/410.922022/410.532021/49.042020/48.38
2024/511.982023/511.32022/59.992021/59.242020/58.4
2024/611.22023/610.262022/69.822021/68.672020/67.98
2024/711.282023/710.362022/79.812021/78.972020/78.35
2024/811.542023/810.182022/89.542021/88.482020/87.64
2024/911.382023/99.82022/98.482021/99.742020/98.01
2024/1011.132023/109.612022/109.082021/108.822020/108.12
2024/1111.642023/1110.572022/119.022021/119.082020/118.92
N/AN/A2023/1210.592022/129.992021/129.742020/129.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.683.03-51.08
24Q2 (19)0.66-2.94-43.1
24Q1 (18)0.6819.3-31.31
23Q4 (17)0.57-58.9950.0
23Q3 (16)1.3919.8357.95
23Q2 (15)1.1617.1745.0
23Q1 (14)0.99160.534.21
22Q4 (13)0.38-56.82-70.99
22Q3 (12)0.8810.0-20.0
22Q2 (11)0.8-15.79-30.43
22Q1 (10)0.95-27.48-20.83
21Q4 (9)1.3119.092.34
21Q3 (8)1.1-4.3532.53
21Q2 (7)1.15-4.1730.68
21Q1 (6)1.2-6.25-0.83
20Q4 (5)1.2854.2216.36
20Q3 (4)0.83-5.680.0
20Q2 (3)0.88-27.270.0
20Q1 (2)1.2110.00.0
19Q4 (1)1.10.00.0

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