玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.57-33.97-33.5622.24-11.966.3N/A-
2024/92.381.37-16.7320.67-9.727.120.83-
2024/82.35-1.79-14.7518.29-8.727.350.8-
2024/72.39-8.26-7.6915.94-7.767.210.82-
2024/62.6117.88-1.5713.55-7.786.960.93-
2024/52.213.33-25.310.94-9.146.31.03-
2024/42.149.7-13.728.73-3.876.431.01-
2024/31.95-16.68-5.436.59-0.176.590.98-
2024/22.342.0222.24.642.216.840.94-
2024/12.33.93-12.42.3-12.46.241.03-
2023/122.2126.99-21.8129.2127.56.311.02-
2023/111.74-26.51-18.8327.034.446.960.92-
2023/102.37-17.25106.6125.2640.87.980.8主係全球旅遊爆發市場需求增加
2023/92.863.7837.5422.936.328.210.71-
2023/82.766.3323.0320.0436.148.00.73-
2023/72.59-2.1723.4717.2838.58.20.71-
2023/62.65-10.5353.9514.6941.548.090.75主係疫情趨緩市場回溫
2023/52.9619.35132.8112.0439.077.50.81主係疫情趨緩市場回溫
2023/42.4820.2341.449.0822.936.460.94-
2023/32.067.6619.126.617.176.60.88-
2023/21.92-26.8721.444.5416.37.360.79-
2023/12.62-7.2212.812.6212.817.590.76-
2022/122.8231.83118.922.91122.636.110.9受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2022/112.1487.06129.4320.08123.175.371.03受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2022/101.15-44.91-15.6117.94122.445.461.01受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2022/92.08-7.16124.9916.8150.386.420.84受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2022/82.246.7165.914.72154.446.060.88受武漢肺炎疫情影響。
2022/72.121.97189.2412.48181.395.091.05受武漢肺炎疫情影響。
2022/61.7235.29283.8110.38179.854.751.13受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2022/51.27-27.48209.18.66165.574.761.13受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2022/41.751.26113.537.39159.275.061.06受武漢肺炎疫情影響。
2022/31.739.76167.725.63177.85.630.89受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響
2022/21.58-32.07380.573.9182.525.190.96受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響
2022/12.3280.01120.732.32120.734.551.1受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2021/121.2938.1718.9810.29-5.83.581.63-
2021/110.93-31.1939.299.0-8.533.211.82-
2021/101.3646.8763.138.06-12.023.631.61受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2021/90.92-31.54-8.886.71-18.973.01.76受武漢肺炎疫情影響。
2021/81.3586.04123.655.78-20.382.522.09受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2021/70.7361.85131.494.43-33.431.593.32受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2021/60.458.95-6.623.71-41.571.683.09受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/50.41-49.965.263.26-44.441.882.77受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/40.8226.96114.82.85-49.291.82.89受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2021/30.6597.03-57.152.03-61.282.032.64受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2021/20.33-68.79-73.831.38-62.952.462.17受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/11.05-2.96-57.431.05-57.432.811.91受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/121.0861.76-59.1110.92-66.652.592.12受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/110.67-19.42-71.949.84-67.312.522.18受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/100.83-17.96-75.079.17-66.922.452.24受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/91.0168.03-60.778.28-66.031.933.3受武漢肺炎疫情影響。
2020/80.692.55-79.837.26-66.661.44.57受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/70.31-34.7-89.996.66-64.561.046.12受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/60.4892.83-81.056.35-59.481.115.98受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/50.25-34.88-90.955.87-55.322.143.11受武漢肺炎疫情影響及德國客戶GKK破產銷貨退回。
2020/40.38-74.67-88.265.62-45.863.152.11受武漢肺炎疫情影響
2020/31.5120.32-41.685.24-26.485.241.19-
2020/21.25-49.24-34.173.73-17.86.380.98-
2020/12.47-6.79-5.942.47-5.947.510.83-
2019/122.6511.017.3932.7623.280.0N/A-
2019/112.39-28.4213.8130.123.820.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.32023/12.622022/12.322021/11.052020/12.47
2024/22.342023/21.922022/21.582021/20.332020/21.25
2024/31.952023/32.062022/31.732021/30.652020/31.51
2024/42.142023/42.482022/41.752021/40.822020/40.38
2024/52.212023/52.962022/51.272021/50.412020/50.25
2024/62.612023/62.652022/61.722021/60.452020/60.48
2024/72.392023/72.592022/72.12021/70.732020/70.31
2024/82.352023/82.762022/82.242021/81.352020/80.6
2024/92.382023/92.862022/92.082021/90.922020/91.01
2024/101.572023/102.372022/101.152021/101.362020/100.83
N/AN/A2023/111.742022/112.142021/110.932020/110.67
N/AN/A2023/122.212022/122.822021/121.292020/121.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.97%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.33-13.16-2.94
24Q2 (19)0.38-17.3911.76
24Q1 (18)0.46-14.819.52
23Q4 (17)0.5458.82107.69
23Q3 (16)0.340.0112.5
23Q2 (15)0.34-19.0578.95
23Q1 (14)0.4261.5490.91
22Q4 (13)0.2662.518.18
22Q3 (12)0.16-15.79-15.79
22Q2 (11)0.19-13.64-57.78
22Q1 (10)0.220.0-68.12
21Q4 (9)0.2215.79-60.0
21Q3 (8)0.19-57.78-44.12
21Q2 (7)0.45-34.78800.0
21Q1 (6)0.6925.451280.0
20Q4 (5)0.5561.76511.11
20Q3 (4)0.34580.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.050.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.05-44.440.0
19Q4 (1)0.090.00.0

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