玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1065.731.17-1.98620.11-7.37198.03N/A-
2024/964.97-3.52-2.91554.38-7.97199.530.36-
2024/867.340.174.08489.41-8.6202.950.35-
2024/767.23-1.69-0.99422.07-10.34200.210.36-
2024/668.385.862.5354.85-11.92189.850.41-
2024/564.613.59-10.75286.46-14.78185.560.41-
2024/456.87-11.27-20.67221.86-15.88156.960.49-
2024/364.0978.03-21.38165.0-14.1165.00.46-
2024/236.0-44.53-42.31100.91-8.73164.040.46-
2024/164.912.7934.8164.9134.81197.20.39-
2023/1263.14-8.7-24.29801.75-11.25199.360.38-
2023/1169.163.12-16.73738.61-9.92203.140.37-
2023/1067.060.21-11.77669.45-9.16198.680.38-
2023/966.923.43-4.32602.39-8.86199.520.38-
2023/864.7-4.71-8.47535.47-9.39199.310.38-
2023/767.91.78-13.66470.77-9.52207.00.37-
2023/666.71-7.83-14.21402.87-8.78210.790.38-
2023/572.390.97-9.52336.16-7.62225.60.36-
2023/471.69-12.07-17.69263.78-7.09215.630.37-
2023/381.5330.63-0.09192.09-2.4192.090.42-
2023/262.4129.6352.2110.56-4.04193.960.42112年2月營收較去年同期增加主係去年農曆春節假期主要在2月份
2023/148.14-42.27-35.1248.14-35.12214.610.38-
2022/1283.410.41-11.3903.440.01242.480.36-
2022/1183.069.27-7.56820.041.32229.010.38-
2022/1076.018.67-19.6736.982.43216.640.4-
2022/969.94-1.06-10.69660.975.77219.280.42-
2022/870.69-10.11-1.72591.038.13227.10.41-
2022/778.651.1315.34520.339.62236.410.39-
2022/677.76-2.89.31441.698.66244.870.37-
2022/580.0-8.142.58363.928.53248.710.36-
2022/487.16.7311.09283.9210.33209.710.43-
2022/381.699.016.46196.829.99196.820.44-
2022/241.01-44.7418.85115.215.83209.250.42-
2022/174.21-21.08-0.274.21-0.2258.10.34-
2021/1294.044.6513.01896.5514.58278.440.32-
2021/1189.86-4.9513.4802.5114.77262.720.34-
2021/1094.5520.7227.19712.6514.94244.790.36-
2021/978.318.877.92618.1113.28215.020.35-
2021/871.9311.047.63539.7914.1205.660.36-
2021/764.78-6.06-4.72467.8615.16210.620.35-
2021/668.96-10.312.12403.0819.16224.150.31-
2021/576.89-1.817.04334.1323.41225.260.31-
2021/478.3111.7615.98257.2429.32182.880.38-
2021/370.07103.0737.99178.9336.18178.930.35-
2021/234.5-53.621.01108.8735.04192.070.33-
2021/174.36-10.6342.7274.3642.72236.810.27-
2020/1283.215.012.53782.42-12.42236.780.28-
2020/1179.246.59-0.96699.21-13.91226.130.29-
2020/1074.332.435.94619.98-15.33213.730.31-
2020/972.578.57-1.87545.64-17.58207.390.35-
2020/866.83-1.7-7.22473.08-19.56202.340.36-
2020/767.990.69-12.98406.25-21.28207.340.35-
2020/667.52-5.99-10.4338.26-22.76206.870.37-
2020/571.836.38-14.85270.73-25.33190.120.4-
2020/467.5232.97-19.95198.9-28.51146.80.52-
2020/350.7778.08-38.96131.39-32.24131.390.62-
2020/228.51-45.27-9.9480.61-27.18161.770.5-
2020/152.1-35.79-34.0952.1-34.09213.260.38-
2019/1281.151.4223.91893.427.960.0N/A-
2019/1180.0114.034.91812.266.590.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/164.912023/148.142022/174.212021/174.362020/152.1
2024/236.02023/262.412022/241.012021/234.52020/228.51
2024/364.092023/381.532022/381.62021/370.072020/350.77
2024/456.872023/471.692022/487.12021/478.312020/467.52
2024/564.62023/572.392022/580.02021/576.892020/571.83
2024/668.382023/666.712022/677.762021/668.962020/667.52
2024/767.232023/767.92022/778.652021/764.782020/767.99
2024/867.342023/864.72022/870.692021/871.932020/866.83
2024/964.972023/966.922022/969.942021/978.312020/972.57
2024/1065.732023/1067.062022/1076.012021/1094.552020/1074.33
N/AN/A2023/1169.162022/1183.062021/1189.862020/1179.24
N/AN/A2023/1263.142022/1283.412021/1294.042020/1283.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)10.0525.02.03
24Q2 (19)8.0414.86-11.16
24Q1 (18)7.0-0.71-34.82
23Q4 (17)7.05-28.43-22.78
23Q3 (16)9.858.84-33.54
23Q2 (15)9.05-15.74-21.58
23Q1 (14)10.7417.63-11.09
22Q4 (13)9.13-38.39-18.63
22Q3 (12)14.8228.42-5.0
22Q2 (11)11.54-4.4728.08
22Q1 (10)12.087.6616.15
21Q4 (9)11.22-28.08-6.03
21Q3 (8)15.673.14-5.97
21Q2 (7)9.01-13.37-8.71
21Q1 (6)10.4-12.911.83
20Q4 (5)11.94-28.0312.32
20Q3 (4)16.5968.090.0
20Q2 (3)9.876.130.0
20Q1 (2)9.3-12.510.0
19Q4 (1)10.630.00.0

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