玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.499.69-34.4738.81-24.7510.26N/A-
2024/93.18-11.55-35.2735.32-23.6410.590.95-
2024/83.59-5.95-33.6732.14-22.2611.590.87-
2024/73.82-8.45-32.0828.55-20.5313.160.76-
2024/64.17-19.25-19.2124.73-18.3913.760.68-
2024/55.1716.94-17.6320.56-18.2213.620.69-
2024/44.429.45-19.9915.39-18.4210.720.87-
2024/34.0478.04-35.4210.97-17.7710.970.83-
2024/22.27-51.39-44.816.93-2.212.620.73-
2024/14.67-18.0256.554.6756.5515.690.58信一預拌第二套設備於112年5月開始運行生產.桃園地區建案逐漸增加,亦促進出貨量增加.
2023/125.696.7810.2762.6-2.0116.340.57-
2023/115.330.19-20.456.91-3.0915.560.6-
2023/105.328.350.8951.58-0.8615.650.59-
2023/94.91-9.37-22.6746.26-1.0615.950.51-
2023/85.42-3.6913.2641.352.3316.210.51-
2023/75.638.890.9135.930.8617.070.48-
2023/65.17-17.67-12.7130.310.8516.960.61-
2023/56.2713.59-4.0525.144.1818.050.57-
2023/45.52-11.646.2618.877.2515.890.65-
2023/36.2552.1327.4213.347.6613.340.87-
2023/24.1137.89126.237.09-5.2812.250.95國內水泥售價及銷售量有逐漸提高
2023/12.98-42.26-47.432.98-47.4314.840.78-
2022/125.16-22.91-33.6363.88-13.4117.130.59-
2022/116.727.0-14.3458.72-11.0318.320.55-
2022/105.27-16.96-20.1952.03-10.5816.40.62-
2022/96.3532.7468.4546.75-9.3516.710.47因2021年9月16日至30日大陸地區能耗雙控政策下停運停產
2022/84.78-14.19-19.1240.41-15.4916.280.48-
2022/75.57-5.8213.2635.62-14.9718.030.43-
2022/65.92-9.520.2930.05-18.7317.660.59-
2022/56.5425.814.2424.13-24.7216.640.63-
2022/45.25.94-32.1417.59-31.7711.920.88-
2022/34.91170.11-44.4212.39-31.6212.390.75-
2022/21.82-67.95-4.567.49-19.4715.260.61-
2022/15.67-27.11-23.315.67-23.3121.260.43-
2021/127.78-0.5-8.7773.78-2.5922.20.41-
2021/117.8218.338.766.0-1.8118.190.5-
2021/106.6175.28-16.3558.19-3.0716.290.56-
2021/93.77-36.26-44.2151.58-1.0614.60.58-
2021/85.9120.16-5.4847.815.3615.750.53-
2021/74.920.02-25.041.97.0916.110.52-
2021/64.92-21.57-19.536.9813.5618.850.44-
2021/56.27-18.1-11.2532.0621.2122.760.36-
2021/47.66-13.22-0.8625.7833.0518.390.45-
2021/38.83363.7980.6818.1255.5518.120.42去年同期受新冠疫情影響,本月已恢復正常穩健出貨.
2021/21.9-74.25-4.729.337.417.820.43-
2021/17.39-13.355.067.3955.0623.110.33去年營收因逢農曆春節假期致工作天數短少及大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響而下降
2020/128.5318.5623.2875.75-3.1523.620.38-
2020/117.19-8.94-17.467.22-5.7121.840.41-
2020/107.916.923.6460.03-4.0820.910.43-
2020/96.767.97-6.4952.13-7.2419.570.4-
2020/86.26-4.64-14.0345.38-7.3518.930.42-
2020/76.567.359.7539.12-6.1819.740.4-
2020/66.11-13.53-7.1132.56-8.8520.910.42-
2020/57.07-8.51-11.6826.45-9.2419.680.45-
2020/47.7358.142.5819.38-8.3214.610.6-
2020/34.89144.56-9.7811.65-14.3511.650.76-
2020/22.0-58.0933.216.76-17.3813.680.65-
2020/14.77-31.06-28.734.77-28.7320.390.44-
2019/126.92-20.56-2.3178.2116.710.0N/A-
2019/118.7136.3159.3771.318.960.0N/A大陸子公司銷售數量較去年同期增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.672023/12.982022/15.672021/17.392020/14.77
2024/22.272023/24.112022/21.822021/21.92020/22.0
2024/34.042023/36.252022/34.912021/38.832020/34.89
2024/44.422023/45.522022/45.22021/47.662020/47.73
2024/55.172023/56.272022/56.542021/56.272020/57.07
2024/64.172023/65.172022/65.922021/64.922020/66.11
2024/73.822023/75.632022/75.572021/74.922020/76.56
2024/83.592023/85.422022/84.782021/85.912020/86.26
2024/93.182023/94.912022/96.352021/93.772020/96.76
2024/103.492023/105.322022/105.272021/106.612020/107.9
N/AN/A2023/115.332022/116.72021/117.822020/117.19
N/AN/A2023/125.692022/125.162021/127.782020/128.53
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.46%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.84-7.69-21.5
24Q2 (19)0.91-3.19-6.19
24Q1 (18)0.94-6.0-19.66
23Q4 (17)1.0-6.54-5.66
23Q3 (16)1.0710.31-34.76
23Q2 (15)0.97-17.09-41.92
23Q1 (14)1.1710.38-22.52
22Q4 (13)1.06-35.37-22.06
22Q3 (12)1.64-1.813.1
22Q2 (11)1.6710.647.79
22Q1 (10)1.5111.0338.53
21Q4 (9)1.36-6.21119.35
21Q3 (8)1.4528.3228.32
21Q2 (7)1.133.6725.56
21Q1 (6)1.0975.81-0.91
20Q4 (5)0.62-45.13-27.91
20Q3 (4)1.1325.560.0
20Q2 (3)0.9-18.180.0
20Q1 (2)1.127.910.0
19Q4 (1)0.860.00.0

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