玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1118.31-10.48-1.26216.249.5460.12N/A-
2024/1020.46-4.177.96197.9210.6663.98N/A-
2024/921.35-3.719.77177.4610.9865.060.27-
2024/822.172.939.51156.1211.1463.210.28-
2024/721.5410.478.4133.9411.4261.710.29-
2024/619.5-5.688.32112.412.0259.060.33-
2024/520.679.4417.4192.9112.8357.380.34-
2024/418.896.0112.1572.2311.5854.010.36-
2024/317.822.963.9353.3411.3853.340.34-
2024/217.3-5.0516.1335.5315.5352.890.35-
2024/118.224.9614.9718.2214.9754.140.34-
2023/1217.36-6.3819.42214.767.4654.860.31-
2023/1118.55-2.1116.19197.46.5356.940.3-
2023/1018.95-2.5610.22178.855.6258.640.29-
2023/919.45-3.936.0159.95.0959.560.28-
2023/820.251.880.79140.464.9758.110.29-
2023/719.8710.394.14120.215.7155.480.3-
2023/618.02.222.57100.346.0352.450.35-
2023/517.614.545.8982.346.8151.590.35-
2023/416.84-1.7512.6464.737.0748.880.37-
2023/317.1415.057.8147.895.2447.890.34-
2023/214.9-6.015.3230.753.8645.290.36-
2023/115.859.02-5.0115.85-5.0146.350.36-
2022/1214.54-8.91-9.95199.840.8447.690.33-
2022/1115.96-7.14-2.46185.31.851.50.3-
2022/1017.19-6.290.56169.342.2255.620.28-
2022/918.35-8.660.71152.142.4157.510.27-
2022/820.095.274.73133.82.6556.710.27-
2022/719.088.735.85113.712.2953.250.29-
2022/617.555.532.1794.631.649.120.33-
2022/516.6311.20.1677.081.4747.480.34-
2022/414.95-5.96-4.5960.461.8343.770.37-
2022/315.923.075.4945.514.1445.510.34-
2022/212.92-22.58-7.8129.613.4245.750.33-
2022/116.693.3514.2116.6914.2149.20.31-
2021/1216.15-1.349.63198.166.2149.610.28-
2021/1116.37-4.253.0182.025.9151.680.27-
2021/1017.09-6.163.34165.656.2154.490.25-
2021/918.22-5.02.86148.566.5555.420.27-
2021/819.186.43.07130.347.0954.370.28-
2021/718.024.954.73111.167.8151.80.29-
2021/617.173.458.493.148.4349.440.34-
2021/516.65.926.5475.978.4347.340.35-
2021/415.673.986.3659.378.9744.760.37-
2021/315.077.545.8743.79.9443.70.36-
2021/214.01-4.0826.428.6312.2243.350.36-
2021/114.61-0.781.3114.611.3145.230.35-
2020/1214.73-7.31-1.78186.58-7.7647.160.26-
2020/1115.89-3.942.01171.85-8.2450.140.24-
2020/1016.54-6.59-4.9155.96-9.1752.850.23-
2020/917.71-4.81-1.46139.42-9.6553.520.26-
2020/818.618.11-7.47121.71-10.7351.650.27-
2020/717.218.64-6.98103.11-11.348.630.28-
2020/615.841.67-8.3485.9-12.1246.150.33-
2020/515.585.73-13.9270.06-12.9344.550.34-
2020/414.733.5-13.1254.48-12.6440.060.38-
2020/314.2428.4-10.9239.74-12.4639.740.38-
2020/211.09-23.12-18.425.51-13.340.50.37-
2020/114.42-3.82-8.9214.42-8.920.0N/A-
2019/1215.0-3.72-2.42202.294.040.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/118.222023/115.852022/116.692021/114.612020/114.42
2024/217.32023/214.92022/212.922021/214.012020/211.09
2024/317.822023/317.142022/315.92021/315.072020/314.24
2024/418.892023/416.842022/414.952021/415.672020/414.73
2024/520.672023/517.612022/516.632021/516.62020/515.58
2024/619.52023/618.02022/617.552021/617.172020/615.84
2024/721.542023/719.872022/719.082021/718.022020/717.21
2024/822.172023/820.252022/820.092021/819.182020/818.61
2024/921.352023/919.452022/918.352021/918.222020/917.71
2024/1020.462023/1018.952022/1017.192021/1017.092020/1016.54
2024/1118.312023/1118.552022/1115.962021/1116.372020/1115.89
N/AN/A2023/1217.362022/1214.542021/1216.152020/1214.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.38%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.7167.6540.16
24Q2 (19)1.0215.91-14.29
24Q1 (18)0.88-3.3-10.2
23Q4 (17)0.91-25.41-3.19
23Q3 (16)1.222.52-16.44
23Q2 (15)1.1921.4327.96
23Q1 (14)0.984.2615.29
22Q4 (13)0.94-35.629.3
22Q3 (12)1.4656.9936.45
22Q2 (11)0.939.4112.05
22Q1 (10)0.85-1.1614.86
21Q4 (9)0.86-19.63-5.49
21Q3 (8)1.0728.921.9
21Q2 (7)0.8312.1623.88
21Q1 (6)0.74-18.6827.59
20Q4 (5)0.91-13.3328.17
20Q3 (4)1.0556.720.0
20Q2 (3)0.6715.520.0
20Q1 (2)0.58-18.310.0
19Q4 (1)0.710.00.0

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